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Around SBN: NFL Roundtable: Which Draft Pick Is Most Likely To Bust?

Mock Draft Survey - Final Installment

We are mere hours from cracking open the book on the Texans' 2008 season. Sure you have 12:01 on the first day of free agency, but that's just the prologue, a foreshadowing of things to come. The NFL draft is the first sentence of the first chapter of the new season. And by all accounts, Texans 2008 should be a great read.

Okay. Enough with the metaphors; its time to get down to business. This is the third and final installment of the 2008 mock draft survey. While there has been some movement, the consensus favorites have maintained their tally mark leads. Again, I used Hail Redskins enormous mock draft database. The criteria for inclusion also remained the same, only Pro/Media/Vet/A+ listed sites. The only difference between the last two mock draft surveys and this one is that I took a larger survey sample this time, seventy sites as opposed to fifty. Below is a graphic representation of the findings.


As you can see, LT Chris Williams takes sole control of the lead at 23%, while CB Mike Jenkins maintains his 20% for a second straight week. RB Jonathan Stewart remains a fixture in our survey, climbing to 18%.

Most sites had CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie as the second corner off the board. It's no wonder he slipped off out chart. In fact, only one site had him falling to the Texans. I'd be remiss if I failed to mention that DRC was also taken in the NBC Bloggers Draft. A couple of hacks from some site called thetexasblog (or something) made the pick. I kid, I kid. Matt and BFD wrote the most original, most insightful reasoning in support of their pick. They were a terrific representation of the Texans blog scene. Great job guys.

RB Rashard Mendenhall's resurgence was due to a handful of drafts that have Stewart going before him. This left me wondering which of the two will be taken first. I guess we'll have to wait and see; but, its that kind of intrigue that makes the draft worth watching.

Rounding out the top five is CB Aqib Talib, who remains a fairly popular choice at 13%. Some pundits feel that he's the real deal, and will excel in the NFL. Others aren't sold and think his penchant for pot smoking will prevent him from realizing his potential. Please. It's not uncommon for people stop smoking pot because of a drug testing policy in the workplace. Unless he's like Sticky Icky Ricky, it shouldn't be a problem.

So after three surveys, I can honestly say that it's anybodies guess. Comparing and contrasting mock drafts is little more that an exercise in redundancy, but it makes for interesting off-season research. Although I've tried to be as thorough as possible, I'm looking to refine my method for next year. Koz, in all his awesomeness, sent me the Huddle Report's mock draft accuracy results. He also took the picks of the 25 most accurate sites and came up with data similar to mine - for one big exception: We have DRC and Stewart at opposite ends of each others lists. Next year, I look to incorporate accuracy track records, that is, of course if Tim renews my contract.

Tomorrow's draft will undoubtedly affect the future of the Texans franchise. I can't wait to meet the impact players of tomorrow. See you there!

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See my left hand, while my right picks your pocket
I was reading PFW tonight and found the following:

The greatest need of the Texans, at No. 18, is a left tackle, and Vanderbilt's Chris Williams could be available. The way we hear it, concerns about the variations in the size of Williams' arms and legs, with one being shorter than the opposite limb, could affect his status. Furthermore, multiple team sources say he has been removed from consideration on their draft boards for medical reasons, which could play into the Texans' favor.

What a goof ball reason.  But if it helps us get Williams, then way to go Texans.  Spread some more rumors.  

Let see, top prospects being removed from some teams boards
DRC has one kidney
Williams has one leg longer than the other
Talib smokes pot...alot
Merling has a sports hernia
Stewart has a hurt toe
Otah watches too much TV
Clady is barely twice as smart as VY

Anyway, there is no way to predict this draft with so many top players supposedly being removed from consideration.  That could be really good for us.

Do you know what "winner" VY's career record is? 17-11 Do you know what "loser" Rex Grossman's career record is? 19-11

by danger man on Apr 25, 2008 1:51 AM CDT reply actions  

re: Players slipping
Yep.  And there's the fact that some team will always make a reach in the top 10-15 picks, ala Miami & Teddy Ginn Jr.
We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Apr 25, 2008 7:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

Houston Texans . com
Travis Johnson says some interesting stuff about his view, which is probably what he's hearing in the locker room, concerning left OT, on part 1 of their mock draft.

by 1Texan on Apr 25, 2008 7:11 AM CDT up reply actions  

Other issues you've forgotten about...
 - DRC clubs baby seals with bags full of kittens.
 - Chris Williams' testicles hang the precise same length.  This could be due to one leg being shorter than the other, but teams should never take that kind of risk.
 - Vernon Gholston enjoys three way romps with Oprah and Roseanne (hey, it's worth a shot, right?).

by bigfatdrunk on Apr 25, 2008 8:31 AM CDT up reply actions  

Re Talib
Everyone points to admitted pot use, but I'm hearing only from Lance Zierlein that the guy also is a total asshole and a cancer. Interesting that there is not more comment generally on this aspect. It would be so easy to compare to DeAngelo Hall.

by knave64 on Apr 25, 2008 1:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

And...
on top of those endearing qualities, nearly everything you read says he has shitty hip movement in coverage.

Yeah, NOT a guy I want AT ALL.

by MDC on Apr 26, 2008 8:38 AM CDT up reply actions  

Other stuff
Thanks for the shout-out, SOLIS!

Also, I hope you guys are fighting the SBN upgrade.  BurntOrangeNation.com has been down for almost a full 24-hours now, and they got upgraded last weekend.

by bigfatdrunk on Apr 25, 2008 8:33 AM CDT reply actions  

re: SBN goes down (heh)
BON still code blue.  Crawfish Boxes & Mocking the Draft were also down yesterday, but are back up this morning.

It seems that all the v2.0 sites crashed yesterday for quite a while.  I blame the Russians.

We can be critical of the draft picks, but in the end we always support the new Texan.

by Shake on Apr 25, 2008 8:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

re:
I thought it was the Soviets again.  I get so confused these days.

by bigfatdrunk on Apr 25, 2008 8:55 AM CDT up reply actions  

Don't trust em
My gut tells me it's the Albanians. Sure they're doing the "democracy" thing now... but I think they still harbor those communistic ideals. What, with their pale skin and white hair - they can't even play out in the sun... Now, that's anti American jack.
To DE or not to DE... that is the question.

by SOLIS on Apr 25, 2008 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

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