Game Charting Notes: Patriots-Texans, Week 17, First Half
(For those of you unfamiliar with this segment from From Mom's Basement, here is a brief explanation: I am a game charter for Football Outsiders. Game charting entails a lot of data entry that is used by FO to create unique stats, such as number of blitzers, results for the main defender on a pass play, and broken tackles, among others. Because of the incredible amount of detail involved in this, it usually takes about 2 1/2-3 hours to chart a single half. Some plays will be wound and rewound 10 or more times to try and pick them completely apart. The following are observations from the half I was assigned to (always a Texans game, asides from bye weeks). Earlier weeks can be found here.)
- Connor Barwin had his best half of the year. He notched a half-sack against Sebastian Volmer, who is no slouch in pass protection, and also broke up a sweep in the backfield by beating Matt Light to the outside. As with most of the Houston defensive linemen, it'd be nice if he learned an inside move, but it's a good sign that he's been getting a consistent rush for the last part of the season. Barwin still doesn't have a lot of experience playing defensive line, but his pass-rush talent is undeniable. A full year of training camp should really help him, and if he can play the run a little more honest, he may be chomping at Antonio Smith's ankles next year. With one of Mario Williams' best games of the season as well, this was one of the few times that the Texans defense actually got somewhat consistent pass pressure this year. Well, asides from the play where Tom Brady had aeons to throw and somehow (*cough*Bernard Pollard*cough*) Randy Moss ended up wide open in the middle of the field.
- Despite the results, the only blitzes that Frank Bush called that actually ended up affecting the pressure are the zone blitzes. Frank's other wild ideas are "Bring Cushing" or "Bring DeMeco". The one zone blitz that I charted that qualified under FO's standards (the person dropping back has their hand down) led to a Mario Williams pressure and a throw away, and another one that didn't involve this (LB at the line of scrimmage dropping into coverage) was Cushing getting pressure and another throw away.
-As much as I love bigfatdrunk man-crush Glover Quin, I do think that if he wants to stay at corner, he's going to have to work on his side-to-side speed. He only gave up 3 completions on 6 targets, all of which were within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage, but they ended up going for 12, 25, and 8 yards. He was picked by the ref on one of these plays, but this isn't the first time that Quin has struggled with the underneath man on a double route this year. I still think his tools translate better as a free safety, but I'm willing to give him a year to prove me wrong.
-In a Patriots related note, I guess I have this mental image of them as a team that does a ton of 4-wide spread offense (primarily directed by Bill Simmons' griping), but they really were a lot more complex than that. A lot of their spread packages are 2 TE's, which means they still have plenty of blockers, but they ran plenty of non-spread plays in the first half of this game. They even ran a few unbalanced sets with 6 offensive lineman (Mark LeVoir, come on down!) up front in non-goal line situations. Of course, these were ineffective, and probably a bit of this was "putting ideas in your playoff opponent's head", but they didn't seem too married to the pass.
-Why did Gary Kubiak elect not to run the ball on 3rd and goal in the second quarter? I understand the Texans haven't had much of a run game all year, but this was one of the few games where their offensive line seemed to be getting adequate push up front. On that drive alone, the Texans had gains of 13, 4, and 3. On 2nd & 2, Arian Foster got them 1. If Kubiak was going for it on fourth down anyway, might as well just run it on third instead of trying to force it to Vonta Leach on the play-action fake. In hindsight it worked out anyway, but it seemed like he was stuck in the season long mindset instead of how the game was unfolding. Then again, he also kept sending Kris Brown out there long after everyone in the stadium wanted him tarred and feathered. At least he's consistent with his mindset, unlike some crazy guy who pulled his starting quarterback at the end of the second and put him back in after halftime.
-James Casey isn't going to get on the field more until he improves his blocking. Or until he wears a jersey that says "Daniels" on it.
-One of the silent killers of the season: while the offensive line takes plenty of (deserved) blame for the poor running game, Leach seems to slip under the radar because he once had an award named after him at a website whose name I'm struggling to remember. Da Good, Da Bad, and DeMarcus Faggins? Something like that. Anyway, Leach blew at least two blocking assignments in this half. If it came out tomorrow that he underwent surgery, I would not be the least bit surprised. He didn't seem like the same player at all this year.
-The success of Foster pretty much rules out a selection of a running back in the top two rounds in my mind. Not only does his addition mean that the Texans go into next year with two young backs with promise, but it also is another score for the Denver philosophy that solid running backs are completely replaceable and easy to pick up. Foster continues to be incredibly hard to tackle and, as I've brought up before, reminds me of Domanick Davis in every way, shape, and form. Right down to the jersey number.
-Controversial statement: Brian Russell was much better than John Busing has been. I'm not campaigning for Russell's return or anything, it's just pretty telling of how bad Busing has been all year.
1 recs |
48 comments
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Comments
Great Post
I have a few thoughts that I’ll expand upon later. For now: Busing < Russell? Terrifying.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...
by Tim on Jan 10, 2010 5:31 PM CST via mobile reply actions
Beautiful, as usual
I agree on Quin. His future is at FS, not CB.
A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com
He has too much melanin
to be a Texans safety.
I always assumed "You're The Reason God Made Oklahoma" would be some sort of country music diss track. Live and learn, I guess.
And not enough
Suck
I always assumed "You're The Reason God Made Oklahoma" would be some sort of country music diss track. Live and learn, I guess.
Oh Man!!!
That was an analysis full of thought and substance. I read it like it was gospel. Thanks, Dr McCown…
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
Please elaborate more on Casey
You said he won’t get more playing time until he can block. Is that based on what you saw in your game charting?
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
He only had three snaps or so in this half
But he whiffed pretty badly on a weak-side block on one of them.
He hasn’t looked good run-blocking the rest of the year either, but when, on one of his very few snaps, he comes right in and screws up, that’s not the kind of lasting image you want to leave your coach to think about over the offseason.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter
by riversmccown on Jan 10, 2010 8:22 PM CST up reply actions
Aha, thx....
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
Quote "That was an analysis full of thought and substance."
Thats enough of that!! Take that thoughtful and substantive analysis somewhere else!!!
by distant_texans_fan on Jan 10, 2010 9:35 PM CST up reply actions
Very cool
Just a random question: how well are you able to do this with just the TV footage? Or do you get supersecret FO gametape?
It's all TV footage
The replays are big helpers.
The only real problem is once or twice a half you run into a play where you just aren’t sure who the defender was supposed to be. It has a pretty steep learning curve, but after about 4 or 5 tries you really get the hang of it. I’ve been at it since 2007.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter
by riversmccown on Jan 10, 2010 11:24 PM CST up reply actions
Ok
Because that was one of my big questions: how well are you able to distinguish between a blown coverage, and a stupid play call. Just logically, those aren’t absolutely distinguishable, so that would seem tough to consistently get right. So congrats on doing it well! :)
Well
Thank you for assuming I do it well. I hope you’re right! Haha.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter
by riversmccown on Jan 11, 2010 9:11 AM CST up reply actions
re: stupid play call
there’s no such thing.
If a play fails, the players did not execute.
Mount Cody in round 1
So, lets play the Quin game
If Quin moves to Safety, we absolutely need to get a CB early. We are losing CB1 and CB2 and Frenchy will be our de-facto CB1 going into free agency.
So one in free agency, two in the draft, hopefully one early – before I stop worrying that our CB position will be a huge, glaring weakness.
If Quin moves, CB > NT as a need, regardless of the pressure a good NT would provide.
Mount Cody in round 1
Agree with your last sentence
I always assumed "You're The Reason God Made Oklahoma" would be some sort of country music diss track. Live and learn, I guess.
Like I said
I don’t think I’d move Quin right away. He’s still really young and COULD adjust to being a cornerback. I just wouldn’t want anyone in the FO thinking “Well we’ve got Quin, he played well enough as a rookie, we’re good with him for sure.”
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter
by riversmccown on Jan 11, 2010 10:57 AM CST up reply actions
Quin might benifit down the road from another year at Corner too
would really help him be better if he has to line up and cover anyone as a safety.
www.manningface.com
Since we have a starting FS and SS
I kinda like keeping him here.
Its the FS2 and SS2 that really pisses me off and makes me want him to be a project this offseason, if it doesn’t stunt his growth at CB2.
Mount Cody in round 1
The problem with taking a CB early in the draft...
Is the 1st round depth is bad.
There’s Florida’s Joe Haden, Michigan’s Donovan Warren, and maybe Florida State’s Patrick Robinson (since Virginia’s Das-I Rowling has announced he will return to school) goes in the last 5 picks of round 1.
Since we’re picking at 20, we’ll probably miss out on Haden and Warren and be far too early for Robinson.
Of course, if the need is 100% CB (and Cody and Dan Williams aren’t there at 20) then we could trade back for Robinson and add an extra 3 for Boise State’s Kyle Wilson or Alabama’s Javier Arenas.
That is, of course, if Quin moves to FS.
seems like there is a lot of depth in the 2nd though
I wouldn’t be entirely surprised if we traded entirely out of the 1st to somewhere early in the 2nd depending on who is available. This could allow us to take Ilaputa without reaching too much.
www.manningface.com
The 2nd round may work...
Although, I always figured the Texans would go offensive line in the 2nd (as that’s their typical draft move…that and 2 or 3 more TEs of course).
The rest of the league…well, that’s going to be an offensive gold rush with the quality of QB, RB, and WRs available this year.
to clarify
I was saying take Ilaputa in the 2nd if we can trade back to do so. No way he is still available at the 52nd pick, but could last to the 2nd.
www.manningface.com
Casey
good insight. I was wondering why he never saw the field.
Is OD much above his level as a blocker? How about OD as a rookie?
This seems like an area that can easily be improved with playing time/practice/coaching.
Mount Cody in round 1
I think
Him and OD are about even on pass blocking. Casey is a tick better at run blocking, but of course doesn’t offer anywhere near the same sort of skills in the pass game yet.
Would love to compare them as rookies but it’d be a totally uneducated guess as I didn’t chart OD as a rookie.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter
by riversmccown on Jan 11, 2010 11:00 AM CST up reply actions
Who's the other "young back with promise"?
Cause i don’t know if moats or slaton live up to the “promise” billing, although I will admit that having an average interior o-line would have helped. But as it stands improvement is inevitable sans chris brown
In Canada our balls are bigger
by canadian texan on Jan 11, 2010 10:58 AM CST reply actions
Well of course it's Chris Brown
I mean, golden cannon, who else would you rather have?
Slaton. Moats is a little older and I’m not sure he’s different enough from Slaton to be anything more than an injury replacement back for the Texans next year.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter
by riversmccown on Jan 11, 2010 11:01 AM CST up reply actions
still means..
we need a third down back though, right?
someone who doesn’t fumble on the goalline…..or throw a pick….or just fail to get in
In Canada our balls are bigger
by canadian texan on Jan 11, 2010 11:05 AM CST up reply actions
tru enough...
but he still can’t take all the snaps
In Canada our balls are bigger
by canadian texan on Jan 11, 2010 11:40 AM CST up reply actions
Wait....
So now you want a RB who is both a 3rd-down back AND who can take all the snaps?
May want to make up your mind which you are asking for….you know, before debating it with someone.
If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?
nope...
foster would take the majority of snaps, and then there would be a third down back…..not some super human
In Canada our balls are bigger
by canadian texan on Jan 11, 2010 4:52 PM CST up reply actions
Misunderstood
on my side of the fence
please yell louder next time
If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?
dude
i’m 6’8….the fence isn’t even an obstacle to me
but yeah no worries
In Canada our balls are bigger
by canadian texan on Jan 11, 2010 5:00 PM CST up reply actions
Well then...
If you can bulk up to about 380, I’ve got a Nose Tackle job just waiting for you.
Beefcake!
If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?
tragically...
i’d have to gain 200 pounds
In Canada our balls are bigger
by canadian texan on Jan 11, 2010 7:03 PM CST up reply actions
Dear god
Do you have to run around in the shower to get wet?
The Texans.
by tehGrindCrusher on Jan 11, 2010 11:59 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
it's a long way
between drops of water. i can’t stand to close to the drain either for fear of falling through the holes
In Canada our balls are bigger
by canadian texan on Jan 12, 2010 12:10 AM CST up reply actions
Slaton + Foster
Can carry 30 times a game just fine I bet with another UFA or 4th+ rounder for depth.
www.manningface.com
























