Community Projection: Matt Schaub
by riversmccown on Jul 20, 2010 9:48 AM CDT
in News
122 comments
We're so close to training camp that I can taste it, BRB. The optimism of the new year is brewing, and it's got me to thinking about how our beloved Texans will perform this year.
Ergo, let's have a contest about it!
Matt Schaub is coming off of the best year of his career, throwing for 4,770 yards and playing all 16 games for the first of what I hope to be many times. Will the injury bug come back again? Will the running game cut into his total? Will he break 5,000 en route to winning enough shootouts to take the Texans to the playoffs? Will he spend all of training camp working on his running game and lead the Texans to a 47-10 victory in the Orange Bowl as the greatest option QB of all-time, then call Vince Young up and ask him why he can't hold his jockstrap? Thats all up to you.
Simply predict Schaub's regular season passing yards, passing touchdowns, and interceptions. I'll list the weighted formula behind the jump so as to not bore you, but the person who is closest to these numbers will receive...something Texans-related as a prize, should they be around after the season to claim it. I can't tell you what the prize will be, both because it would ruin the surprise and because I'm just planning to make it something on sale and random at Amazon for the free shipping, but believe me when I tell you that it will change your life.
I'll try and run an average of what we come up with as well in a few days. If we were a baseball site, here's where I would include a player's CHONE and PECOTA and SIXWORD systems, but to the best of my knowledge, there aren't really any companies doing that for free. Football Outsiders has a projection system, but since I think they are about five more consecutive posts stealing book tidbits away from issuing me a cease and desist, let's not do that. So, on that note, project away!
Oh, and just to clear things up for me. Write "PROJECTION" as the subject of your actual projections. Thanks.
ETA: I'm going to stop accepting entries at midnight CT on Thursday, so I don't have to refer back to this thread since I'm going to be putting everything in a spreadsheet. You have until then.
Real simple here, I'll just dock you a point off for every touchdown and interception you are off, and then an additional point will be docked for every 50 yards passing you are off. Lowest number of points off takes home the...whatever the hell it'll be. First tiebreaker will be whoever was docked less on passing yards, second tiebreaker will be whoever I like most.**
**-since I hate you all, it'll be a coinflip.
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4,694 - 40 - 16
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
tiebreaker - tails
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
PROJECTION
Something just doesn’t seem right about typing that word….
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
Regular season or ae we also predicting potential playoff runs as well?
"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."
The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related
Regular season.
I’ll add that in.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter
by riversmccown on Jul 20, 2010 9:54 AM CDT up reply actions
PROJECTION
4219 yards
27 TDs
14 INT
"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."
The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related
Ye of little faith....
The backs will fumble so much, Schaub will barely have time to throw picks.
by DisplacedTexan on Jul 20, 2010 10:07 AM CDT up reply actions
Reasoning
Schaub throws at least one of those WTF HE IS COMPLETELY COVERED throws to Andre a game. Say the defense gets 80% of those. All I’m saying is he’s throwing 4 more picks over the course of the season.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter
by riversmccown on Jul 20, 2010 10:09 AM CDT up reply actions
Ahh yes...
The “WTF Throw”… it’s one of the more predictably exciting moments in a Texans game.
“NO MATT DON’T THROW THAT HE’S IN TRIPLE COVERAGE” Matt lobs the ball “God. Dammit.”
by DisplacedTexan on Jul 20, 2010 10:26 AM CDT up reply actions 6 recs
Rec'ed for truthiness
A Texans fan. Really. No, I'm not kidding.
http://www.battleredblog.com
by bigfatdrunk on Jul 20, 2010 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions
thats the problem..matt lobs the ball
when every throw looks likes it a lob..you’re bound to have one (or two) picked a game. With arm strength comparable to a 12 year old girl…Matt Schaub still throws for 300 yards pretty much every game..but the one pick will ALWAYS be there..haunting us.
by leacheatsbabies on Jul 20, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions
Did Someone mention Arm Strength?
Don’t you wish you still had me? – Sexy Rexy
http://uncyclopedia.wikia.com/wiki/Rex_Grossman
Feeling the five stages of grief since 2002.
by NoSafetiesNeeded on Jul 20, 2010 2:01 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Projection
4000 Yards
31 Tds
13 Ints
A better running game, more end arounds, and AJ catching a much needed lob/fade pass in the end zone.
Feeling the five stages of grief since 2002.
by NoSafetiesNeeded on Jul 20, 2010 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions
Projection
4,278 yards
28 TD’s
9 INT’s
Miss-placed Houstonian living and going to school in the wilderness of Wyoming.
Projection
4,459 yards
34 TD’s
11 INT
by EveryHoustonTeamRox! on Jul 20, 2010 10:57 AM CDT reply actions
Hmm...less yards more score.
Projection:
4,000
35
10
Earl Campbell is the perfect combination of assmass and weightspeed. - Papabear
Bonus tiebreaker question, just for you
How many of cancer, diabetes, and Alzheimer’s is he able to find a cure for?
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 20, 2010 11:43 AM CDT up reply actions
Oooh a trick question!
Nice try, he cured those last year!
"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."
The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related
by TexansForever on Jul 20, 2010 12:00 PM CDT up reply actions
Whoa there....
He’s not Tim Tebow.
"Lord, beer me strength."
by TexansDC on Jul 20, 2010 12:05 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
I KNOW that......
Why do you think I didn’t mention world peace and the ebola virus cure?!
"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."
The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related
by TexansForever on Jul 20, 2010 12:07 PM CDT up reply actions
If Tebow could really perform miracles
He’d have made his Madden swagger rating higher than 75.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 20, 2010 12:08 PM CDT up reply actions
he can't......
but patrick willis can.
(couldn’t help myself)
"don't taze me bro!!!!!!!!!!"
http://www.twitter.com/doobieman21
by chrisd21 on Jul 20, 2010 2:55 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
PROJECTION
4,070 yards
30 TDs
8 int
I had to suppress the urge to put my first projection of 5,600 yards, 45 TDs and 13 INTs along with a league MVP, Super Bowl Championship and First-Team All-Pro over Peyton Manning.
by leacheatsbabies on Jul 20, 2010 12:49 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
PRO JEC TION
3,420 YARDS PASSING
35 TD’S
11 INTS
I CANNOT WAIT FOR MY PRIZE!
but I will take being totally wrong if we get to the superbowl:)
GO TEXANS!!!!
Our time will come...
PROJECTION
3,995 yds
29 TDs
13 Interceptions
I think that teh Schaub and AJ work out their fade issues as well. We will see at least two glorious fade route TD’s to Andre.
Jacoby is my ghostwriter.
PROJECTION
4,521 yds
31 TDs
17 INTs
Daryl Morey is god
PROJECTION
4,200 yds
36 TDs
16 INTS
easy
by theSpaceCityKid on Jul 20, 2010 2:48 PM CDT reply actions
PROJECTION
project deeeeeeeeez nutz!
no seriously…
4500+
37 TDS
12 INTS.
i’ll even go as far as to say jacoby will be second behind dre for TD catches, and will lead the team in YAC by the end of the season. i seriously think that schauby can crack 5k because of the YAC factor.
"don't taze me bro!!!!!!!!!!"
http://www.twitter.com/doobieman21
Projection
4,364 yards, 28 TD’s, 13 int’s
by Ryan81 on Jul 20, 2010 3:22 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
Projection
4968 yds
31 TDs
13 INTS
"Your mother is a hamster and your father smells of elderberries! Now Go away or I shall taunt you a second time!"
Go Texans!
Projection
4,444 yds
33 TD
13 Int
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
I was suprised....
you didn’t put 11 Int’s. You seemed to be on a roll with repeating numbers.
Just my $.02
Even duct tape can't fix stupid
by txknight on Jul 20, 2010 7:48 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I've got to keep you guys on your toes
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
When I Win...
I would like the prize to be the permission to write jacoby’s first greatest book of all time.
Feeling the five stages of grief since 2002.
by NoSafetiesNeeded on Jul 20, 2010 4:35 PM CDT reply actions
kill yoself
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 20, 2010 4:49 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Masturbation
4,214. 30 Tds. 12 picks.
No way he has less than 10 ints over the season
by AllenOU on Jul 20, 2010 4:50 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
PROJECTION
Since it takes a good 3 years for a QB to learn the WCO our starting QB should have an even better year.
I’m projecting Schwab’s passing yards go down but his efficiency rises…
4450 Passing Yards
37 Passing TD’s
9 INT’s
125 Passer Rating (surpassing Corky’s record of 121 in 2004)
Oh, and remember what Coach Kubiak said about Mattie Schwab needing to run the ball more when it’s there…
257 Rushing Yards
3 Rushing TD’s
Awards…
4 AFC Offensive POW
1 Pro Bowl selection
2nd Team All-Pro
Super Bowl MVP (yeah i said)
It's Our Time.... or something...
PROJECTION
4150 yards
36 TDs
12 INTs
Fuck the Dallas Cowboys.
by LedTexan on Jul 20, 2010 5:28 PM CDT reply actions 10 recs
That last part isn't prediction
It’s gospel.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 20, 2010 5:31 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Rec'd....
for the last part.
I think we need a better nickname for the cowgirls….that just does not do justice to the loathing and contempt I have for them as a team and for the bandwagon fans that can’t or don’t choose to remember Dallas did have a 1-15 year.
Just my $.02
Even duct tape can't fix stupid
by txknight on Jul 20, 2010 7:52 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
my personal favorite....
tony homo and the romosexuals.
"don't taze me bro!!!!!!!!!!"
http://www.twitter.com/doobieman21
by chrisd21 on Jul 20, 2010 11:14 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Projection
4,600 yards
30 TDs
13 INTs
"You got to believe in yourself. Hell, I believe I'm the best-looking guy in the world and I might be right."- Charles Barkley
I really hope the prize
Is a romantic night out with Tim. I hope you can salsa dance!
Jacoby is my ghostwriter.
Re: Prize
Actually, the “prize” for being furthest away from the actual stat line is a night of listening to me reminisce about VY’s days at The University of Texas at Austin. Weeping is a foregone conclusion on the part of both parties.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...
I've heard BFD gets a little handsy
You better watch out. Unless of course…that’s what your looking for.
Jacoby is my ghostwriter.
I am hoping for a four way dinner
tim, BFD, and MDC… if I want a dinner with rivers it usually consists of a seedy motel in montrose
"Your mother is a hamster and your father smells of elderberries! Now Go away or I shall taunt you a second time!"
Go Texans!
Well, it's plenty of protein for ME, anyway...
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 21, 2010 1:37 AM CDT up reply actions
Always river
it is like a friggin super soaker!
"Your mother is a hamster and your father smells of elderberries! Now Go away or I shall taunt you a second time!"
Go Texans!
You've heard?
I thought I told you to keep that a secret!
by Jordann on Jul 21, 2010 3:59 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Well he couldn't....
admit to first hand knowledge now could he?
Just my $.02
Even duct tape can't fix stupid
Projection
3,900 yards
25 TDs
12 INTS
Bonus projection: 14.5 games.
PROJECTION
4200 Yards
30 TDs
20 INTs
I’m hoping to transplant the 500 yard disparity between this season and last to the running game, which in turn will make our red zone receiving options more viable. I’m hoping AJ finally breaks into double-digit TDs.
Projection
4750 Yards
37 TDs
14 INTs
I’d be happy with that kind of season. I’d also be happy if there were no more HB passing stats.
"Do you ever feel more like you do now then when you got there?"
Ohhh Gawwd NOOOOOOOOO!
I might shoot a puppy if I see another HB pass this year.
"Do you ever feel more like you do now then when you got there?"
No no no
They are not gonna do a HB pass. It’ll be a flee flicker between 3 TE’s
I am Sancho
by HoustonTransplant on Jul 21, 2010 1:38 AM CDT up reply actions
I wouldn't mind so much...
…if James Casey throws it.
by BrownCrayon on Jul 21, 2010 1:40 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Projection
4,221 Yards
35 TDs (3 rushing)
15 INT
Some people say "If you can't beat them, join them". I say "If you can't beat them, beat them", because they will be expecting you to join them, so you will have the element of surprise.
Facebook.com
Projection
3,807
34 TDs
16 INTs
I am Sancho
by HoustonTransplant on Jul 21, 2010 1:37 AM CDT reply actions
Projection
4513 yds
31 tds
15 ints
by BrownCrayon on Jul 21, 2010 1:41 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
PROJECTION
3751 yds passing
29 td passes
13 interceptions
3 tds qb run
by mckraut on Jul 21, 2010 3:33 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
ERECTION
ahem. I mean PROJECTION. 4895 yards. 34 touchdowns. 12 interceptions. Oh, and 3 more commercials for local businesses. One of them would be for Carnen’s Boutique. Bow chicka wah wah!
by Jordann on Jul 21, 2010 3:58 AM CDT via mobile reply actions 1 recs
Projection
4082 Yards
29 TDs
11 Ints
A Texas Wannabe, born and raised in New Zealand. Currently located 7539 miles South west of Houston.
by distant_texans_fan on Jul 21, 2010 5:04 AM CDT reply actions
-=P-R-O-J-E-C-T-I-O-N=-
Matt Schaub WILL have 4250 Yards Passing
Matt Schaub WILL have 33 Touchdowns
Matt Schaub WILL have 11 Interceptions
Matt Schaub WILL get to the Playoffs 1 Time this year
Winning season... Check. Higher expectation bar... big Check.
by BattleRedHusker on Jul 21, 2010 5:39 AM CDT reply actions
Sorry to be off topic
I realize how long the offseason seems to be getting at this point in time. 10 more days, stay strong. In the mean time, I would like to invite you all (the invitation will go out to the rest of the Division as well) to come joins us over at our place of refuge and maybe talk some divisional football. What is going to go well? What has you feeling positive about this year? What are your concerns? Us Colts fans are getting bored and would really love to hear some new voices in the discussion (doesn’t have to be football related).
So please come on over to our new refugee camp that I promise you will be 100% BBS free. Tom Lewis the Pacers head blogger has offered us shelter.
http://www.indycornrows.com/2010/7/20/1578735/open-thread-for-slow-computers-hot
If this thread that I linked has commented itself out, just look around and I promise we’ll be somewhere in the fanshots. We would really enjoy your input on life and football.
Blogging about my summer at a Chinese law firm.
NEW BLOG, as my original one is blocked by the Great Firewall.
http://ajinshanghai.wordpress.com/
Off-Topic?!?!?
BANNED!!!!!
Nah, just kidding, good luck with that whole mess. Glad you guys have risen up against The Man.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 21, 2010 7:59 AM CDT up reply actions
Re: Off-Topic
Feel free to tell all your brethren to join the football discussion here as well, AJforAZ. We’re an accommodating sort.
Looking forward to a day when being a Texans fan doesn't mean that April is the highlight of my season...
oh I believe that
we just felt it would be quite over the top to raid your board with our daily 1500 comment open threads. So I felt it best to inform anyone looking for where all the Colts fans went, we picked up shop and moved. If you need to contact us you now know where to find us now.
I’m sure as you all become irrational about your chances against us this year we’ll find our way here to force suggest our opinions onto you. ;-)
Blogging about my summer at a Chinese law firm.
NEW BLOG, as my original one is blocked by the Great Firewall.
http://ajinshanghai.wordpress.com/
I heard you guys are intending to roster a real-life fullback this season
If anything, Indy is borrowing from our opinions… a football team with a fullback? Fancy stuff.
PROJECTION
2,758 Yards
19 TDs
9 INTs
I fear mid-season injury… Orlovsky goes 1832-11-8, Texans limp into playoffs as Schaub triumphantly returns.
Houston Texans Number One
I was wondering if we'd get a naysayer!
Good, the contest should have some varying opinions.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 21, 2010 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions
Projection
4392 Yards
33 Touchdowns
12 Interceptions
PROJECTION
4,000 yards
27 Touchdowns
12 Interceptions
…owned
by houstonduckhunter on Jul 21, 2010 3:12 PM CDT reply actions
Projection.
4466 Yards
18 TD
12 Int
Just your average, run of the mill hardcore casual Texans fan.
projection
4156, 28, 11 – and ESPN will go to commercial whenever we are on the clock.
meaningful football games in '08...MAKE THAT 09
Projection
4322 Passing, 31 td’s and 11 int and once again a boner given from watching the cheerleaders in HD
4,200+ passing yards, 33 TDs, 9 INT
Bonus: an uptick in his passer rating; his completion %; and Texan wins.
Oh yeah, and our running game is actually effective, this time around.
PROJECTION
3,939 yds
28 TD
12 INT
I asked my magic eight ball, so I must be right. Right?
Magic Eight Ball Question: will my prediction for matt schaub’s numbers be correct?
Definitely
See. I’m definitely going to win this one.
I can guarantee that you will not win.
No matter what a silly Eightball says!
midnight CT on Thursday
Earl Campbell is the perfect combination of assmass and weightspeed. - Papabear
How dare you question the wisdom of the magic eight ball? I have a question for you…what number does Matt Schaub wear?
8........
OMG!!!!!!! Matt Schaub is a magic eight ball! No wonder mine broke, ;)
Earl Campbell is the perfect combination of assmass and weightspeed. - Papabear
I hope everybody (including Schlauton) knows I am just being goofy. Then again, it’s bad mojo to argue with the eight ball.
I thought you were, that's why I was...sort of.
Matt Schaub is going to look like an eight ball soon enough, his hair is about to be gone.
Earl Campbell is the perfect combination of assmass and weightspeed. - Papabear
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