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What To Do At DE?

Now that we've finished analyzing the current options on one side of the ball in BRB's "What To Do..." series, we turn our attention to the other side of the ball.  So without further ado, let's begin breaking down what your Houston Texans currently boast on defense, and how that'll affect how they proceed in free agency and the draft.  The opening salvo?  Defensive End.  Here's what the Texans have on the roster as of the date of this post at DE:

  1.  The Biggest Bust In The History Of Sport
  2.  Anthony Weaver
  3.  Earl Cochran
  4.  N.D. Kalu
  5.  Eric Powell

We'll start from the bottom up:  Eric Powell was not on an NFL roster last season after getting cut by Buffalo in early September.  Upon further analysis, it doesn't look like he's actually ever been activated for a game in the NFL.  While we all can certainly hope for Powell to become the Texans' version of "Rudy," I'm not betting on it.  But man...how sweet would it be to have a scene like this at Reliant next year?

Hold on a second...my allergies are acting up again...

Whew.  So absent a miracle from Powell, he's probably not in the team's long-term plans.  N.D. Kalu is a free agent, but has made it clear that he has no interest in playing anywhere but Houston next year.  Given the quality of his play this past season and perhaps more importantly, the value of his counsel to the youngsters on the roster, I have little doubt Kalu will be re-signed for 2008.

And so we come to the real dilemma at DE on the roster:  The value of Earl Cochran in light of Anthony Weaver's cap number in 2008, estimated to be a team-high $6,200,000.00.  In my mind, there's no justification for paying that kind of dough to a defensive end who has posted one (1) sack in two (2) years as a Texan.  But wait, you say...Tim, aren't you the same moron who's spent a considerable amount of time bitching that sacks aren't the be-all-end-all for judging the productivity of a defensive end?  To which I say:  Touche, salesman.  But I would further respond that Anthony Weaver has not consistently done the things a quality DE does (e.g., tie up multiple blockers, create opportunities for other defenders, demand that the offense accounts for him on every play, force plays to be run to the opposite side, etc.).  Weaver flat out hasn't shown that he's worth more than six million cap dollars this next year, and that point is driven home even more powerfully by the fact that Earl Cochran looked better than he did in limited action.  The same Earl Cochran who can be re-signed for a fraction of what Weaver is scheduled to earn.  In other words, Cochran should give you equivalent to greater productivity at a greatly reduced cost.  I'm no general manager, but that call seems like a no-brainer to me.  If Anthony Weaver is willing to renegotiate his contract, great; welcome back.  If not, I'd bid him a fond farewell.

With regard to No. 1 on the list above, I think it's pretty safe to assume he's got one of the starting spots at DE locked up.  I'm comfortable with leaving the analysis of his play at that.

Where do we go from here?  Not surprisingly, there's not exactly a plethora of free agents available that strike me as great fits; here's a pretty nice list of who can be had at DE.  Of the names there, I just don't see anyone out there who qualifies as an automatic upgrade while demanding anything approaching reasonable money.  I realize that I may be in the minority here, so I'm interested to see what everyone else thinks.  Is there any free agent defensive end that you think the team should target?  If so, at what price?

The draft?  While I'm not as resolute as some others who think we'll go DE in the first round (see here as well), I have to admit that the more I think about it, the more I like the idea.  Adding a guy like Calais Campbell at No. 18 could give the Texans a nasty set of bookend pass rushers that'd be unmatched by almost every team in the league.  Indeed, if the Texans do go best available at No. 18, it's entirely possible that Smithiak goes DE in the first round.  I still submit that the secondary is of far greater concern, but the lack of perceived first-round talent at DB could mean the team opts to address it later in the draft.  In any event, I believe that the team drafts a DE.  The million dollar question is when.

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I beg to differ
re: lack of first round DB talent

There is a deep crop of first-round quality DBs, but after that it drops off.  I would be happy with any of Aqib Talib, Leodis McKelvin, Mike Jenkins, Antoine Cason, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Reggie Smith, & Kenny Phillips.  They should all be gone by the mid-2nd round, so if we want any of the top-flight talent we need to pick it up in the first.

Now back to our regularly scheduled defensive end programming....

I don't think we should get any FA end.  If it comes to a "best available" in the draft, I say we pick one up, so long as it's one of the following.

I just fell in love with Vernon Gholston upon looking at his combine performance.  Un-freaking-real.  And Quentin Groves performed phenomenally as well.  Groves can play either OLB or DE.  Both guys are strong like bull, and developed enough to make a noticeable impact as a pass rusher next season.  But they will most likely be gone by #18.

Others that might actually be there for us to consider are (as mentioned) Campbell, Kentwan Balmer, Derrick Harvey, & Philip Merling.  Balmer is a space-eating end (if there was such a thing) who also plays tackle.  Harvey and Merling excel at pass rush and at defending outside running plays, with Harvey drawing comparisons to Jevon Kearse and Merling to Justin Tuck.  Me likey.

I will end with the disclaimer that I know the college game tenfold more than the pro game.  I don't really know how college talent translates, but the guys I've mentioned are all first rounders and are considered "sure-things" (although Calais Campbell has been known to take a few plays off each game; they said that about Mario, too).  I'll leave the deeper analysis to you guys, at which time I will bow at your feet and kiss your ring.

by BigTexBD on Feb 26, 2008 1:59 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

You Said A Mouthful
Here are my quick hit thoughts...

DB--the more I see and read about Leodis McKelvin, the more of a man-crush I develop.  Unfortunately, I don't see any way that he's available at No. 18, and as discussed repeatedly, I can't see Smithiak moving up to get anyone.  I've soured on Talib since bowl season; some mocks now have him slipping to Round Two.  Mike Jenkins intrigues me, but I'm not sure if I would pass up the other guys at other positions (DE and/or LT) who could be available at No. 18.  Not a Cason fan.  Rodgers-Cromartie is allegedly rocketing up draft boards; I'm undecided.  I pray we don't take Reggie Smith; I'd die a little (more) inside.  I go back and forth about Kenny Phillips; I've read too much that says he's overrated.

The DBs run today, so I'll reserve further judgment until then.

On to DEs...I freaking love Gholston, yet his absurd combine performance virtually guarantees there's a better chance of me getting drafted than him being available at No. 18.  I'm wary of Groves, primarily because I wonder if he can be a 4-3 DE.  That said, the guy is a helluva football player.  Harvey could be the next Jevon Kearse; I still have my concerns about, as you noted, whether he'll translate well to the pro game.  Of the remaining candidates, I'm most giddy about Campbell, primarily because of his measurables.  I just can't get the thought of forcing QBs to crawl into the fetal position in fear of getting sandwiched by Super Mario and Calais out of my head.  

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Feb 26, 2008 9:03 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

See..?
The more you think about it, the more it makes sense.  Pass rush has been a big problem the last three years.  We started to turn it around towards the end of last season.  Add one or two studs w/ V-12 motors to the front seven and I guarantee that we end up in the top ten in total defense - poised to break the top five in 09.  

To your question about picking up a top flight FA DE, unless someone 'wants' to come play in Houston and is willing to make the numbers right, I don't see it happening.  

Shakin 'em off one win at a time... In Schaub we trust.

by SOLIS on Feb 26, 2008 9:27 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Your Ideas Intrigue Me
And I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.  Alright, let's play it out...say we do go DE in Round One.  What next?  I'll wager the following order:

Round 3--RB
Round 4--DB
Round 5--OL
Round 6--Best Available
Round 7--Best Available

Your predictions may vary.

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Feb 26, 2008 10:19 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Free coffee mug --- with paid subscription
Well - I had listed here that I thought we should go:

1-DE/RB
3-Hall
4-RB/LT
5-Secondary
6-Best Available
7-See six

But of course, that's with the hypothetical addition of Hall. (Debate remains, but I'd take a chance on him.  Young ultra-talented DBs are few and far between.  And you can believe he's no P-Buc.   May not be the classiest player in the NFL, but I honestly think his best years are ahead of him.  Let Ray Rhodes mold/mentor him and I guarantee he'd be a fan favorite... but I digress)

Taking him out of the equation, the way I see it playing out for the ultimate benefit of the Texans franchise (and it's fans), is to have us take an absolute stud at DE in the 1st --- now that said, I would be willing to let that go in favor of a bigger stud at RB.  In other words, take for example Draft Tek's "value/reach" numbers according to draft position.  Using their player ranking rationale, I'd take, say, Harvey over Mendenhall, but I'd take Mendenhall over Campbell. Or I'd take Ghoulston over Stewart, but I'd take Stewart over just about any other DE not named Long.  

So in my mind it should look like this:

1- DE/RB (best of the two best available)
3- RB/DE (or DB that slipped)
4- DB/RB
5- OLB with a motor
6- Project Lineman to fit Gibbs system
7- Marques Colston

I will concede the point about this being a very deep RB draft and I know we can wait - but I really think RB is a position that needs to be solidified, not wondered about week to week.  We need a tone setting grinder who can bring it on gameday.  The D Lines in the AFC South are too stout to have an iffy situation in the backfield.

Bonus question:  How would you (Texans faithful) feel about taking two RBs?  Like say a workhorse like Stewart or Mendenhall and also a Ray Rice or Chris Johnson for that change of pace/game breaking ability?  Just curious.

To DE or not to DE... that is the question.

by SOLIS on Feb 26, 2008 11:23 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Probably Not
With all the needs on this team, I can't fathom a situation where we'd get two RBs of note in this draft.  While I could see us going RB in Round One, Three, or Four and then getting another under the "best available" theory in Round Six or Seven, there are just too many other positions that need attention.  I think two RBs in one draft is probably a luxury Smithiak can't afford.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Feb 26, 2008 12:38 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You're right
That was me greedily lickin my chops - Kinda like ordering the 22oz Porterhouse and an extra lobster tail, not to mention the soup, salad, potato, and desert that you already have coming to you.

Defintely a luxury we can't afford right now.

To DE or not to DE... that is the question.

by SOLIS on Feb 26, 2008 3:47 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

re: Quentin Groves
"Groves can play either OLB or DE."

And now ladies & gentlemen, I give you the Solis & Lee show.  Here's a preview of the debate that will commence shortly regarding if Groves could fit the want/need.

We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Feb 26, 2008 7:23 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

I know huh?
That Solis guy won that shit...

Riattas.

To DE or not to DE... that is the question.

by SOLIS on Feb 26, 2008 9:31 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

He likes the Cochran
What can I say? The little guy is pretty solid. Not sure how he holds up against the run, but he's certainly a hell of a lot better than Weaver when it comes to getting to the QB.

That said, I'll splooge if we get Vernon Gholston, which (after his combine performance) looks unlikely.

by Nashmeister on Feb 26, 2008 11:25 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Chalk Another One Up For Cochran
He seems to be more athletic than Weaver, and definitely gets to the quarterback better than Weaver ever could.  Comparing their motors would be like comparing a powerstroke to a Ferrari.  Kind of.

by Leein3D on Feb 26, 2008 12:32 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Do I smell a poll coming?
front page......What should the Texans do behind Mario Williams?

(note: thanks to the lack of write-in votes on these polls, no perverted answers may be accepted)

by BigTexBD on Feb 26, 2008 3:29 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

*sniff sniff*
Yeah, that's a poll alright.

by Leein3D on Feb 26, 2008 3:36 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Antwan Odom
Antwan Odom... Odom.

Odom, Antwan odom odom.  Odom Antwanodom.

He is at the top of my FA wish list.

by HoustonDiehards on Feb 27, 2008 4:49 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

A division steal
Odom stands to reap the rewards of his 2007 sack total.  He did respectably well as a result of starting every game last season (the 1st time in his career).

I think how agressively Houston pursues Odom depends on which FA they plan on targeting to bolster the secondary.

I have a sneaking suspicion that he stays in Tennessee.  But I do agree, it'd be niiiiiice to see him dawning the deep steel blue.  I love the idea of weakening a division rival while making ourselves better.  Sign me up for the bring Odom to Houston campaign.

To DE or not to DE... that is the question.

by SOLIS on Feb 27, 2008 7:40 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You're message is a bit subtle
Next time could you please do us all a favor, and take the time to actually detail who it is you are talking about.  Thanks.
We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Feb 28, 2008 7:02 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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