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Did Slaton Hit the Rookie Wall?

I know, I know... One subpar game by your standout rookie doesn't necessarily mean that he's hit the proverbial wall - but after last Sunday's performance, one has to wonder if he was really ready for the game in Oakland.  With Slaton shouldering the load for all but a handful of plays this season, I was left wondering if he has anything left in the tank for Sunday's season finale.   

Star-divide

As they say, "facts is facts".  Heading into the game against Oakland, it could have been easily assumed (better yet, guaranteed) that Steve Slaton would run wild on the Raiders.   Coming into the game, the Raiders run defense was in a virtual tie for last place with the winless Detroit Lions (167 vs. 168 ypg ), while the streaking Texans, winners of four straight, were paced by Slaton's remarkable thousand yard season.  Averaging 4.9 yards per carry, and among the league leaders in all purpose yards, it was a foregone conclusion that Slaton would have a field day in Oakland.  But that's the funny thing about assumptions...

Now, Slaton didn't have a terrible day (66 yards on 18 attempts), but when you're arguably the league's hottest rusher, it's obvious when you don't perform up your abilities.  And Sunday, it was painfully obvious that Slaton struggled to get his legs under him.  Of his 18 attempts, 11 went for 2 yards or less - ELEVEN.  So it begs the question - what happened?   

Mike Welsh - Image courtesy of HoustonTexans.com

 Was it the pounding he took against the Titans last week?  It was well documented that they were intent on keeping Slaton at bay.  Prior to their December 7th meeting, Titans' defensive captain Keith Bulluck said, "I don't think it sits too well that (Slaton) got that 100 (in the first meeting).  We need to get some of those yards back."  Titans' linebacker Stephen Tulloch said, "Chris Johnson deserves (rookie of the year).  If that means shutting this guy down, which we plan on doing, then that's what we'll do."  Despite their best efforts, Slaton was again able to hit triple digits against the Titans in his gutsiest performance to date. 

Was it the culmination of averaging 23 attempts per game over the past four games?  Heading into last Sunday's game, Slaton had seen his carries per game increase a full 60%.  Prior to week twelve in Cleveland, Slaton had been averaging just under 14 attempts per game (13.8).   It's easy to see how that sharp spike in carries could affect even the toughest of rookie rushers.  

Was it the season-long effects of playing four of the five top run defenses in the NFL?  When talking about Slaton's accomplishments, what often gets overlooked is the competition he's faced in his rookie season.  Sure, he's seen his fair share of tomato cans (read: Lions/Bengals), but he's also seen four of the NFL's top run defenses.  In order of total rushing yards allowed:  1st Vikings,  2nd Steelers, 3rd Ravens, and 5th Titans( x 2).  The only team that's missing from that list is the Chicago Bears at 4th best... and they are coming to town this Sunday.   That's a tall order for any running back, especially one in his rookie season. 

I'm convinced that all of these factors contributed at least in part to Slaton's downturn last Sunday.  With the Texans hosting the Chicago Bears this week, Slaton is going to have his work cut out for him.  But if there is one thing Slaton has hung is hat on this season it's this: he never gives up on the play, and keeps the legs churning . 

If I were a betting man, it would be hard for me to count him out.  I have a feeling that whatever he has left in the tank, he's going to leave it all on the field this Sunday at Reliant. 

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I don't really think he's hit the wall

I mean, was anybody really ready to play last sunday? And as for Steve, I think splitting carries with Green early in the season has kept him just fresh enough to finish it. If we were somehow headed to the playoffs, then he’d be dead.

by BigTexBD on Dec 24, 2008 1:45 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I hear you

The entire team looked as if they expected the Raiders to go the way of the Lions and Bengals… You know, if I were game planning – I would have drawn up a number of plays for Steve and expected success, right? Cuz like I said, facts is facts. Looks like the Texans bought into the idea that facts is facts and went with it. But when 11 of the 18 went for 2 yards or less… They should have gone with plan B. Oh wait – they didn’t practice plan B – ? They just kinda thought it would work itself out?

That’s what I suspect happened. Lack of prep work – lack of motivation – lack of ganas

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by SOLIS on Dec 24, 2008 2:08 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Apppropriate that ganas is a feminine noun

cuz we played like a bunch of girlz last Sunday. That reminded me of the last game of 2004 season when we laid an egg vs the Browns, and instead of finishing with our first non-losing season we finished 7-9. Sadly we all know what followed, the 2-14 disaster that was the 2005 season. I think this Bears game is eerily similar in that a victory will propel us forward to ’09, while a loss will make us lose a lot of cred that has been built up over the last 3 months. I pray that the entire team sees how important this game is. The Bears are fighting for a division championship and a playoff game, while we are still fighting for respectability. Gotta get over the hump and be a real team next year, not a team that has no meaningful games in December.

by oiler-texan diehard on Dec 25, 2008 12:44 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

http://www.examiner.com/x-778-Houston-Texans-Examiner~y2008m12d20-Raiders-game-plan-for-Texans-includes-stopping-themselves

this article says that the raiders know just how to shut down zone blocking and cause trouble for linemen in that scheme, which sort of explains how they were able to hurt us so badly and how they beat the broncos earlier this season too. just food for thought, and evidence that slaton hasn’t hit the wall yet

by cubic on Dec 24, 2008 2:13 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Excellent find

Looks like Burge hit the nail on the head. I wouldn’t doubt that Slaton is feeling the effects of going 15 straight games without a break – but I’d be willing to be that he gives the fans something to remember as well as something to look forward to next season.

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by SOLIS on Dec 24, 2008 2:31 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I put it on the line for sure.

Whether it was them out-scheming us or just our lineman taking the day off, they weren’t opening up holes. Now, Slaton wasn’t picking up the tough yards that he usually gets. But there just weren’t any running lanes.

by Nashmeister on Dec 24, 2008 4:03 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think so

My initial thought when I started to read your post was that the slighty subpar performance in Oakland was much more on th O line than Super Steve. Stats said he/we should have done better, but apparently all of the Oakland-Denver matchups over the years have given them enough looks at the ZBS to know how to defeat it (Props to cubic for the research). Tennessee presented a big challenge two weeks ago, even moreso after Steve surprised them earlier in the season, and the Titans vowed not to let it happen again. They did their part until the last minute of the game, when Steve ran for 48 of his 100 yards, 34 of which came on his singularly most spectacular play of the season. That play showed that rather than hitting a wall, he is running through walls. His constant leg churning, strength and balance all came into play in that spectacular play, IMO the play of the year for the Texans. It sealed the game in what is one of the biggest, and surely most satisfying wins in franchise history.

The Bears present a similar challenge. They have a tough run D, and everything at stake in the game. If the O line does not show up like they did vs GB & Tenn, then it will be a long day for Steve, but not because he has hit the wall. If he was not a rookie he would be going to Hawaii, rather than being an alternate. Same thing happened to DeMeco & Mario, but they proved that they are not flukes and have been rewarded with Pro Bowl jerseys. If he puts up the same numbers next year, he will have a beach party in Honolulu.

GO TEXANS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Finish the season with a statement game.

by oiler-texan diehard on Dec 25, 2008 12:33 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I say nay on "Rookie Wall"

I say this because he faced 3 of the top run defenses with him and Green almost splitting the carries (Ravens, Steelers, first Titans). I also think that Slaton knows how to run at Relient. Looking at just the Raider game, there wasn’t enough of Slaton making mistakes to warrant me thinking that he can’t have a big game against the Bears. When the term “Rookie Wall” is used, I think of a player that has dropped out well before now. I don’t think Slaton has hit that proverbial stopping point in his season yet.

by b0ng on Dec 26, 2008 10:49 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

The rookie wall should happen at around game 12 or 13. At this point, it’s almost immaterial, because we only have one game left. If Stevie rushes for -10 yards this game, he’s still exceeded everyone’s expectations by a huge amount, so I vote that it is kind of immaterial at this point.

When I'm on the mic, I'm like global warming, you can't ignore me.

by tehGrindCrusher on Dec 26, 2008 1:03 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Just the Same

I think it’s worth mentioning because I’ve been worried about it ever since Slaton started playing so well. I’m not so worried about the Oakland game in particular because as it was stated above already, no one realy showed up to play that game. One thing that does have me worried, however, is protecting Slaton for the following seasons.

Everyone has seen thus far that we found a diamond in the third round. I just hope that we do the right thing and draft a bigger back in next year’s draft. I’m not coming close to saying that we need someone that can replace him, but as everyone mentioned, splitting carries with Green is probably what kept Slaton fresh for so long in the season. The only problem with that practice was that Green was an over-the-hill, injury prone back that couldn’t get it done. Just imagine though if that was a LeRon McLain or LenDale White. Niether of these backs are franchise RB’s that are talented enough tocarry the load by themselves, but paired with more talented RB’s they excell in short yardage situations. The beauty of this is that you can get a back like that easily in the fourth round of the draft.

I’m worried this won’t be received well because a lot of times people think that suggesting what I am suggesting is somehow slighting the player; I’m not. I think Slaton is an amazing talent that should be the focal point of our running attack. I think it’s no coincidence that all the best rushing attacks in the league feature two backs, and usually there’s on back that is significantly more talented than the other (see my above comment about LenDale White).

The first Texan that I felt really good about was Domanick Davis. There’s a reason why the first 1,000 yard rusher in our franchise history fell off the map; we broke him. I just want to make sure we don’t do the same thing to Stevie.

by Jake on Dec 28, 2008 7:26 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Well Said

The only thing I might disagree with is that Smithiak has to draft a short-yardage back. We might be able to get that guy as an undrafted free agent.

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Dec 28, 2008 7:55 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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