Was the Matt Schaub trade a good or a bad trade for the Texans
This is my first article on BRB. I have been reading the articles here for a long time and recently started posting comments. IMO, BRB is one of the best sites for Texans fans that I have come across and I enjoy the hell out coming to this site on a daily basis. If you have time, let me know what you think of my article... good or bad.
I would like to know if Texans fans or anyone reading this believe that we made a good or a bad decision in trading for Matt Schaub. I like the fact that we can lay down some opinion before the season too, that way we can get some folks to eat crow after the season. So, let the debate begin....
I am actually a Matt Schuab fan but I have heard and even considered the fact that the Texans may have given up too much for Matt Schaub. When the trade first happened I wondered why we didn't just give the ball to Sage Rosenfels or try our luck in the draft. After he was here though I warmed to him I never really thought about it again until Matt Cassell was traded from the Patriots to the Chiefs this summer. The Patriots gave up Vrabel and Cassell in return for one second round pick, this still amazes me. I don't quite understand how the Patriots didn't get more. I hear that they didn't want a first rounder because of money concerns but what is the reason that they didn't land more second and/ or beyond picks? This trade really messed with my head, especially considering it had nothing to do with my beloved Texans. The national media (ESPN) did make a mention of the fact that the Texans gave up more for Schaub and how Cassell was clearly the better QB in this league, maybe that is why I let it bother me for so long.
So doing the math, Matt Schaub is worth two second rounders while Matt Cassell is barely worth one because the Chiefs also go a player in return as well. From a fans perspective I found it hard to phathom. I would think Cassell accomplished more in his one year as a starter than Schaub ever did as a back-up for Vick and the Falcons. Saying all this makes me think the Texans gave up too much. I think looking at it this way isn't logical though because the Patriots gave the Chiefs a sweetheart deal obviously and the Texans actually had to pay up like most other teams to pry away another teams player. Plus I have to factor in the fact that cutting David Carr was priceless!
Listening to ESPN the Radio (Mike and Mike but I forget who was sitting in) the other morning the guys were talking about how Cassell might be a bust and how they think he is a system quarterback. I believe this to be true too but they actually had some stats to back it up. There has to be a reason the guy hasn't started in college or the pros... it's because he isn't the best guy for the job, right? Last year I thought Cassell did an admirable job stepping in for Brady. These guys thru some things out there that I didn't know though. They said Matt Cassell was the worst QB in the league in the Red Zone last year, that he got sacked more than any other QB in the league last year, and that he holds on to the ball longer than any other QB in the league. There were some more but I can't remember them all (too early in the morning) and don't want to fudge on what I heard. I found all this to be eye popping though. I don't follow the Patriots like I do the Texans, obviously! One thing I do know though (or at least have the opinion of) is that the Patriots have a great offensive line, great WR's, and a coaching staff that is superior to almost any staff in the league (if not every team). I would think that the Patriots would afford any QB alot of luxuries that he will not find in most places that he plays. With a good O-line, WR corp, and coaching staff the guy shouldn't be leading the league in sacks, should not be the worst in the Red Zone, and I would think that the NE staff would have done everything possible to make him the best he could be. and should be.
I believe Cassell may just be a bust. I think he is going to be like David Carr was in Houston, a guy that had the tools but just didn't get the job done because he didn't make quick enough decisions and held on to the ball too long.
They went on to compare Cassell and Schaub alot and both agreed that Schaub was the better deal. Not only did we get the better QB (still up for debate by some) but we ended up getting him for cheaper. Schaub's contract is a much better contract for our team that the contract that the Chiefs just ponied up for Cassell. If he is a bust, it is going to be a serious burden on the Chiefs for many years to come.
Anywho, this little ramble is more about how I think we didn't get screwed in the Schaub deal after all. I really have been debating this in my head since the Cassell trade went down. I think Schaub is and will always be better than Matt Cassel and I also think he will be a top 10 QB this year while leading us to our fist playoff appearance. I am interested to hear other opinions.
4 recs |
28 comments
Comments
nice article...
and you know, i never even thought about this…i guess i can see where you are coming from…well obviously know we know schaub is better and maybe in 2-3 years we can say whose deal was really better…
by EveryHoustonTeamRox! on Aug 21, 2009 7:19 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I think the Texans made a good trade
He’s a good player; certainly better than the player he replaced at the position. Plus, he doesn’t worry about his hair more than how he plays.
It will happen
by Rip Jersey on Aug 21, 2009 7:35 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
nice
Excellent first article.
I think that, technically yes, we overpaid for Schaub. Considering the Falcons didn’t really want to give him up due to their concerns about Vick (pre-dog), we really had no choice once we decided he was our guy.
In my not-so-humble opinion, the difference between a starting QB and a #2 in the NFL has been made startlingly clear the last two years. Schaub may never become an elite QB, but he’s definitely excellent and gives us a lot of value offensively.
Note to self: Insert something witty here.
by bigfatdrunk on Aug 21, 2009 8:24 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
We did overpay.
But from the looks of it so far it was worth those two second rounders.
Like what BFD said, the falcons didn’t wanna give Schaub up because they wanted to have an out just in case the whole Vick thing didn’t pan out. And there were already rumors circulating that time around Vick being involved in that dog fighting ring so they really wanted to hold onto Schaub. Obviously they were aware of his potential as a starting QB although he hasn’t taken many snaps and so were the Texans. So two second rounders were definitely worth the price. Just imagine the rosencopter happening more than once….
shrugs
by Jordann on Aug 21, 2009 9:33 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Timing is everything...
Smith and Kubes HAD to move on it—at the time. Landing a talented QB was just too important, the O had to get established; Kubes had to build his platform fast; something positive had to get moving. Schaub, for all intent and purpose was it.
Hindsight is always a better way to see things, but in the heat of negotiations coupled with the desperation we were under at the time, what happened to bring Schaub this way was the best deal that could be put together.
Other deals have been done with other teams under different circumstances and they just look better when compared without the circumstances being fully considered.
However, all that said, with Schaub we have a talent that passed for over 3k last season in only nine games. The math on that alone says he’s due for over 45 hundred this year. He took a couple of bad hits that would have taken out anybody (yeah, even Peyton wouldn’t have withstood those hits) and has come back.
The question about his health isn’t about how he can stay healthy, it’s how much abuse will his protection allow him to take. Brady would tell you the same, I think.
Yeah, the deal for Matt was as good a deal as it could be at the time.
by SBond on Aug 21, 2009 10:06 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Good Post
Piggybacking off of what BFD said, there’s even a startling difference between starting QB’s in the NFL, nevermind between starters and #2’s. At the time, I thought we overpaid… that we had too many holes to give up those picks. Fast forward to today, and it was definitely worth it, especially if Schaub can put together a solid season. He may not be elite, but he is certainly upper tier, and that is worth a lot in the league.
by ~Buck on Aug 21, 2009 11:44 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Rec'd The Post
Great work, wasteph.
I’d echo what everyone else said. Did we overpay at the time for Schaub? Probably. Would I rather have those two second-rounders back now? No way. I’ll take Schaub every day of the week. Productive QBs do not grow on trees.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...
by Tim on Aug 21, 2009 2:14 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Maybe we overpaid
but I wouldn’t trade him off for 2 second round picks today, even if (especially if?) we still had Rosenfels.
I like Schaub. I think he’ll be our QB for many years to come and I think he’ll silence all doubts this year.
Then again, I have a lot of confidence in Smithiak. So far I don’t think its misplaced.
by WhiskeyR on Aug 21, 2009 8:56 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
KC screwed the pooch
A big reason the Patriots sent Cassell away (with Vrabel) for only a 2nd was to unload about $14million (and that was just Cassell’s salary—I don’t know how much Vrabel’s deal is for). They had franchised Cassell because at the time a decision had to be made they couldn’t be certain how soon and how healthy Brady could return. When they saw the extent and speed of Brady’s recovery, they knew they’d overreached to retain Cassell.
I’m convinced Pioli screwed up on that deal. And I mean in a really, really big way. Croyle and Thigpen, I truly believe, are both talented QBs. What they needed in order to better realize their potential was a better coaching staff and for the younger guys on the KC O-line (and in the WR corps) to gain a bit more experience.
by knave64 on Aug 21, 2009 11:52 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Agreed...
and sure is looking that way, in hindsight. But, I would say that in foresight, I was thinking it. Cassel’s $28 million guaranteed puts the pinch on KC if it turns out Cassel doesn’t become a dominant No. 1 QB. Let’s see how he does with the Chiefs questionable O-line providing protection versus the dependable O-line of the Patriots. The Texans put some pressure on him, but it wasn’t overwhelming last Saturday. No matter how well he did last year, can’t forget he was throwing to Randy Moss and Wes Welker and probably with more time than he will see this season. Croyle didn’t look bad, but he hasn’t proven himself to be dependable in the past and we didn’t see Croyle playing against the Texans’ number 1’s, either. KC has some things to work out this season, for sure..
It will happen
by Rip Jersey on Aug 22, 2009 7:08 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
To everyone for your nice comments about my first post, I appreciate it.
by wasteph on Aug 22, 2009 1:05 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Schaub trade - good or bad?
I think the additional point you missed was this – a player’s trade value is not just their talent and production – but their salary is a huge part of it. The Texans gave up 2 spots in the first round and (2) 2nd round picks. However, the first 2nd round pick was #11 or so in the 2nd round, and the 2nd of those picks was unknown, since it wasn’t for another year. The Cassel trade was for the 1st pick in the 2nd round – albeit significantly more valuable b/c it was higher in the round.
So the Chiefs gave up a 2nd round pick, and got their QB – but one that was guaranteed at least $14 MM that year. Schaub got a big contract, but it wasn’t as much as Cassel was due.
So, looking at the trade, you have to take all that into account. If Cassel was under contract for $1MM, his trade value would have been far higher, since the team acquiring him wouldn’t have to break the bank for him.
That’s another reason Dunta’s trade value isn’t as high as we would like – b/c anyone acquiring him would have to give him $50+ MM.
by BradMTexanFan on Aug 22, 2009 6:49 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I guess i'm in the minority that feels we didn't overpay initially for Schaub
Our QB position was a nightmare at the time with the trainwreck known as Carr manning the helm… There was no way we were going into the next season with Carr still our starter, Kubiak was going to get him a QB to fit his system and I seriously doubt he wanted to count on an unproven rookie to be that guy…, nor was there really a QB in that draft that would fit our offense that well anyways.
At the time, Schaub was very highly thought of around the league, with multiple teams such as the Jets and Vikings trying to make a trade for him but the Falcons wanted more than a 2nd rounder which was offered for Schaub. I believe I read at one time that a team was offering a mid to late 1st rounder to the Falcons for Schaub and they declined, I can’t remember all the details so it could just be something I dreamed up, but the point is that there was alot of interest in Schaub around the league and the Falcons weren’t willing to move him for anything short of a blockbuster type deal.
Getting Schaub for 2 spots in the first round and 2 2nd round picks was kind of a steal when you consider that the Falcons wanted a 1st round + more for him… I’m not saying that his price wasn’t high, but at the time that was his market value and there were several teams besides the Texans trying to work out a deal to get him.. Spending $50,000 on a car would be pricey, but if you spent $50,000 for a $80,000 car, you can’t say you overpaid for it. The Falcons were asking for much more than they got for Schaub and up until the trade happened wanted a 1st and 3rd I believe for him and claimed to be willing to hold on to him if there were no takers, so to have the asking price knocked back to 2 2nd rounders and a 1st round swap, was a pretty good deal.
by Bryan72076 on Aug 22, 2009 9:17 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Schaub Was A Restricted Free Agent
Thus, the “going rate” was a first and third rounder for him. Looking at it from that perspective, two second-rounders is much more reasonable than it may have appeared at first glance.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...
by Tim on Aug 23, 2009 10:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have to say it was a good trade
Strictly looking at it objectively, the only thing in question is two second round picks. So if we assume one second round pick would be a steal (or even for both teams) for our argument, then all we’re really asking is is Matt Schaub worth the “extra” second round pick?
In the 2007 and 2008 drafts between the 2nd round pick we traded and our next pick in the third round (the only realistic hypothetical players we could have had, because a. they were on the board, and b. if we realistically COULD have taken a guy who turned out to be a stud LATER in the draft, we WOULD have taken them with our third round pick) I don’t see anyone in either draft that I’d rather have than Matt. This is assuming everyone here agrees Matt was worth the one 2nd we woulda given up. Ray Rice? Tony Ugoh?
So with hindsight, its a good deal. Now if the second rounds of those drafts turn out a superstar that hasn’t blossomed yet, then with even further hindsight maybe I could be convinced otherwise.
But realistically the “is it a good deal” question can only be asked at the time of the offer. And in this case, with our situation at the time, we made a good deal.
Smushiak will take us to the playoffs in 2009.
by texanphil on Aug 23, 2009 3:12 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I want to weigh in one more time
I won’t say that Matt Schaub was a sure thing, but I will say he was pretty close and he hasn’t done anything to cause me to think that there was another QB option out there that was better in any way, shape or form for the Texans, at the time and I’m not sure since. Now, if you look at 2nd round draft choices, I think you might agree that it is a veritable crap shoot. But let’s be realistic, if you get two 2nd round draft choices, you have a good chance of hitting on one of them. Now all that being said, I still think that Matt Schaub for those draft choices was a GREAT trade. I really do.
It will happen
by Rip Jersey on Aug 23, 2009 10:19 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
a slightly different lense to look at this Q through
yet another way to look at this issue starts with these questions:
1) How high a draftspot could you buy/trade up in the draft for 2nd rdrs and a 2 spot flip? I mean to say, as a package, what draft pick slot would that buy you?
2) Whatever draft spot that would buy, (say a early-mid 1st round pick), Would you have drafted Schuab with that # pick in that draft if he were available (given his potential, reduced risk, age, salary, talent, character, hairline and position)?
Seeing as how I really wanted to trade out of the first round this year (as I am prone to every year)…I would have considered a trade for this year’s 1st rnd draft spot for 2-2nd rdrs & a 2-spot flip….so while the talent was a little different between the drafts, I’d venture a guess that we essentially traded value for and drafted Schaub with lets say the 15th pick in the draft……..through that lense…especially considering the shitty leverage we had and the time and pressure this management was under to get the ball rolling, I’d say it was the right move. As we continue to add quality depth (and the versatility route is letting us get there even more quickly than I expected) we hopefully will get ourselves into a position (with so much leverage) that we can afford to walk away when the cost of a free agent gets too steep.
by Smittybaby on Aug 28, 2009 10:39 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
The draft
is always a crap shoot, we all know that. A current player – back up or starter – is at least a known quantity. Looking at it this way, I think it was a good deal. As was said many times before, we needed a good Q.B. right then. Someone who could take over and give us a shot at respectability and it is working.
I know we’ve had some set backs and disappointments, but who could we have drafted that would have done better? I would rather gamble my team’s chances on someone that IS a pro player than someone who WANTS to be a pro player. Just my opinion.
Btw, great article.
by drunk dog on Aug 28, 2009 11:04 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Although, we could venture down the road of what ifs as well...
how much better off are we now than if we had Sage still starting and fans clammoring for Brady Quinn to come off the bench?! Ugggh! If Schaub plays a full season this year, it will have officially been a steal of a deal for the Texans.
That said, I don’t want to trade away any more sencond round picks! I think for the chip on their shoulder, their vastly reduced negotiating leverage and high quality, they are the best draft value and a team should acquire as many as they can (including by trading out of the first)…But then I am a believer in the (Pats-like) formula of stacking a team with high second and third rounders as the best way to build a dynastic franchise.
by Smittybaby on Aug 28, 2009 11:35 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
If Brady Quinn Was A Texan
I’d have gone vertical on a bottle of Chlorox (also worth clicking to see me proclaim that there’s “no way” Matt Schaub would become a Texan). The lesson, as always, is that I have no idea what I’m talking about.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...
by Tim on Aug 28, 2009 1:34 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tim
You should really delete all the archives and pretend everything you write is the first thing you have written.
by b0ng on Aug 28, 2009 9:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Then I'd Be Richard Justice
And I have no interest in going down that path.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...
by Tim on Aug 29, 2009 10:40 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ouch
Lord I not a big Justice fan but that is just harsh!
by Texans-Brocos on Aug 29, 2009 10:03 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is why I like you
You’re willing to take the lumps that come with putting ideas/guesses out there.
Well that and hanging out within a two-mile radius of you generally leads to me being incredibly drunk.
Yay, sports.
by MDC on Sep 2, 2009 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
To help put it in persepective...
Would you trade Matt Schaub to get these two players?
http://www.nfl.com/players/freddavis/profile?id=DAV318170
http://www.nfl.com/players/justinblalock/profile?id=BLA612525
Because that is where our picks went.
Personally, I’m happy with what they paid for what they received. But I would have like to have seen a season under Rosen-copter to see how he would perform as the starter.
by distant_texans_fan on Aug 29, 2009 3:11 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
http://www.nfl.com/players/freddavis/profile?id=DAV318170
http://www.nfl.com/players/justinblalock/profile?id=BLA612525
Don’t know why the links didn’t work, here they are again.
by distant_texans_fan on Aug 29, 2009 3:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Schuab worth it all?
Of course Matt Schaub was worth it all. He has never not produced and his biggest problem has been getting hurt on cheap shots. That is not a fault thing it is an unlucky thing and in this league a Qb has to have good luck to get trhu a season intact. He led the offenst to a ranking of third in offensive production and if not for Sage trying fly like Superman would have won two more games and beenn the playoffs. Some of Kubiaks redzone play calling contributed to a lack of scoring but thats life in the NFL. This will be a different year for us in that department if only because of the experience factor. GO Texans!!!!!
Hook 'em Horns and Get 'em Texans
by cwfolse on Sep 4, 2009 6:52 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

by 





















