Relative Value of Draft Picks

by kozanack on Apr 5, 2010 7:25 PM CDT

Abstract: The NFL's salary scheme for rookies results in overpaying top draft picks. Basically, salaries start high, and drop-off faster than the talent level of picks. It's something you knew intuitively, wishing aloud for the Texans to trade down, but here is the confirmation. Richard H. Thaler, a professor of economics and behavioral science at the Booth School of Business at the University of Chicago performed a study, reaching this very conclusion :

When a First Pick Isn’t the Best Pick

Tweet Comment 22 comments | 4 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

Reggie Bust disagrees with this post

A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com

by bigfatdrunk on Apr 5, 2010 9:00 PM CDT reply actions

JaMarcus disagrees more

If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?

by Shake on Apr 5, 2010 9:05 PM CDT up reply actions

Darius Heyward Bey

is on his way over there to sort this argument out.

by Jordann on Apr 6, 2010 8:44 AM CDT up reply actions

Brian Bosworth

Feels left out.

- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter

by riversmccown on Apr 6, 2010 5:19 PM CDT up reply actions

Ahhhh... Brian Bosworth...

…the man who is still carrying around the mark of the top of Bo Jackson’s helmet on his chest, and the rug burn on his a$$ from when he hit the turf in the end-zone.

by HoundDog76 on Apr 6, 2010 11:09 PM CDT up reply actions

Ryan Leaf diagrees more than Jamarcus and Reggie.

Rockets>>>>>>Jazz
Texans>>>>>>>Titans
Super Mario>>>>>>>Vince Young

by Rockets 4 Life on Apr 10, 2010 10:08 PM CDT up reply actions

f**k dunta

by rmac244 on Apr 5, 2010 9:36 PM CDT reply actions

CANCER!

by Jordann on Apr 6, 2010 8:44 AM CDT up reply actions

Fuck Cancer

If the Treasury Secretary doesn't have to pay taxes, then why do I?

by Shake on Apr 6, 2010 9:01 AM CDT up reply actions 4 recs

Its a pretty good article. And I agree with the premise. Rookies get too much to be worth what they are paid. Vets should get that money.

A Texas Wannabe, born and raised in New Zealand. Currently located 7539 miles South west of Houston.

by distant_texans_fan on Apr 6, 2010 3:58 AM CDT reply actions

This is why they should just do away with the draft....

I’m serious.

I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?

by Rip Jersey on Apr 6, 2010 10:56 AM CDT reply actions

I love the idea

But theres no way a sports league will ever go free market.

- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter

by riversmccown on Apr 6, 2010 5:20 PM CDT up reply actions

rookies are still a bargain

compared to veterans of equal talent.

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2009/04/are-rookies-overpaid.html

btw, first post

by PMJ001 on Apr 6, 2010 1:33 PM CDT reply actions 2 recs

Welcome!

Hope to see more of you round these parts.

I'll eliminate you like I eliminate gluten from my diet.

by tehGrindCrusher on Apr 6, 2010 2:21 PM CDT up reply actions

Welcome, PMJ

Look forward to reading more fro you.

Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...

by Tim on Apr 6, 2010 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions

I haven't clicked the link

But I imagine that 90% of rookies are worth what you pay or are a better deal. But most of the first round draft picks are over-valued.

A Texas Wannabe, born and raised in New Zealand. Currently located 7539 miles South west of Houston.

by distant_texans_fan on Apr 6, 2010 3:26 PM CDT up reply actions

I think the problem is mostly with the first 10 picks.

I think it really hurts bad teams sometimes, they can easily get stuck on the hook for a player that has proven nothing and can continue to drag them down for years. cough JAMARCUS RUSSEL cough

Rudimentary creatures of flesh and blood, you touch my mind, fumbling in ignorance, incapable of understanding.

by nolander on Apr 8, 2010 5:27 PM CDT up reply actions