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A Must-Win Game... For The Texans Or Gary Kubiak?

Gary Kubiak has been coach of the Houston Texans for approximately three and a half years.  Those three and  half years have been the most successful of the young franchise's history, although a record of 25-28 would hardly be considered successful by most NFL teams' standards.  Long known as a team on the verge of success, this year was considered by many as a make-or-break year for the first-time head coach.  Now that the Texans have a 1-2 record, Gary Kubiak faces the proposition of losing his job.

Gary Kubiak inherited a team that had won just two games the previous year, and outside of a few players, was devoid of talent.  Opinions differ on whether Kubiak is a good coach on Sundays, but it's hard to debate that Kubiak and his General Manager Rick Smith have revamped this team for the better.  Both products of the Mike Shanahan Denver Broncos' system, Smith and Kubiak have been accused often of imitating and attempting to recreate that franchise, including the hiring of coaching personnel.  Two of of those hirings are now causing the most scrutiny for Kubiak and may determine his future with the Texans.

Kyle Shanahan is considered by many as a young, budding offensive mind in the NFL, and from his pedigree, it's hard to argue.  Since his hiring in 2006, Shanahan has received a promotion every year--from wide receivers coach to quarterbacks coach, and then eventually to offensive coordinator in January of 2008.  In his first year as OC, Kubiak eased him into the situation by keeping an unknown amount of the playcalling responsibilities.  This year, however, Kubiak was supposed to hand the reins over to Baby Shan.

Shanahan had a rough first game as playcaller when the New York Jets came to Houston and held the Texans' offense to zero points.  The offense was unable to adjust to the constant Jets pressure, which set a precedent in that game for blitzing more than any NFL team, still true after three games.  Since that game, things seem better, given Matt Schaub's 657 passing yards and 7 TDs in the last two games, but his 107 passing attempts dwarfs Steve Slaton's 38 rushing attempts for the season.  If you add in Chris Brown's 19 attempts, it's still almost a 75/25 pass-to-run ratio.  For an offense predicated on playaction pass, running the ball this little will eventually get them into trouble.

The other hire that Kubiak made from his circle of past Denver colleagues was Frank Bush.  Bush was not a popular hire in Houston because he was part of the old defensive regime led by Richard Smith, who produced three years of sub-standard defense.  Bush started to win people over, though, because he preached a mantra of attacking the football (in other words blitzing), something that Smith didn't do often.

Bush's defense this year, although showing flashes of improvement, is statistically terrible.  They are, in fact, the worst defense in league after three weeks of play.  Bush has succeeded in producing more pressure on opposing quarterbacks, but that pressure hasn't resulted in sacks and the atrocious secondary has been picked apart.  Despite having more talent than ever before, the defense has seemingly regressed under Bush.

Kubiak has handed over a majority of playcalling to Shanahan and has little to no control over Bush's defense, but it doesn't matter.  As head coach, he made the decisions to place those two as coordinators, so he is responsible for their successes and failures.  If the Texans managed to lose to the Raiders on Sunday, they would be staring at a 1-3 record and a hard fight to make the playoffs, the realistic goal for this season.  This would really test the balance between owner Bob McNair's affection and patience for Kubiak and his stated desire for a playoff berth this season.

Obviously, everyone hopes that Kubiak rights the ship this week and leads the Texans to their first home win of the season.  For conversation's sake though, is this a must-win game for Gary Kubiak?  In the event of a loss, would he destined to lose his job some time during or after the season?  Some writers around here have even begun to question Kubiak's rightful place as head coach

I personally want to believe that Kubiak is safe.  Not only do I think that he can be a great coach in this league, but I also detest the idea of going through another rebuilding period.  Great franchises in the NFL have shown a huge amount of tolerance to losing and struggling to get over the hump.  If we want to have that same success, I think we need to show the same patience. 

What do you think?  If the Texans fall to 1-3, is and/or should Gary Kubiak be a doomed man?

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Bush's defense this year, although showing flashes of improvement, is statistically terrible.

Where are these flashes?

Where can we get these placebos? Maybe there’s some in this truck!

Also: I’d love to keep Kubiak as an offensive coordinator, but if he gets fired I’m more scared of the fact that his replacement will be worse than I am that we’re missing out on him becoming some sort of scion. If that makes sense.

- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement

by riversmccown on Oct 1, 2009 9:54 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Kubiak should be a doomed man.....

IF the Texans do not have a winning record.

8-8 or less I think he needs to go.

9-7 up in the air.

10-6 he stays for certain.

"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."

The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related

by TexansForever on Oct 1, 2009 9:54 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

My fear is...

He takes the blame for Bush. But how else can you play it? Smith gone, too?

I know it’s only the third game and whatever, but Bush’s defense hasn’t only been horrific, it’s historically bad. After three games, I’d at least like to see some improvement, but I don’t.

Note to self: Insert something witty here.

by bigfatdrunk on Oct 1, 2009 10:03 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Thats because you arent looking the right way...

Here, take these rose colored glasses. They will help.

"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."

The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related

by TexansForever on Oct 1, 2009 10:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wrong glasses

They made Rosie look hot. Do you have any others?

Note to self: Insert something witty here.

by bigfatdrunk on Oct 1, 2009 10:14 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmm....

I have these blu-blockers, but I usually reserve those for my “After Loss” Disguise.

"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."

The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related

by TexansForever on Oct 1, 2009 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

What I am afraid of is that when the defense gets him fired our offense won’t survive and we’ll be back to square one.

by JimboTexan on Oct 1, 2009 4:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

.......

if we do, that would be dumb as hell. much as i hate the TITS and the steelers, texan management need only look at their stability within the coaching ranks to see a blueprint on how to weather a storm. remember when the TITS went like 7-9 one year? fish never had to worry about his job. same with cowher. hell we gave capers and his funky ass 3-4 scheme and shitty coaching more time than that! Koob is the fucking man. dont blame him.

You are banned from Music City Miracles. (twice)
You are banned from Blogging The Boys.

by chrisd21 on Oct 1, 2009 10:57 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey Chris

you must be a long time memeber on this board. I enjoy reading your posts and how you’ve almost got to the F Dunta position over the last several weeks. I can tell you are a long time member because you don’t get jumped by the guy from his mom’s basement or Texan Kurt or anyone else when you appear to be looking through “rose colored glasses”. I agree with you and your post. Don’t forget the TITS went 5-11 in 2004, 4-12 in 2005 and 8-8 in 2006. I’m getting tired of people bashing Bush in his FIRST year as a DC. Remember people we all have to start somewhere. When you started your first job I bet you didn’t knock people’s socks off on the first or third week on the job and made absoultely no mistakes. The defense has given up fewer yards each week and if they continue in that way they stand to be a pretty good D – progress is better than regress. Will it be too late this year – hell i don’t know and neither do you. We’ve only played 3 games and yes we’ve lost two but the season is not over. I remember when the Oilers started out I think 1-3 and ended the season at 11-5 and went to the playoffs. If we lose to Oakland this weekend it will be very difficult to climb back but if we win we move on to the next week and try and do it again. What if we end the season 10-6 or even 11-5 then what will all the people not wearing the rosey glasses say. Oh but we still lost six and Bush’s defense almost cost us another 3 games so really we should be 7-9 or some shit like that. Please don’t get me wrong guys, I am as upset about last weeks loss as much as anybody. I couldn’t even post anything on Monday because I was still upset and realized the team I love more than any other team is a team that gets a pick called on them in the endzone to negate a TD and then the next try they fumble in the endzone so yes I understand not everything is great about our Texans right now but they are my team and I support and I get pissed at them when they lose or make stupid mistakes but we live to play another game. Coming in here and posting about how much your team sucks or how their new DC in his THIRD game should be put out of his misery is recockuless. In Smith’s first year he gave up more yards in his first 3 games then Bush’s defense has. Smith’s D got a little better but they still never drafted or made a trade for a big time corner and safety. I am pulling for Bush (instead of already wanting to burn him at the stake) and I hope the Texans go and make a deal or draft someone and give Bush better personnel in the secondary. Who knows maybe even Smith would have had a better defense if at one point the Texans had a secondary able to cover someone. The bottom line is that I understand people’s frustrations , I’m right there with you but writing off the season at 1-2 is too much for me and I will not bash them at this point. I just think some of you guys could hold off a little bit with your “the sky is falling comments” and get back to SUPPORTING this team. If we lay an egg against Oakland then we will have a long season of ups and downs but if we win we are back in this thing and looking at our next opponent. I apologize to some if I come off looking like an ass after this post but I will not apologize for supporting and encouraging this team. I am not naive or ignorant to the Texans problems but I still have hope and think they can turn this around because it’s not over yet (at least to me and probably a few more). Go ahead, fire away.

Confucius says "man who stands on toilet, high on pot".

by Bobobigbro on Oct 1, 2009 3:38 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

Here here!

Thank you Bobo!!
             -The Guy From His Mom’s Basement (I think)

which reminds me… How awesome are basements?? Why can’t we have them in TX?

Bacon tastes good... Pork chops taste good.

by beefy on Oct 1, 2009 3:44 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The oilers actually...

started 1-4 and finished 12-4, my first 1st anniversary was spent at that game in the Dome, Jan.1994 against the Jets. So there is still hope:)

GO TEXANS!!!!

This is the year.......

by Texanmaniac on Oct 1, 2009 4:06 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm so glad I'm the guy from his mom's basement.

I don’t really try and jump on people for being optimistic. If I wasn’t optimistic and wasn’t hoping for the best, I don’t think I’d waste my time turning on the TV. So I am sorry if I come off as “jumping” people. Just because you see a crappy team on film doesn’t mean you don’t want them to be a good team. I’m just trying to be objective about things.

- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement

by riversmccown on Oct 1, 2009 4:20 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Whew...

I thought it might be ME!

Bacon tastes good... Pork chops taste good.

by beefy on Oct 1, 2009 4:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

i consider myself........

a realistic optomist. meaning, since i played ball, i see things a little different. i guarantee you NOT ONE of those guys in the locker room enjoy losing. it’s adrenaline, it’s nerves, it’s all that shit. it’s pressure, it’s trying to do to much, it’s the stink of past seasons, all combined. call it “the ghosts of texans past.” lol. what it means, is that, until MENTALLY our guys can stay in the game for the ENTIRE game, we will continue to have the up/down stuff. i’ve written some fairly critical things on here, during the game, after the game. but after tuesday, leave that shit ALONE. how much can you talk about a loss… or a win? i dont get too excited when we win, i dont get to down when we lose.

You are banned from Music City Miracles. (twice)
You are banned from Blogging The Boys.

by chrisd21 on Oct 1, 2009 5:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

almost...

only counts in horseshoes! lol! but im pretty sure if you look hard enough i actually said it once or twice. (fuck dunta.) that’s just an example i still like #23! and as far as my rose colored glasses, i think i get a pass because i verbally beat down all of our enemies (TITS, JAGS, CUNTS, etc) and who messes with Luca Brasie? lol.. nobody.

You are banned from Music City Miracles. (twice)
You are banned from Blogging The Boys.

by chrisd21 on Oct 1, 2009 5:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's funny

i thought you did say it a week or two ago but I still had a feeling you didn’t really mean it. Continue with the beat downs of our enemies! I still laugh everytime someone uses the term BESF. I hope we kick the shit out of the Raiders this weekend – lord knows my liver can’t take another loss (at least not two weeks in a row).

Confucius says "man who stands on toilet, high on pot".

by Bobobigbro on Oct 1, 2009 5:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Para breaks are your friend

The problem with Bush is not only that his defense his horribly poor, or his scheme, or that he’s a Smith disciple. It’s that he has no idea what to do with the talent he has. That he’s essentially holding tryouts for SS three games into the season is rubbish.

You say he’s only got three games under his belt, but it’s an excuse. For somebody that’s been on the staff for a couple of years to make the mistakes he has is simply inexcusable.

Yes, I’m being harsh. I admit this. The problem is that the problems we are seeing now were all easily predictable. It’s the definition of insanity in real life. Many of us have been kvetching about how we didn’t address major problem areas in the draft. Instead of taking NTs and Ss, we decided to take Casey and Hill. We did a great job addressing holes we didn’t have. Connor Barwin? Great. What about guys who actually play all three downs.

All of this was predictable. Our defensive struggles aren’t surprising. Can we improve from here? Well, it’d be mighty damn hard to be worse.

Note to self: Insert something witty here.

by bigfatdrunk on Oct 1, 2009 8:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

i don't believe it to be rubbish

true, they should have had an answer before the start of the season, but if there is a bleeding wound you try to stop the bleeding anyway you can…i do agree with the the idea that they should have used draft picks a little better than they did, but do you think they could have drafted a better ss than what we currently have available? as much as the secondary is in some serious hurt right now, i still think that the defensive line is still in need of some serious addressing…i still think a dt and a de opposite super mario are as pressing issues as the secondary.(my vote is still out on okoye, if after this season he doesn’t seem any better than any other option i might start screaming for his head on a pike)..i personally like the “idea” of the direction the defense is heading…more pressure on the qb is a good thing, but we have got to get that pressure…not the appearance of pressure…stats don’t lie…the pressure on the qb is non-existent….a late hit on the qb is just that a late hit. i don’t think kubes should lose his job this season no matter the out come, but if after the next draft they come back playing the same shitty games, and have not addressed the real issues that faces this ball club…then i think he should be sent packing…

by turnip73 on Oct 1, 2009 10:59 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In my mind

He has to get to 6-10 before firing him is really an option. Mostly because the transition to a new, no doubt defensively oriented, coach would set us back at least 2 years. 7-9 he stays, but if we’re in the top 10 drafting next year, it’s probably over for him. Also, McNair’s commitment to Dom Capers indicates that it’s just not going to happen.

by JimboTexan on Oct 1, 2009 11:28 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Bob McNair has shown he is not impulsive and will not fire anyone mid season. So the emo sports writers can go crazy all they want, but Kubiak is not getting fired in the near future. That being said, if they dont manage at least 8 wins he could be in jeopardy after the season ends. I really hope the defense doesnt end up screwing him over. I can see the offense being top 5 in everything, and then defense being bad and costing us a winning season. Without 9 wins McNair is going to be under alot of pressure to make a change even if he doesnt want to.

Be judgmental about the actions of the past, be hopeful about the actions of the future. -The Homers Creed

by DaGoaT on Oct 1, 2009 12:16 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

No Way Kubes Gets Canned Mid-Season

But if this team posts a losing record at the end of the season, barring injuries to key players and considering the perceived kindness of the schedule, I don’t know if Kubes gets another year in Houston.

Back when Kubes hired Bush, I said that Kubiak had tied his future to the hire, and I still believe that. If the defense pulls out of the nosedive it’s in and begins carrying its weight, this team is going to win enough to keep Kubes employed at Reliant Park. If we have another 13 weeks of what we’ve seen the past three weeks, a losing record and a new head coach is virtually guaranteed.

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Oct 1, 2009 12:51 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I hope not.

it all depends on the overall growth and direction of the team. I’m hoping for a 10-6 season, but even if we flop record-wise, if we are clearly a better team than last year and are doing things the right way…then McNair should stay the course. Even if he hates the Defense after 10 games, it doesn’t mean you have to cut the Head Coach, just tell Rick Smith to get the best available DC lined up for next year and make the hiring process PERFECT this time…However, if at the years end, even if we are 10-6, if MCNair knows that the team is worse than last year and getting worse…then as unpopular as it would be, you give him the axe.

by Smittybaby on Oct 1, 2009 1:04 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

until they lose #7...

I’m sticking with 10-6. For some reason I think things will get figured out.

GO TEXANS!!!!

This is the year.......

by Texanmaniac on Oct 1, 2009 3:05 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Same. I’m waiting for the defense that finished out last year strong to show up. This defense should have better talent then that defense.

by nolander on Oct 1, 2009 3:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

time to shine

every week is the same answers no solutions shit alot of people will lose thier jobs if they don’t start putting some wins in the bag. I SEE THE TEAM WILL STILL WIN 11 GAMES!!!!!!!!!!! THE SHAUB WILL RISE

by severo on Oct 1, 2009 7:30 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

did anyone see kubiak's quote about MJD's long run?

kubiak said that the exact same situation occurred early in the game. same exact defense and same exact offensive play. yet one play is a gain of 4, the other is a gain of 61 for a touchdown. i think something needs to be said about the players on the field. it doesnt matter how much of a man mario and demeco are, with the shitty ass players in the secondary and from the other d-line members, how can you blame bush and kubiak? i was pretty disappointed this weekend, and bush’s start hasnt been what we all expected, but how long is it gonna take before we address our god awful secondary? last yr bennett regressed and dunta was coming off major knee surgery and for some reason we draft 2 tight ends in the middle of the draft? i think a lot is being said about the coaching and perhaps not enough about the scrubs in our secondary. all this shittiness on the field does make me mad with kubiak and bush, but the players should be taking some responsibility here

by jroberts5 on Oct 1, 2009 8:20 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Well said and great example from the MJD run

You could almost say we drafted 3 TE’s – Casey, Hill, and Barwin. I like Barwin and I hope he can get things going on the defensive side of the ball but if he can’t then we have another TE available. The Texans seem to really like TE’s and we just brought back Harris. We now have 5 TE’s on our team and O CB’s, 1/2 FS and 0 SS (I sure hope Pollard works out there).

Confucius says "man who stands on toilet, high on pot".

by Bobobigbro on Oct 2, 2009 8:59 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I totally agree

If you could scientifically quantify the secondary it would be [SUCK+(SOFT-CHOKE) x WHIFFTACKLE+TOAST]= Deer in the headlights. I don’t see how this gets fixed unless existing players somehow discover untapped reserves of heretofore unseen skills. I mean, here I am trying to convince myself that Pollard should give me hope because he plays the run a little better. I want to believe.

I like Kubiak and Shanahan. I think they should stay. I dunno how McNair will feel if we don’t right the ship this season. That said, I wonder what convinced them they would be ok coming into this season with this secondary. Apparently they saw something that totally evaporated on opening day.

by CheeseNacho on Oct 3, 2009 11:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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