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Conspiracy Theory: Ryan Mathews

Aside from the John F. Kennedy assassination, I'm far from a conspiracy theorist kind of guy.  Usually, I live by Occam's Razor:  The simplest solution is usually the correct one.  However, in the Case of the Running Back We Really Don't Need, the latest Encyclopedia Brown offering, I smell conspiracy.  So, try and follow along with my incoherent ramblings (and I know this has been discussed to some extent, but I want to drive the crazy train).

Pancakes has been all a-Twitter about Ryan Mathews, repeatedly publishing he thinks your Texans will take him with the 20th pick.  In fact, his tweets are being picked up by a widespread and mainstream football audience who claim Pancakes has insider information and he's a credible source.  I think it's a giant plant by Smithiak.

San Diego has the 28th pick, and right now, their starting running back is Eric Metcalf Darren Sproles.  Obviously, Sproles is not a real solution to SD's run game.

I strongly believe Smithiak is using Pancakes to pressure SD into trading up in order to grab Mathews.  Since the Texans are, currently, the most likely team deemed to take Mathews, then trading up to our #20 spot would be most cost effective for the Chargers AND would remove their biggest competition for Mathews' services.  In fact, when we wanted Duane Brown just a couple of drafts ago, Smithiak had no problem trading back to a spot where they believed they could pick up Brown along with a couple of extra picks.

I know this isn't an overly crazy conspiracy theory, but I see it as likely.  I have no insider information, but I find it hard to believe Kubiak will target a RB in the first round.  This isn't because he flat out just won't take a RB, but there are many other positions to fill; specifically, CB and S.

What do y'all think?  And should I just check myself into the nearest mental hospital?

(h/t Kerns for his assistance, though I get all the credit)

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This is what happens...

When you discuss your newest post at a different site with a lesser writer…

KIDDING. Good stuff. Especially the JFK nod.

by Mike Kerns on Mar 30, 2010 12:13 PM CDT reply actions  

HA!

I just want Tim to give me my kittens back.

Cmon, Tim! It’s a post! A real, live post!

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Mar 30, 2010 12:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

Spoon fed post, at best

But, I’m trying to be more giving and spread the wealth these days…

by Mike Kerns on Mar 30, 2010 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

Shit.

This post consists of tweets put together by all of our feeds.

This doesn’t count as a post BFD.

Try again.

by Jordann on Mar 30, 2010 12:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

Speaking of tizzies...

Our mock draft pick will be posted in a couple of hours. We’ll post a link once the dirty is done.

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Mar 30, 2010 12:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

Oh Mike

don’t you mean BFD is the BEST WRITER IN FRANCHISE HISTORY!!!!1

by TexansDC on Mar 30, 2010 12:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

Nice

Hey, I think I’m the best 83rd round draft choice in sports writer franchise history!

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Mar 30, 2010 12:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

True, BUT

You were a 7th round pick.

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Mar 30, 2010 12:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

Seriously

It has to be a smokescreen ploy.

Keeping it brief: Any serious Texan fan recognizes A) the line (and the lack of depth once injuries hit) is what held the running game back. B) There is significantly more value in a DT, CB pick than a RB pick who is going to split time. C) Doesn’t listen to a damn word Pancakes said yesterday about tomorrow’s next week arrival today.

by TexansDC on Mar 30, 2010 12:38 PM CDT reply actions  

Spreading like wildfire.

And I hate it.

People are so hungry for some Texans news that whatever they hear, they believe and pass it on to other people. Now the movement for drafting a RB in the first round is in full effect.

Seriously people, if you’re going to listen to somebody’s source. Don’t let it be pancakes.

by Jordann on Mar 30, 2010 12:45 PM CDT reply actions  

I just like saying it outloud

“I want to draft a RB in the 1st round who is a 2-down part-time RB and may not even start. The 4th best offense in the NFL needs more talent than a mid-pack defense that has to get through Indianapolis to make the playoffs. Forget about the OL injuries, it was the RBs fault that we couldn’t run the ball, and Ryan Mathews is superstar enough to overcome that.”

by TexansDC on Mar 30, 2010 12:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

Shouldn't you have taken Tebow?

Like your owner will?

Good pick with Haden. I keep hoping he or Wilson or the guy we’re taking in the mock slides to us.

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Mar 30, 2010 1:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

actually,

I’m really glad Bob McNair doesn’t step in and pull crap like Bud Adams does.
We are so lucky to have a classy guy like McNair who hires good people then DELEGATES and respects the power that he gave them.

by BattleRedFan on Mar 30, 2010 11:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

so i need some help

is any one of the readers a personal injury attorney. i was in a bad wreck on 45 and the person at fault has liability and i think it is going to get nasty. i have airbag burns, sore back, bruised knee, and a broken hand, not to mention totalled my cadillac in the process. Any suggestions would be helpful

and no to mr one T at 20

"Its like a silk bag filled with puppy ears"

by Allen-OU on Mar 30, 2010 1:05 PM CDT reply actions  

Do you have full coverage?

When did this happen?
Police showed up?
Did you file a police report?

by Jordann on Mar 30, 2010 1:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

You know what dude, shoot me an email.

Just click on David Carr and my email should be on my profile.

by Jordann on Mar 30, 2010 1:08 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

I rec anything....

that starts with: “Just click on David Carr….”

If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?

by Shake on Mar 30, 2010 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

Allen

Check your e-mail.

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Mar 30, 2010 2:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

Sorry, BFD. The problem is that if SD were convinced that they needed to trade up to keep you from getting Mathews they’d have to trade with someone who picked before you. If they knew you were willing to trade back they’d know that you were willing to pass on Mathews and would probably just sit tight. [Insert disclaimer about how anything can happen before the draft and blah, blah, blah.]

by thebyron on Mar 30, 2010 2:03 PM CDT reply actions  

Are you one of the voices in my head?

I didn’t think so. :-)

I think that’s why there’s been such a focus on our taking Mathews. You’re right in that we may not be the beneficiaries of such a rumor (for example, SD trades with Pittsburgh or something), but I still doubt we go RB in the 1st. There’s probably some projection there, but I’m struggling to see it when the problems with our run game were deeper than just RB.

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Mar 30, 2010 2:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

The Texans are just a giving team

willing to help the teams sitting before them. You make a point that the Texans may not be the ones to benefit from this and anything could happen.

However, the scenario that maybe the Texans are looking for is for the Chargers to basically bribe them into trading back so that SD can grab Mathews. You put enough compensation in front of a team and they’ll probably take it. I guess SD needs to wondering if they are so close to a Superbowl that they have to target a specific player to put them over the top. If Mathews is that guy, wouldn’t they do whatever it takes to grab him?

by theaxeeffect4311 on Mar 30, 2010 3:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't know if this is true

But I do know that I don’t trust a word that comes from pancakes about the draft. I’ve tracked him for 3 years. And not one of his (inside sources) have been right on draft day. I think that he is just a tool of the Texans Front office. They leak stuff through him that don’t want to “Anounce” but they want know. (this builds his inside source cred) Then they feed disinformation through him later, when they can use it for a statigic advantage.

Let me be clear in the zone blocking system Denver and here they have NEVER drafted a RB earlier than 3rd round. And not many Oline’s early either. If I was a betting man, I wouldn’t put my money on anything early other than a CB. That said, if their targeted CB is gone with the depth, they might Pick up the Best available O lineman or NT. But my money is on CB!!!!

You can't fix Dumb or being a VYFB

by Texans-Brocos on Mar 30, 2010 2:15 PM CDT reply actions  

Technically he was right last year.

Rudimentary creatures of flesh and blood, you touch my mind, fumbling in ignorance, incapable of understanding.

by nolander on Mar 30, 2010 2:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Let me quote from pancakes mock right before the draft
15. Houston Texans
Clay Matthews, OLB, USC
They’ll try to trade down a few spots to get him.

to give him credit, he did pick and OLB from USC, just the wrong one.

To give a little more credit which I don’t like to do. From his draft article on March 26, 2009

He wrote

FIVE WHO COULD HELP
Texans coach Gary Kubiak would love to select an impact player at linebacker or defensive back in the first round of the draft. Here are John McClain’s top prospects at outside linebacker and DB (Note: There are no safeties worth the 15th pick):

OUTSIDE LINEBACKERS

AARON CURRY 6-2, 254, Wake Forest

He should go among the top three picks, and he’d cost too much for the Texans to try to trade up to get him.

CLAY MATTHEWS III 6-3, 245, USC

An ascending player who can play either outside spot and wants to show he’s not just a combine workout warrior.

BRIAN CUSHING 6-3, 243, USC

Some scouts think he’s best suited to play inside in a 3-4, but others think he’s good enough to play anywhere.

CORNERBACKS

MALCOLM JENKINS 6-0, 204, Ohio State

He has everything scouts covet except blinding speed, but he’s football smart, and he has football speed.

VONTAE DAVIS 5-11, 203, Illinois

An inconsistent season caused his stock to drop, but he’s got decent size and the kind of speed the scouts value.

DANA POINT, Calif. – A lot of mock drafts around the country have the Texans using their first-round choice on an offensive player, but anybody familiar with the team knows they will select a defensive player.

Over all better than I remembered

You can't fix Dumb or being a VYFB

by Texans-Brocos on Mar 30, 2010 2:51 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

is football speed...

adjusted for weight speed, and assmass?


Go Texans!

by Taco Joe on Mar 30, 2010 3:17 PM CDT up reply actions  

Rec'd

For your first post.

I'll eliminate you like I eliminate gluten from my diet.

by tehGrindCrusher on Mar 31, 2010 12:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

Welcome, Antho

Look forward to reading more from you.

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Mar 31, 2010 8:56 AM CDT up reply actions  

Rec'd

Somebody needs to goo this man’s first post.

Welcome to our little corner of the internet, Antho.

by Jordann on Mar 31, 2010 9:31 AM CDT up reply actions  

maybe

if we could trade down and get more picks, then there is a possibility of trading for a #1 corner from somewhere for maybe a first and third, but because we traded down we’ll still have picks in every round… Or maybe I play madden too much…

by WhimpyJimmy on Mar 30, 2010 3:00 PM CDT reply actions  

Pancakes delivers the decoy

I completely agree. We are not in anyway stressed to take a back with the first pick. This draft is loaded with good (decent) backs and we can easily grab one of them in rounds 2-4. It’s great work on pancakes part if this really is a smokescreen, but I think he may believe it. I for one will be pissed if we take Mathews (one “t”) with our first pick. It is completely obvious we need secondary help, but what can help are secondary is taking a powerful DT, if there is one available with our first pick we should grab him (D.Williams).

If we trade back with S.D., who the hell would we be targeting at 28? A defensive back, maybe McCourty? Defensive Tackle, B.Price? Or an offensive lineman, Pouncey? Lupati?

Who would we target at 28?

by Jahon on Mar 30, 2010 3:40 PM CDT reply actions  

It'd be the perfect slot for McCourty

I don’t imagine any of those others names will be on the board.

by TexansDC on Mar 30, 2010 3:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

My thought exactly

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Mar 30, 2010 3:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

If Matthews is there,...

trade down. We can find everything we need in rounds 2-4. Whatever we get in the 1st round will just be the cherry on top…

"I've never gone into a game trying to win the Heisman Trophy; I go into a game trying to win." - Colt McCoy

by Robertpz on Mar 30, 2010 10:08 PM CDT reply actions  

I betcha this was the beginning for the end for you wasn't it?

Rudimentary creatures of flesh and blood, you touch my mind, fumbling in ignorance, incapable of understanding.

by nolander on Mar 31, 2010 3:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

I learned a very valuable life lesson while I was playing for the Texans.

Immediately reverting to the fetal position is NOT the best way to deal with what’s coming.

by Jordann on Apr 1, 2010 8:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

No mittens?

What’s up widdat?
This picture MUST have been taken 2 yards out of bounds, 5 yards behind the line of scrimmage.

by HoundDog76 on Mar 31, 2010 8:41 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Pancakes I don't trust but

Lance Z I respect his draft analysis every year. He has posted at least 2 blog entries explaining pretty much why he thinks our beloved Texans will take Mathews in the R1 if he falls there. Having said that, I trust Smithiak and their scouts for whoever they draft in R1.

by b0wse on Mar 31, 2010 5:25 PM CDT reply actions  

On a side note

I found this today

Titans agree to terms with 4-year veteran CB Hill

I think this increases the odds of Kyle Wilson falling to us. I still think that is who we take

You can't fix Dumb or being a VYFB

by Texans-Brocos on Apr 1, 2010 9:49 AM CDT reply actions  

Hill can't be more then depth

They need starters. although knowing the Tits they’ll probably go for a DE before a corner.

Rudimentary creatures of flesh and blood, you touch my mind, fumbling in ignorance, incapable of understanding.

by nolander on Apr 1, 2010 11:48 AM CDT up reply actions  

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