Bye Week Check-In: Community Projections, Offense/Team

HOUSTON - OCTOBER 17: Adrian Foster #23 of the Houston Texans runs past cornerback Donald Washington #27 of the Kansas City Chiefs at Reliant Stadium on October 17 2010 in Houston Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)

Remember a couple of months ago? We were still in the preseason, anxious for Texans football, optimistic, and all that? You know, before we had to watch the Frank Bush defense go to work for 6 games? It was a good time.

I asked a bunch of you to figure out how many yards and touchdowns and so on that certain players on the team would have. The caveat being that the closest finisher would receive something Texans-related that was cheap and on the internet. Well, let's see who our leaders are, starting with the offense.

Matt Schaub
SEASON STATS: 1538 yards, 9 TDs, 5 INTs
PRORATED TO FULL SEASON:  4101.3 yards, 24 TDs, 13.3 Interceptions
Tiebreaker: No special tiebreaker

Closest BRB Members:
Nashmeister, 4107 yards, 27 TDs, 9 INTs
JimboTexan, 4180 yards, 27 TDs, 18 INTs
Earthshock, 4100 yards, 28 TDs, 8 INT's
Bryan72076, 4150 yards, 30 TDs, 14 INTs
distant_texans_fan, 4082 yards, 29 TDs, 11 INTs

There were a lot of other people within the same margins. This was our most trafficked prediction post, so even one good or bad game could drastically skew the leaderboard. Truly too close to call right now. 

RB du jour (i.e., Arian Foster)
SEASON STATS: 635 yards, 6 TDs, 1 fumble
PRORATED TO FULL SEASON: 1693 yards, 16 TDs, 2.6 fumbles
Tiebreaker: Who will be the Texans leading rusher? (Foster)

Closest BRB members:
DSimpHTFan, 1250 yards, 7 TDs, 4 fumbles (Steve Slaton)
Scorpions94, 1270 yards, 8 TDs, 4 fumbles (Ben Tate)
myself, 1150 yards, 8 TDs, 4 fumbles (Foster)
xNevermind, 1150 yards, 9 TDs, 3 fumbles (Slaton)
papabear, 1113 yards, 13 TDs, 6 fumbles (Tate)

To be fair, this one came out in the first couple of weeks of training camp, before we had any idea how the running back battle would shake out. Just about everyone thought it would be a committee. Injury luck and Steve Slaton's baffling inability to not suck have conspired, along with natural talent, to let Arian Foster make the lot of us look like fools. Those are the only 5 entries over 1100 yards. Foster might have that by Week 10.

Andre Johnson
SEASON STATS: 488 yards, 2 TDs, 57% catch percentage (based on Week 5's FO stats, which won't update until after this comes out)
PRORATED TO FULL SEASON: Really depends on whether you want to go by the games he's played or all games total. 1301/5.33/57 for all games, if you prefer games he's played, 1464/6/57.
Tiebreaker: Who will finish second on the Texans in receptions? (Kevin Walter)

Closest BRB members:
myself, 1433 yards, 8 TDs, 66% catch percentage (Walter)
Mike Kerns, 1380 yards, 9 TDs, 71% catch percentage (Jacoby Jones)
krkenney, 1375 yards, 14 TDs, 70% catch (Walter)
Ryan81, 1368 yards, 11 TDs, 66% catch (Walter)
OB1Bud2, 1290 yards, 9 TDs, 68% catch (Owen Daniels)

The common thread here is that just about everyone overestimated Johnson's TDs. Even counting the game he missed, he's only on pace for 6. 8, by me, was the lowest guess in the entire field. Of course, playing on a bum ankle means you can't really discount the possibility that he's just leading us on right now.

The Houston Texans
SEASON STATS: 4 wins, 153 PF, 167 PA
PRORATED TO FULL SEASON: 10.6 wins, 408 PF, 445.3 PA.
Tiebreaker: How many division games will the Texans win? (1, on pace for 6!)

Closest BRB members:
AllenOU, 8 wins, 467 points, 458 points allowed (2)
leacheatsbabies, 15 wins, 463 points, 398 points allowed (5)
MDC, 8 wins, 417 points, 388 points allowed (3)
Twizted33, 10 wins, 403 points, 350 points allowed (4)
Texans-Brocos, 10 wins, 458 points, 396 points allowed (3)

Because of the way I weighed this, we're looking closest at the points scored and points allowed. Because of how godawful the defense has been, almost the entire field is getting killed by AllenOU, who has a commanding lead as the lone person to figure out that this defense would be historically abysmal to this point. Kudos, Allen, you damn seer. 

Thursday, the defense.

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