Three And Out: Useless Predictions For The 2009 NFL Draft

by Tim on Apr 25, 2009 1:18 AM CDT in Events Comment 10 comments

It's back, baby! BRB's wholly worthless and ill-informed regular in-season feature, "Three And Out," is making a special offseason return for the glory that is the 2009 NFL Draft. You know the drill. I give you three (3) predictions that are sure to come to fruition (read: these predictions are sure to fail, thus exposing the author to deserved mockery), and we all marvel at my eerie resemblance to Nostradamus after the fact. Hit it!

1. For reasons beyond my comprehension, Aaron Curry will not be picked within the first five (5) picks. He's almost universally regarded as the closest thing to a lock in this year's draft, but teams will manage to talk themselves out of taking him. Some franchise selecting between sixth and tenth is going to get him, and they're not going to believe their luck. This will anger me, especially if Jacksonville becomes Curry's employer in a few hours.

2. After seeing himself going in the top ten in mock drafts in early April, Everette Brown is going to find himself in for an awkward afternoon. He's not going in the top half of the first round. On the other hand, Tyson Jackson is somehow going to go in the top twelve. In three (3) years, we will wonder what the heck the team who picked Jackson was thinking.

3. For all the talk about the cost of trading up, there will be at least one team that trades up into the top ten. My guess? Washington agrees to further mortgage its future (e.g., the thirteenth pick in this year's draft and a first-rounder in a future draft) for the opportunity to make Mark Sanchez their own.

PUT YOUR NAME ON IT: And what of our beloved Houston Texans? Call me unoriginal, but I'm calling a trade down for the second year in a row. With who? No idea; I never saw Baltimore being the trading partner last year. But I feel confident predicting that your Houston Texans are going to parlay the fifteenth overall pick into a later first-round pick plus a second or third rounder.

Who will be the first newest Texan tomorrow afternoon after said trade? Again, I never saw Duane Brown coming, so take this prediction with a gallon of salt. I'm calling Clay Matthews III, which necessarily means it will not be Clay Matthews III. You can blame me when Matthews goes on to become a Hall of Famer for another team; I jinxed it.

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lol awesome post

Ohh, i wanna make some predictions too. My first one, that Matthew Stafford will be a Lion, lol. for real:

1. CURRY WILL NOT BE A TOP FIVE PICK. PERIOD!!! Agreed w/ u on this one ALL the way. I called this from the combine. He’s a solid SLB, yet his lack of pass rush experience is going to make teams think twice especially when they can new 3-4 transition teams can fill that same need w/ a smash mouth guy like Maualuga or the blazing speedy Maybin.

2. NEW ORLEANS IS TRADING THEIR #14 PICK: This is by far the easiest trade call of the bunch. Sean Payton was ALL OVER the place scouting mid 1st round to lower 1st round talent. He’s tipping his hand a bit, but I’m certain, w/o a doubt that NO will move out of this pick. They have legit needs on defense as well, and similar to the Texans did alot of stop gapping, so they can trade down and get a “faller” like Moreno at a “steal.” It’s going to happen.

3. The Texans will have the opportunity to draft: Malcolm Jenkins or Brian Orakpo. I have a feeling ONE of those guys will be there for sure. Orakpo is slipping, and I think he’s going to be available where we draft. Jenkins could go @ #12 to Denver, so let’s be decisive about this: ORAKPO WILL BE THERE AT 15!

Putting my name on it: ORAKPO WILL BE A HOUSTON TEXAN. That’s my prediction, alot has to go right, but I think when it’s all said and done, Kubiak is drafting my bhoooiii. Here’s my other guarantee: Texans are drafting a center in the 2nd round. I don’t know who, but they will. There are my two predictions, Clay Matthews is more than likely going to be the pick, but I figure if I pray hard enough and spam enough, Orakpo will be in Battle Red on Sundays grabbing double digit sacks w/ Mario and Antonio Smith rotating in and out kinda like the NY Giants had a few yrs ago… sigh i can dream can’t I?

by wiseonekms on Apr 25, 2009 1:35 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

My first one, that Matthew Stafford will be a Lion, lol.

I really wish they were in the AFC South.

by Only_A_Lad on Apr 25, 2009 2:09 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

ooh, another one

Gartrelle Johnson is going to be a Texan. Kubiak loves his kid’s college. He’s drafting Gartrelle.

by wiseonekms on Apr 25, 2009 1:37 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

The Texans will select a Red Raider, be it Darcel McBath in the early-mids, Brandon Williams in the mid-lates, or even Louis Vasquez
The Cleveland Browns weren’t lying when they said they won’t take Michael Crabtree, and he ends up being picked by the Raiders. Jamarcus Russell, Darren McFadden and Crabtree all in one offense? Sheesh, look out AFC West!
I get caught off guard when Day 1 ends after Round 2 instead of Round 3.

After all is said and done, more is said than done.

by ayleein on Apr 25, 2009 2:40 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Trade Up!

Texans give away their extra fourth round pick to move up and steal Aaron Curry

THAT IS MY WISH…ERRRRR WORTHLESS PREDICTION

I also predict that everybody that reads and contributes to this blog will be VERY happy with the Texans draft this year

Mokachucha

by Hangbok on Apr 25, 2009 3:38 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

I'm just....

glad to see the end of mock draft season.

GO TEXANS!!!!

www.houstonsportsrule.blogspot.com

by Texanmaniac on Apr 25, 2009 9:10 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Interesting predictions Tim

Texans are usually good for a surprise in the early rounds. Because we have an extra 4th and have a 2nd for the first time since Smithiak took over, I think we can afford to sacrifice pick(s) to move up.

1) We trade up with Oakland, GB or SF to get BJ Raji. He is far and away the best D Lineman in the draft and instantly elevates our defense like no other player on the board can.

2) We draft 2 offensive lineman; a C/G and an OT. Will not be surprised if the C/G is the round 2 selection.

3) We draft 2 DB’s. CB’s or a CB/S like Sean Smith.

4) We use a 4th or lower to get a situational RB.

5) After Sunday we are a much better team (on paper at least).

6) I can’t see Curry being picked below #5, and have no explanation for the last minute meteoric rise of Tyson Jackson.

by oiler-texan diehard on Apr 25, 2009 12:31 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Re: Raji

If the Texans trade up to acquire Raji, I will credit you as a true seer. You’ve been banging that drum for weeks, and I just can’t fathom the Texans giving up the asset(s) necessary to move far enough up in Round One to snag Raji.

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Apr 25, 2009 1:56 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Thanks for the feedback. I was waiting for someone to tell me I am full of it

It’s not like I expect it to happen, but I want it to. If Raji is projected to be a monster DT, then he is worth sacrificng picks for.

by oiler-texan diehard on Apr 25, 2009 2:19 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

You're Not Full Of It

There are very few players I’d even consider trading up for, and Raji is one of them. Still, given what we know about Smithiak’s draft strategy, I would bet against them giving away picks to move up, at least in Round One.

Now, in Round Two or Three, considering the extra fourth rounder we got for Sage? I could definitely see moving up then if there’s a player Kubes covets.

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Apr 25, 2009 2:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs