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Five Questions With: Blogging the Boys

In what we hope will become a regular feature here at BRB, we sent five (5) questions to our compatriot over at Blogging the Boys about Dallas' prospects this season as we march forth to Saturday night's Governor's Cup.  Dave also sent us five questions, which we boldly answered; those eloquent responses can be found over here. Without further ado, here's what a guy who actually roots for Jerry Jones thinks:

1.  Do you think Dallas fans have followed Jerry Jones' lead and completely guzzled the Tony Romo Kool-Aid?  After that ridiculous five TD game against Tampa, he came back to Earth quite a bit.  And there's the obvious concern about how he'll react to the crushing playoff loss.  So what's the deal--from where you sit now, is Romo Dallas' QB next year?  And what do you expect out of him this year?

BTB:  I would have to say that most of the Cowboys faithful have taken a big swig of Romo-flavored Kool-Aid. I've even hoisted a few glasses myself. Romo was so good in those first five games that it was impossible to keep up that pace. So the arc of his story went from great to good to playoff gaffe for the ages. But when you watch him play, you can see he has the tools to be a great QB. Quick release, accuracy, strong arm, mobility, ability to read the defense and a leadership quality that has his teammates in full support of him. I expect big numbers from Romo this year and I expect him to be the Cowboys QB for years to come. And the playoff thing from last year hasn't bothered him one bit. He admitted that for a couple of weeks it really hurt, but he got over that and has looked great in training camp and preseason. I think Romo will be one of the better QBs in the league this year.

2.  Bill Parcells was undeniably good for Dallas, lack of a ring during his tenure there notwithstanding.  Now that it's Wade Phillips' show, what shift (if any) will we see in terms of the offensive and defensive schemes?

BTB:  On defense, you'll still see the 3-4 defense, but it's a totally different scheme than Bill Parcells' version. In fact, this has been one of the major stories for the Cowboys this offseason. Parcells ran a two-gap read-and-react scheme. Phillips runs a one-gap attacking defense with plenty of blitzes, stunts and movement of players. The Dallas defense is excited about the change, especially the line and linebackers who will get more opportunities to get after the QB and disrupt plays in the backfield. Of course the downside comes if you don't get the pressure; then your secondary has a big challenge.

On offense, we've imported the timing passing offense that Dallas used in the 90s under Norv Turner. That's because the new offensive coordinator is former Dallas backup QB Jason Garrett, who toiled behind Troy Aikman and learned the timing offense under Turner. Look for precise drops by the QB, throwing the ball before the WR makes his break, and good use of the TE position. The running game with Julius Jones and Marion Barber is mostly a hold-over from the Parcells era. Offensive line coach Tony Sparano, who served under Parcells, is doing a lot in helping Garrett coordinate the running game.

3.  Tell us about the progress of the Cowboys' 2007 draft picks, especially first-rounder Anthony Spencer out of Purdue and Isaiah Stanback out of Washington, who apparently has gotten reps as a wide-out in the preseason.   Has Terry Glenn's rigor mortis gotten so bad that the Cowboys are actually considering lining up a QB at WR?

BTB:  Anthony Spencer has been thrust into the starting lineup because Greg Ellis is not ready to play yet due to injury. So far he's shown great athletic ability and is starting to understand the difference between playing DE in college and playing OLB in a 3-4. He's still a little slow in making the reads on run vs. pass, but looks to be getting better each week. Isaiah Stanback was out all training camp with a foot injury until he started practicing last week and played in the last preseason game. In his first game as a WR in the NFL, he caught a TD pass and it was a tough catch. We've got high expectations for him as an athlete and his conversion to WR. Terry Glenn had a bone spur in his knee and had surgery but should be back on the field on opening day. But if he wasn't there, we would line up a QB at WR, just not Stanback. 4th-year veteran Patrick Crayton is a former college QB who has successfully transferred to WR and was one of the better #3 WRs in the NFL last year. He's a solid backup for Glenn.

4.  For those of us who have permanently banned ESPN from our households due to BondsVickSeligDonaghy Syndrome, fill us in on the early returns on Wade v. T.O.  We have not heard anything about Ed Werder collapsing in a hysterical fit, so our assumption is that the two men are thus far co-existing relatively peacefully (i.e., no suicide attempts from #81, the Coach actually referring to #81 by name, etc.).

BTB:  T.O. has been a model citizen since Wade was hired - frankly, it's weird. I compared the new T.O. to a pod-person from Invasion of the Body Snatchers. It's not T.O.; it's an alien entity who has taken over his body. Seriously though, he has been on very good behavior and has made ESPN schedulers work overtime to fill the blank spots they had marked for a T.O. controversy report. Wade calls him Terrell, calls him part of the family, and seems to have created a nice working environment with him. We'll see if it lasts when we lose a game and he's not involved, but he likes Wade Phillips so far, likes his new position coach, and really likes Tony Romo. It's hard to explain unless you cover him every day, but he really does seem different this year. We're enjoying it while it lasts.

5.  Fill in the blank:  At the end of the regular season, Dallas' record will be 11-5.  At the end of the playoffs, Dallas will have won at least one playoff game(s).

Thanks to Dave for playing. What say you, BRB?

0 recs  |  Comment 21 comments

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Wait...
"So the arc of his story went from great to good to playoff gaffe for the ages."

He conveniently leaves out the step between "good" and "playoff" where Romo was "craptastic."  See, e.g., December 2006, wherein Romo had 6 TDs, 8 INTs, 7 fumbles, and a 77 rating (including games of 45.5, 58.8, and 58.1).

"T.O. has been a model citizen since Wade was hired."

Ask Philly phans how TO as the nice guy worked out in the end.

Great Q and A, though.  Nicely done.

by MDC on Aug 24, 2007 1:51 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

And you my friend
conviently left out Romo had a rating of 113 in game 14 and a rating of 111 in game 16.  So half of his games in December he had qb ratings of 110+ and in the play off game in January he had a rating of 90.

And while in the Giants game he did have a rating of 58.1, if you actually watched that game we won because of him.  He threw a perfectly placed bomb up the middle to Jason Witten to set up the game winning field goal.  If there is one thing I love about Romo is he always puts the team in position to win.

Burt-D

by burt d on Aug 24, 2007 2:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

2/5
is not "half."  If a QB has a rating of 110+ in 6 games (roughly 40% of 16) and 58 or worse in 10... well, I think you can imagine how the season will turn out.

Fact is, Romo got appreciably worse in December after having a great November.  (And his rating in the playoff game was not 90, it was 89.6.  When you are dealing with standard deviations, .4 makes a difference.)  I am not buying that he's the next Troy Aikman based a on a fantastic four-game November.

by MDC on Aug 24, 2007 3:10 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

First of all
I did not realize we played 5 games in December. (I am being sarcastic if you cannot tell).

Second of all .4 points is not significant.  I am pretty sure if you found the standard deviation of all qb's that week the sd would be much more than .4 points, and I also rounded down on a couple of those other numbers when i shouldn't have. (i.e. 113 instead of 113.9 and 111 instead of 111.6)

But much of his problems later in the year were due to the defense crapping out on him and Romo having to carry the team on his arm.  A situation that is not good for any qb, let alone a first year starting qb.

Burt-D

by burt d on Aug 24, 2007 3:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

RE: "carry the team on his arm"
Well, at least he didn't have to carry them in his kick-holding hands.

I must admit, this sarcasm thing is fun.

We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Aug 24, 2007 3:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That doesn't make sense
The SD for rating is not based on upon all the QBs in a given week.  It's based on historical data.

As for having to carry the team on his on, his average pass attempts per game only went up one from November to December.  That extra pass must've counted for more than the others or something.

by MDC on Aug 24, 2007 4:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well first of all if you would look at the
time of the offensive possession you would know that it went down significantly in the games we lost in December (philly and NO).  Even with so little time with the ball in his hands he still averaged a little more pass attempts than he did in previous games.  In addition, take a look at the running game where our attempts dropped significantly in December (besides the Atlanta game which we won).

So what you have is shorter time of possession, much less of a running attack, yet a slight increase in passing attempts.  What that means is we became a pass heavy offense in the december, very uncharacteristic of a Parcells offense.  And we had to do that because we were always playing catch up due to the defense crapping out on us.

Secondly, when you are mentioning SD what are you comparing his numbers to.  His own?  Other QBs?  You are being very nonspecific.  Anywho lets look at this graph of qb consistency http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/Article.php?Page=85 Marc Bulger was the most consistent qb with a SD of 12.9 with the median SD being around 28.  Thus .4 points is neglegible.

Burt-D

by burt d on Aug 24, 2007 4:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

i agree that people get ahead of themselves
BUT while you are diferentiating between 2-2 and 2-3, and joking about the statistical differences between 89.6 you somehow try to engage in statistical analysis of Romo while excluding his first four games -- how does that make any sense?

by 325424 on Aug 24, 2007 6:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

What?
I didn't exclude his first four games.  I pointed out that he was markedly worse in December than he was in the first four.  I even acknowledged that he had an amazing first four games.  Did you read the entire thread or just a couple posts?

by MDC on Aug 25, 2007 9:48 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Again...
you lost THREE games in December.  I'm not sure why you keep saying two.

12/03 (W).  TOP 26:39, ATT 34
12/10 (L).  TOP 22:49, ATT 33
12/17 (W).  TOP 33:21, ATT 29
12/24 (L).  TOP 22:54, ATT 29
12/31 (L).  TOP 27:53, ATT 32
AVG TOP 26:43

Your time of possession went down across the board in December, as did Romo's completion percentage.  At least some of the blame for having the ball less has to fall on the QB who is completing fewer passes.  Besides you are putting the cart before the horse here:  You didn't lose because you had the ball less; you had the ball less because losing teams generally have the ball less.

As for rushing attempts, you had less of a running attack because you were playing from behind.  I'll grant you that.  Of course, when your QB is throwing more INTs than TDs and fumbling the ball 7 times, that is probably going to be a cause of your team not scoring (rather than a result of not scoring, which is how you seem to be painting it).

As for rating, I was not comparing Romo to anyone.  I was saying that, in the context of how rating is calculated, 89.6 is not the same thing as 90.  If my math is correct, that (in the context of the game at hand) .4 is roughly 2 more completions or 10 more yards, either one of which could have negated the need for that last second FG.

Mainly, though, with the 89.6 distinction, I was just being flippant.

by MDC on Aug 24, 2007 6:00 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

what came first the chicken or the egg
I am saying is INT's were a result of playing from behind.  And you are saying us playing from behind was a result of our INT's.  But the fact of the matter is Jerry hire Phillips instead of Norv Turner for a reason.
Burt-D

by burt d on Aug 24, 2007 6:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

MDC
Im curious. In light of your sober assessment of romo's performance and future prospects, what is your prognosis for schaub this year and beyond. Let's see-romo has compiled a record of 6-4 (in the regular season) and an average passer rating of 95. Schaub,otoh, has only 2 starts to his credit, is 0-2, and has an overall rating of 69. It would seem, from a statistical standpoint, taht romo's worst games in december were only slightly worse than schaub's average rating. And romo's average rating of 95 (drawn from a much larger sample size) simply spanks schaub's average rating. So I am indeed curious, given your pouring cold water on cowboys fans' hopes for romo, what do you think schaub's past performance portends? Also, I agree with 325424, when engaging in any objective analysis, it is disingenuous to disregard data that does not fit your hypothesis.

by mello on Aug 24, 2007 10:39 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Schaub
I think Schaub has shown a pocket presence and leadership that this franchise has not had before.  Given that he inherits a team that managed to go 6-10 with David effin' Carr, I think he has a good chance to win at least as many as he loses this year.

Of course, I will be the first to admit that my hopes for Schaub are based more on speculation and crossed-fingers than hard data.

As for the difference between 89.6 and 90, in the context of an entire season, it is negligible; in the context of a game that came down to a botched short field goal, it's not so easily written off.  That was the point of the flippant comment in the first place.

by MDC on Aug 25, 2007 9:10 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

For the love of crap almighty...
please stop talking already about that inane 90 vs 89.6 exchange you had with the cowboys supporter. Im not referring to that. All first-year starters have growing pains. Marc bulger, in his first full year, had games in which his qb rating was 29 and 56 interspersed with games in which he rated over 100. Bulger threw 22 td's that year(really good)but mixed them with 22 int's (not so good). It's this simple, if schaub turns in the kind of overall performance in his first year as starter that romo did last year, we should be very happy.

by mello on Aug 25, 2007 9:41 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Happy?
Perhaps.  Though I would be just as concerned if it was Schaub who ended the season MUCH worse than he began it.  Until Romo shows that the flash he showed in November wasn't a fluke, Cowboy fans should be concerned, too.

by MDC on Aug 25, 2007 9:52 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You love crap?
We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Aug 25, 2007 2:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

From the idiot savant
Name calling.  That's such a sweet & endearing attribute.  At least try to divert that towards our opponents, rivals, etc.

On a side note, do you also "eat pieces of shit like me for breakfast?"

We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Aug 25, 2007 3:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ironic
Not everyone can be as amazingly insightful as you.  [paraphrasing] "If Schaub wins more than he loses, fans should be happy."

Ya think?

by MDC on Aug 25, 2007 3:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks
All my hopes & dreams are riding on this 1 preseason game.
We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Aug 25, 2007 2:49 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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