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If Not Carr, Then Who?

As discussed below, I don't think David Carr will be donning the steel blue, battle red, and liberty white for a sixth season.  So who are the candidates to replace him as the starting quarterback for your Houston Texans?  Here's who I see as legitimate contenders:

  1.   Sage Rosenfels (HOU):  He didn't play much in his first year with the Texans in 2006, but looked great in camp, tremendous in relief against the Titans, and adequate in relief against the Jags.  Plus, Kubiak has raved about him.  Oh, and he's not David Carr.  So he's got that going for him, which is a huge bonus for about 98.7% of the dwindling Texans fanbase.  But is he a long-term solution at QB?  Probably not.  I do think, however, that he'd be a perfect candidate to drive the bus for a year or two while a young QB is developed.  Right now, he's my choice to take the snaps come September.
  2.   Jake Plummer (DEN):  This terrifies me, but it makes sense when you consider that Rick Smith and Gary Kubiak have shown a real affinity for bringing in ex-Broncos.   John McClain certainly seems to think Plummer is H-Town bound.  Plummer has obviously lost his starting job in Denver to Jay Cutler, and there's no way that the Broncos will pay him his current salary to be a back-up, even if he was so inclined.  Plummer experienced some success in Denver, and I think he'd be an upgrade over Carr.  But how much money would he require?  And is he really that much better than Rosenfels?  I'm not sure.  With that in mind, I'd err on the side of Sage over Jake the Snake if I was Rick Smith.
  3.   Matt Schaub (ATL):  I cannot see any way that this would happen.  Getting him would likely cost the Texans a first and third round draft pick, and there's no way the Texans can afford to give that up.  It's a nice name to toss around, but it's not realistic.  No way Schaub is here next year.
  4.   Kevin Kolb (University of Houston):  This is easily the most intriguing draft option to me.  There is some concern as to whether he can adjust to a system other than the spread offense Kolb used in high school and college, but everything I read tells me that the guy has all the tools.  At one time, I hoped the Texans could snatch him in the third round; I now think he won't last past the second round and could even slip into the late first after an impressive showing at the Combine, given how thin this draft is at QB.  So is he worth burning the second round pick on?  I'm not sure yet, but I don't think so right now.  This negative stance could be subject to change.
  5.   Drew Stanton (Michigan State):  Lots of questions about whether this guy will make it in the NFL.  Originally thought to be a first-rounder entering the season, no one seems to know where he'll go now.  If he's around in the third round, I'd have to think hard about it if I was Smith and/or Kubes.
  6.   Troy Smith (Ohio State):  All the ridiculous and inapplicable comparisons to Vince Young aside, he's an interesting possibility.  There are questions about his height and the flameout in the BCS Championship Game, but there's a lot to be said about having a winning pedigree.  I mean, look at all the success Ken Dorsey has had in the NFL.   Cough.  In all seriousness, I'd probably burn a flyer pick on him in the fourth or fifth round if he's still around.  There's no denying the dude is a heckuva athlete.
  7.   Brady Quinn (Notre Dame):  Please.  God.  No.  He is David Carr, Class of '07.  In other words, a pretty QB that'll look great on the cover of the weekly game program at Reliant.  But he had (reasonably) impressive college stats!  And he played under The Guy Who Molded Tom Brady!  And his tears, which flow readily when he thinks about puppies, rainbows, and/or the laughter of a child, have magical healing powers!  Right.  I think Quinn was easily the most overrated player in all of college football last season.  Remember Rick Mirer ?  Brady Quinn is Rick Mirer fifteen (15) years later.  If the Texans take him with the eighth pick in the Draft, I will lose it.  This cannot happen.  Hear that, Bob McNair?   DO NOT DRAFT BRADY QUINN.  I beg you.
So where does that leave us?  Well, nowhere just yet.  David Carr is still a Texan, so this is all speculation.  But if I was a betting man, I'd guess Sage Rosenfels is starting next year with a rookie QB as his back-up.  As long as said rookie's name is not Brady Quinn, that works for me.

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my two cents
So I can avoid actual work a bit longer this morning...

I hope McCain is wrong about Plummer.  I don't think he's anything but an older version of Carr at this point.  Sure, he brings his share of warm fuzzies as a comeback artist/proven veteran commodity and he'll take a few gag less sacks than Carr.  But at 33, and with a TD/INT ratio and QB rating comparable to Carr, I just don't see a clear upgrade.

That said, my wish would be to start the season with Sage at QB and work in the newly drafted Kolb as the season wore on a la VY.  But Stanton or Smith or even Trent Edwards wouldn't make me hurl, either.  Something obviously needs to be done here in order to give Carr the time he wishes to spend proselytizing over actually learning and playing football.

by bigfatdrunk on Feb 8, 2007 8:05 AM CST reply actions  

Re:
Rosenfels must be considered the leader in the clubhouse because it seems he has already earned the respect of his teammates and coaching staff, both by his performance in the preseason, in practice and in relief of David Carr during the regular season.  Sure, he's not the prototypical "franchise QB", but with the right scheme, the right tools and a stellar defense, there's no reason to think he couldn't hold down the fort for a couple of seasons and allow the Texans to sniff a shot at a wildcard berth.

There sure is a lot of smoke around Plummer and Houston, so you've got to figure that there's something brewing.  As far as unrestricted free agents are concerned, outside of Huard and Garcia, Plummer's about as good as it gets, for better or worse, so he's got to be considered a serious contender.

I don't see the Texans coughing up the required rate for Schaub.  I'd be surprised if anyone coughs it up, and with a new regime taking over in Atlanta, don't be surprised if the Falcons decide to keep Schaub around as a legit backup in case Vick and Petrino clash, which certainly isn't too farfetched.

by Scott on Feb 8, 2007 9:13 AM CST reply actions  

Yup
Agreed--going into the season with Sage and Kolb would be the best possible scenario.  I just worry that Kolb might be snatched up before the Texans can even think about using their second round pick on him.  Even if he's there in the second round, what do you do if someone you had charted as a first-rounder slips to you, a la DeMeco last year?  If you're the Texans, I would think you've got to take the best available player every time you pick, position be damned.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Feb 8, 2007 9:15 AM CST reply actions  

The "IT" Factor
And no, I am not talking about the department who denies you access to everything on your computer at work.

I really don't care what the name of our 2007 QB is....I only care that he has THE DRIVE to convert downs and win football games.  This is definitely the asset that Carr is missing.  I feel like he had this during his first 2 seasons, but lost it. [NOTE:  I do not want to get into the debate about whether or not it was "sacked out of him"]  Whenever the Texans have been in situations where they need to convert on 3rd/4th down, Carr already looks ready to walk to the bench before the ball has even been snapped.  He doesn't have that fire in his eyes that tells you he is going to lead the team to a First Down, Touchdown, etc.  Now obviously there were a few exceptions this year....I'll grant you that.  But as most do, I am referring to the majority.

Let's not get into the 2006 Draft pick issue again, but let's apply this criticism from the opposite approach.  Vince Young.  He doesn't have the physical throwing ability and technique that Carr was always heralded for.  However, Young converts tough downs....and doesn't anticipate anything during the game other than victory. (see NY Giants game, 2006)  His overall stats look horrible on paper, save for one category:  8-5 as a rookie starter.  And of course, first rookie QB in over 20 years to make/play in the Pro Bowl.  His teammates believe in, and feed off, his confidence.

I don't know how to measure the IT Factor, I just know that it is what makes the difference for QBs when the situations get tough.

Reference Material:
Tom Brady, John Elway, Joe Montana, Steve Young, Troy Aikman

We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Feb 12, 2007 1:07 PM CST reply actions  

Well Said, Shake
Some players have "it."  D.C. does not.  

Great sig line, by the way.  That's what it's all about.  

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Feb 12, 2007 8:53 PM CST reply actions  

{patting each other's backs}
Thanks for the compliments Tim.  I'll try to live up to them in future posts.

You guys are doing a great job with this new site, and I am thoroughly enjoying reading it.  I can't wait for the time when there are 3-5 new Diaries every day, as PB & Co. have been able to inspire over at Burnt Orange Nation (if only I knew how to hyperlink).  Stay honest & steadfast, and the fans will find this to be home.  "If you write it, they will come..."

Also, on the Carr issue, it should be noted that I sat in suspense rooting for DC to be picked over Harrington....no matter the 'release position'.  But really, who knew that both would end up losing their fire to lead a team to victory?

We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Feb 13, 2007 7:26 AM CST up reply actions  

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