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Around SBN: NFL Week One: Previews and Predictions for all 15 games

We Knew It - We Just Needed KC to Explain It

There's no question in the mind of any non-comatose Texans' fan that Matt Schaub's QB play has been significantly better than David Carr's QB play was.  Unfortunately, many of Schaub's positive traits seem to be either of the intangible variety or easy to discern but difficult to translate to others, such that often we as Texans' fans are left simply explaining to others that, "All I know is that Schuab just has IT and Carr did not".  What is that "IT"?  I think KC Joyner over at ESPN Insider has quantified it and deserves a Nobel Prize, or at least an ESPY, for his fine work.

Note that a subscription is required to view Joyner's analysis in full, but here are some summary points that KC makes:

1. Joyner has broken down the depth of the passes thrown in Carr's first two games last season and Schaub's first two games this season and discovered the following:

  • "Schaub has a higher yards-per-attempt average at both the short and medium depth levels. Carr has a higher YPA average at the deep and bomb levels, but Schaub has thrown twice as many of those passes and is threatening defenses vertically in a way Carr never did."   Carr averaged about 6 YPA on his short attempts, while while Schaub averages 7.5, and Carr averaged 13 YPA on his medium attempts, while Schaub averages 16.6.  
  • We all know far to well how DC reacted under pressure - much like the French in the WWII Battle of France.  According to Joyner, Schaub thrives under pressure, which is something that we at BRB have certainly observed and appreciated intensely, but KC broke it down by numbers for the benefit of all of us.  Against the blitz, Schaub is 12-17 for 196 yards and 2 TD, while taking only two sacks.  Joyner also submits that a QB who averages 9 yards per attempt against the blitz will typically lead the league.  Schaub's YPA against the blitz thus far: 11.5.
Hopefully these numbers will help solidify in our minds that Schaub is no mirage or just pleasant in our minds because he ain't Carr.  Schaub truly is playing better, especially in the areas that so violently plagued Zoolander during his five year stint in Space City.  Thanks, KC, for making us all feel a bit more credible in our Schaublust.

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Scott
Schaub is not a mirage.  He's there.  So is Jacoby.  We're better.  Houston, we have a team!
Look at our punter...look at our special teams...we are good now, and for a reason.  Time to step up and be a fan, ...for the good times this time.  Glad I can be a part of this with you!
1Texan

by 1Texan on Sep 21, 2007 10:36 PM CDT reply actions  

Simpler Measurements
All the following have been significantly reduced
  1. Exclamations of "WTF?!?!"
  2. Groans while covering eyes with hands
  3. Yells of "throw the f___ing football!"
  4. Moans of "I can't believe he threw the FB past the line of scrimmage again?"

by kozanack on Sep 22, 2007 10:35 AM CDT reply actions  

So there you go....
I illustrated your blog post for you:

http://sports.aol.com/fanhouse/2007/09/22/texans-deep-steel-sunday-is-not-the-name-of-a-porn-video/

I'm not sure that I want the word "Schaublust" to catch on.   I mean, I want him to keep playing well, but that's sort of a gross word.

by Steph on Sep 22, 2007 2:26 PM CDT reply actions  

Re: gross word
Is it because Schaublust just looks so German und Deutschen ist also hässlich? Is it because The Schaub just doesn't have Zoolander's modelesque looks? Is it that The Schaub is, let's face it, rather hirsute? I'm just trying to understand your reservation there, Steph.

by knave64 on Sep 22, 2007 11:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

hmmmm
I have no idea.

I don't like the word "blog" either because it sounds kinda gross too.

It must be something odd in my upbringing or something.

by Steph on Sep 26, 2007 4:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

Here's to a safe game
I'm not sure I'll get back to the blog before Sunday night. I just want to say that I anticipate a great game, and I'll be rushing home to catch up with Tivo tomorrow. Catch you later!

by coltsfanawalt on Sep 22, 2007 5:37 PM CDT reply actions  

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