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Around SBN: NFL Roundtable: Which Draft Pick Is Most Likely To Bust?

Dickie J, too lazy to fact check or just too stupid to do simple division?


I refuse to link to it, but Dickie Justice, age 12, wrote his annual attack piece on Mario Williams.  (Which should not be confused with his annual "Mario is great and was the right choice" piece.  Neither of which should be confused with his annual "I want to have VY's buttbabies" piece.  But I digress.)

ANYWAY, Dick rambles for a while about Mario's lack of production this year (focusing entirely on sacks and tackles) and decides that Mario does not deserve to go to the Pro Bowl.  Whatever.  It's a joke of an article and it wouldn't even have warranted mention here were it not for this blurb at the end:

The Texans try. They release charts each week comparing his career sack total (38.5) with Reggie White (70) and Bruce Smith (44.5) at similar points in their careers.

Even if Williams had similar numbers (which he doesn‘t), the comparison wouldn't be valid because White and Smith played in an era when teams ran more and passed less. They got more sacks out of fewer opportunities. (emphasis added)

It seems Lil' Dickie (a) was too lazy to verify his claim and (b) assumed that readers would take that assertion at face value.  Unfortunately (for him), you have to have a little intellectual credibility before people will just believe any ol' crap you throw out there.  So let's peek at the data, broken up by year (first column), of average pass (second column) and run (third column) plays per team per season, along with the corresponding percentage of plays that were passes (last column).  (All numbers from pro-football-reference.com)


1985
515
487

0.514
1986
517
483

0.517
1987
482
471

0.506
1988
505
485

0.510
1989
512
467

0.523
1990
483
444

0.521
1991
498
438

0.532
1992
479
439

0.522
1993
515
453

0.532
1994
538
448

0.546
1995
557
440

0.559
1996
532
453

0.540
1997
524
455

0.535
1998
516
452

0.533
1999
541
437

0.553
2000
527
441

0.544
2001
522
441

0.542
2002
540
441

0.550
2003
515
453

0.532
2004
511
451

0.531
2005
515
449

0.534
2006
512
452

0.531
2007
533
437

0.549
2008
516
441

0.539
2009
501
412

0.549

 

2009 numbers are through last weekend.  Totaling up the years each player played, we get:

White, 1985-2000: 0.531

Smith, 1985-2003: 0.532

Williams: 2006-09: 0.542

 

That's right, kids...teams in the Mario Era have passed about 1% more often than during Smith/White's time.  Re-reading Dick's "point," I suppose he's not technically wrong.  However, if you believe that he was referring to this 1% difference when he wrote the column, you probably also comment at the Chron with regularity in praise of Dick, Pancakes, and Anna-Tard.

My point?  It's bad enough that Justice is such a joke of a sportswriter, that he turns out nearly unreadable shit almost daily, and that he still manages to draw a paycheck for this "effort."  But when he starts taking it to the next level, making up "facts" to support his claims with the hope that no one will double-check him, he moves from annoying to insulting.  And if you assume that The Houston Chronicle as a corporation is a rational decisionmaker, one begins to wonder just who Dick is orally pleasing in order to keep his gig.

Comment 49 comments  |  5 recs  | 

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Oh, Dickie

Dickie, you unbelievable retard. Your columns are so offensive that I find myself breaking the very vow I proposed in the last fanpost discussing the diarrhea that passes for your writing. I vowed never to read your trite, poorly-thought out, written-by-a-sixth-grader-on-mescaline trash.

And then you go and say shit like, “Brian Cushing is who the Texans thought they were getting when they drafted Mario Williams.” Do you know how hard it is to hold back? It’s damn near impossible. Thank Durga I have to take a dump right now, or I would do it myself.

Ugh. Screw you and the damn Chronicle. Except for Lance and Steph of course.

Proudly supporting the Qatar National Falconry Team since December 6, 2009.

by tehGrindCrusher on Jan 2, 2010 12:56 PM CST reply actions  

Correct across the board

Rec’d

Jim Caldwell delenda est.

by MDC on Jan 2, 2010 2:25 PM CST up reply actions  

He really has improved his game versus the run this year

I know defensive ends are judged by their sack numbers, but you really can’t overlook how he’s evolved from a one-dimensional pass rusher to a more complete player.

The comparisons to 2006 need to stop. Mario Williams is a 2-time Pro Bowler, Reggie Bush should have never gone in the 1st round as he is a situational player who is not dominating as he did in college, and VY is JUST now starting to become a better QB….although he’s not at the level of a Matt Schaub (who’s showing that he can be a top 5 NFL QB if the late/dirty hits are avoided).

by TexansDC on Jan 2, 2010 3:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Troof

Rec’d

Jim Caldwell delenda est.

by MDC on Jan 4, 2010 11:49 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah

Had the same thought as I was writing it.

Jim Caldwell delenda est.

by MDC on Jan 2, 2010 3:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Also

A photo essay portraying your thoughts on this subject would be nice.

If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?

by Shake on Jan 2, 2010 5:20 PM CST up reply actions  

I disagree

I neither think he knows enough about football nor is literate enough to write on a blog.

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Jan 2, 2010 8:30 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

I tried to piss him off

but he didn’t even read it. BASTARD!

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Jan 3, 2010 4:13 PM CST up reply actions  

In that case...

shouldn’t the Chron be trying to hire me?

Jim Caldwell delenda est.

by MDC on Jan 3, 2010 4:56 PM CST up reply actions  

"too lazy to fact check or just too stupid to do simple division?"

Why can’t it be both?

This is exactly why the traditional media is going down in a great, giant ball of flames. Ten years ago, nobody would’ve questioned the logic of an article such as this. But today, we fans have those pesky little counter-argument facts right at our fingertips. For long-time media people like Little Dickie Justice, age 12, facts have been absolutely meaningless trivialities if they get in the way of a good opinion.

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Jan 2, 2010 2:42 PM CST reply actions  

Agreed

I clicked here expecting to find a poll\ with the 2 choices from the title, yours (both), and some other creatively written choice that I would vote for.

If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?

by Shake on Jan 2, 2010 5:21 PM CST up reply actions  

i have a sneaking suspicion that if i checked info out

white and smith werent injured for two of the years in that time-span of data gathering. also im fairly certain that if i should check, those players played on better teams thus relieving SOME attention from said player. this is speculation tho.

Looking forward to not having an 8-8 year!

by BattleRedHusker on Jan 2, 2010 7:02 PM CST reply actions  

He's not even that far off of Smith...

Comparing anyone’s 1st 3 years to Reggie White is unfair though. White’s 1st 4 years were ridiculous (70 sacks).

Even if you factor in his first 4 professional years (2 USFL, 2 NFL), his numbers are 54.5 which are still freakish when compared to Smith.

by TexansDC on Jan 2, 2010 7:56 PM CST up reply actions  

i read it in the paper

i coulda sworn i read something by him saying that even tho he has had a decrease in production, the texans wont cut him (something like that) and i was like WTF? CUT HIM?!?!?!? WOW DICKIE!

by EveryHoustonTeamRox! on Jan 2, 2010 11:55 PM CST reply actions  

Opps

I think that is a fact

by kozanack on Jan 3, 2010 3:54 PM CST up reply actions  

I think I agree.

That, and he’s functionally retarded.

Proudly supporting the Qatar National Falconry Team since December 6, 2009.

by tehGrindCrusher on Jan 3, 2010 3:56 PM CST up reply actions  

I think you can drop the "functionally" part

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Jan 3, 2010 4:13 PM CST up reply actions  

How 'Bout

I’d beat him over the head with a grape fruit if I saw him writing a blog piece out in the open.

by b0ng on Jan 3, 2010 9:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Rec'd

for insight, intellectual honesty, and an Always Sunny reference.

Jim Caldwell delenda est.

by MDC on Jan 4, 2010 2:40 PM CST up reply actions  

Damn WC

I was rooting for you guys to stop Chris Johnson yesterday. Last Boy Scout style.

Best of luck to your team in the coming offseason. Please stop by often and keep us company, as we now know that Seahawk fans are just the cold, wet version of Texans fans.

If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?

by Shake on Jan 4, 2010 2:41 PM CST up reply actions   2 recs

Ain't life a bitch?

BANG! (Rec’d)

Jim Caldwell delenda est.

by MDC on Jan 4, 2010 2:47 PM CST up reply actions  

I did not know that...

and you just improved my day, sir. Thank you.

Jim Caldwell delenda est.

by MDC on Jan 4, 2010 3:51 PM CST up reply actions  

HAHA

I thought i was the only one who noticed that.

You are banned from Music City Miracles.
Happy Now Tits?
You are banned from Blogging The Boys.

by CFHTim on Jan 5, 2010 1:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Goo'd

’Cause I knew that little tidbit and did a little Tae Bo myself back in the day.

"So I got that goin' for me, which is nice." ~ Carl Spackler

by LoneSpot on Jan 6, 2010 4:03 AM CST up reply actions  

The first half of your sentence

made you cooler. The second half kind of killed that with a swift knee to the head.

Jim Caldwell delenda est.

by MDC on Jan 6, 2010 8:03 AM CST up reply actions  

Green goo'ed

Thanks, man, and a great point. Brown was an awesome player next to White.

/dreams about Terrence Cody/

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Jan 4, 2010 2:58 PM CST up reply actions  

The only problem with Cody...

is that he typically was a two-down NT due to his girth and lack of conditioning. He really wouldn’t help Mario on 3rd downs.

Personally, I prefer Tennessee’s Dan Williams, but I think I’d settle for anyone who was the size of a small mountain.

by TexansDC on Jan 8, 2010 11:36 PM CST up reply actions  

he has lost weight and will continue to do so

but i agree he isnt all that great. i more want to get suh.. i wish
the dude can man handle olines.bonecrusher + man bear
no team would be able to pass on us or run. or anything

by AlDe2356 on Jan 9, 2010 11:13 AM CST up reply actions  

-1

If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?

by Shake on Jan 9, 2010 12:36 PM CST up reply actions  

-2

No one manhandles the Bonecrusher*

  • - Except for Patrick Willis (obviously)

by TexansDC on Jan 10, 2010 1:52 AM CST up reply actions  

Deceptively(sp)?

And with his size no need to move, just fall over on the opposing interior line.

by David V on Jan 11, 2010 1:07 AM CST reply actions  

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