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Why didn't Fisher go for the FG and the win?

Had a conversation with a co-worker today about the Titans game, and he was wondering why Fisher didn't just go for the 49 yard FG to win the game. The TV announcers made mention of a swilrling wind but that was it. Hadn't Rob Bironas, the Titans pro Bowl caliber kicker, earlier made a 51 yarder? The answer goes back to the pregame warmups. I like getting into my seat early enough to watch the kickers go through their pregame routine (approx 60 minutes before kickoff). Most kickers do a very similar version of the following. They line up at the 17 yard line on a hash mark and make one kick. Some use the snapper-holder, some use the PVC pipe ball holder. They move back at 5 yard intervals, alternating from the left to the right hash mark at each move back. In addition to warming up their leg, this also allows them to determine their effective range for that game. Last Sunday was particularly windy, the most wind I can recall at a Texans game. The roof is almost always closed, and except for the Ike damage would have been closed on Sunday. The wind direction was predominantly from North to South, away from the end with the Texans player tunnel. Rob B made all of his kicks until reaching the 42 yard line (52 yd FG). Kicking into the wind, Bironas missed his 1st kick from the right hash. Made his 2nd. He moved to the left hash @ 42 and missed. He moved in just one yard staying on the left and missed one more kick. Two of the misses did not have enough distance. One was wide (right I think). This factored into the crucial decision at the end of the game. He had determined that his high % range did not extend beyond about 47-48 yards into the wind. On 3rd and 11 Collins completed an 8 yard pass to the 31-32 yard line. Bironas must have told Fisher that he could not guarantee that he would have the leg to get a 50 yarder up there. Hence Fisher goes for the 1st down, and the rest is history.

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