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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

The Script Revisited


Gary Kubiak scripts the first 15 plays of the game.  Assuming the punts and extra points are not scripted, we had 29 plays in the first half against the Vikes, our starters v. their starters.

The Script generated plays gaining yards of:

1+4+0+0+7+9+0+2+7+3+6+0+0+6+0 for a total of 45 yards including a pick.

Plays after the script (14):

9+7+0+5+11+7+5+1+15+7+4+20+16+1 for a total of 108 including a touchdown and all of our points.

 

I like the script in the pre-season.  I think the agenda needs to be completed, and all of the boxes checked.  Take emotion out of the coaching side of play calling during the pre-season in favor of getting the team ready for the season.  The game doesn't count.

But when the season starts, looking at the results before and after the scripted plays, I think we're digging ourselves a hole by blindly following the script instead of calling plays based on what's happening on the field.  This is only a one pre-season game sample, and I don't get paid enough to run a larger sample base, but I got the impression last night that the play calls were smarter on the drives after the script was completed.

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So maybe I just don't get it

Based on this, from the other fanpost:

   “What we see in the first 15 goes a long way to helping us be successful in the third and fourth quarters,” says Kubiak. “We go in thinking the defense will react in certain ways to what we are doing. Then we, in turn, react to how they react. So even if we don’t get any scores because of The Script, or even if we don’t do much, it is still extremely valuable to us. That’s what people don’t understand.”

Maybe the next 14 plays were successful because of the first 15.

Thats a whole quarter of football of investment, and if it doesn’t work, its a good four drives worth.

Smushiak will take us to the playoffs in 2009.

by texanphil on Sep 1, 2009 11:44 AM CDT reply actions  

I agree

The script is all about getting the players in the right state of mind and understanding watj the other teams d is doing.

by Texans-Brocos on Sep 1, 2009 8:12 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

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