Community Projection: Texans RB Du Jour
by riversmccown on Jul 27, 2010 9:00 AM CDT
in News
Email
Print
Continuing with where we left off last time...
Texans running backs had a terrible year last year. Steve Slaton was hurt early and was basically ineffective when he played. Ryan Moats mixed some mediocre play with a shredding of the Buffalo Bills. Arian Foster came on late and made a big difference against Miami and New England in the final two weeks of the season. Chris Brown...uhh...lets forget about Chris Brown. Fumbleitis plagued the Texans last year, but this is a new year! The interior line should be improved through the addition of Wade Smith and the growth of some youngsters, and Rick Dennison was brought in with a specific focus on fixing the running game. Will it work? This is what we ask you, the reader, to decide.
Will rookie running back Ben Tate impress Kubiak enough to take the reins early? Will Tate shrug off everyone in his path, including Mike Kerns' requests for a third date? Will Arian Foster show that last year was no fluke by holding the job all year and introducing a new classical music concert based solely on Pterodactyls? Will Steve Slaton come back, neck disc in place, and remind everyone that he was pretty damn good in his own right in 2008? Will Jeremiah Johnson come out a-shootin and wind up with enough pelts to make decent money and 500 yards on the side? Will Dennison revolutionize football with a Vonta Leach based run attack? That's all up to you.
Your mission, if you choose to accept it, is to predict the statistical line of the Texans running back with the most carries this regular season: rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and total fumbles (not lost fumbles, TOTAL fumbles). As a tiebreaker, you'll list which Texans running back that will actually be. I'll list the weighted formula behind the jump so as to not bore you, but the person who is closest to these numbers will receive... something Texans-related as a prize, should they be around after the season to claim it. I can't tell you what the prize will be, both because it would ruin the surprise and because I'm just planning to make it something on sale and random at Amazon for the free shipping, but believe me when I tell you that it will change your life.
I'll try and run an average of what we come up with as well in a few days. If we were a baseball site, here's where I would include a player's CHONE and PECOTA and ACRONYM systems, but to the best of my knowledge, there aren't really any companies doing that for free. Football Outsiders has a projection system, but as they've listed all three backs with about the same number of carries, that seems a bit fruitless. So, on that note, project away!
Oh, and just to clear things up for me: Write "PROJECTION" as the subject of your actual projections. Thanks.
I'm going to stop accepting entries at 11:59 CT on Thursday, July 29, so I don't have to refer back to this thread since I'm going to be putting everything in a spreadsheet. You have until then.
Real simple here, I'll just dock you a point off for every touchdown and fumble you are off, and then an additional point will be docked for every 25 yards rushing you are off. Lowest number of points off takes home the...whatever the hell it'll be. First tiebreaker will be whoever picked the right RB, second tiebreakerwhoever was docked less on rushing yards, third tiebreaker will be whoever I like most.**
**-since I love you all, it'll be a coinflip.
63 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Lets see here
1097 yards. 9 tds. 5 fumbles
And it WILL be SS, not AF or BT
by AllenOU on Jul 27, 2010 9:19 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
Platoon position.....I just don't see the Texans "featuring" a single back this year.
Maybe one back emerges from the pack in the last half of the season or starts next year as the featured back.
"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."
The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related
by TexansForever on Jul 27, 2010 9:35 AM CDT up reply actions
PROJECTION
777 Yds; 8 TDs; 3 Fumblerooskies; Tiebreaker, Most Carries – Arian Foster
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
Projection
1,017 yards, 7 TDs, 2 Fumbles; Most Carries Benjamin Tate
And for the record, I think Tate and Foster will split carries with Slaton as the change of pace. 65 yards a game could put both Tate and Foster over 1,000…just a thought.
"Lord, beer me strength."
Projection
1150 yards, 8 TD’s, 4 Fumbles. Most carries: Arian Foster.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
did steve slaton eat your young
the guy is still the most talented back we have, and i think he will be hungry. he is going to have monster games in the division, i feel it
Bless you
For the “come out a-shootin and wind up with enough pelts” line.
Also, any mention of Mike Kerns desire to have Ben Tate’s children is always welcome.
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
Projection
1,113 yards, 13 TD’s, 6 fumbles….Tate
I think Foster starts out strong, but not great and that Tate takes over by about week 6 after impressing in his handful of carries per game in the opening weeks of the season. Early season carries as the goal line back and a homeriffic belief that we will run the ball better in the red zone helps push up his TD numbers. Kubiak gets creative and lines up Tate and Slaton in the backfield together too keep the defense off balance, and Slaton does a ton of damage catching the ball out of that formation.
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
In the words of Jacoby
Kill ya self
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
That's intensity right there
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
PROJECTION
9,675 yards, 150 TDs, -5 fumbles
As their productivity will be indistinguishably AMAZING, Kubiak will have no idea who to bench! Thus, the three running backs will be genetically combined by Doctor Mephisto into one massive OMEGA-BACK (with multiple asses) named Optimus Primetime.
by DisplacedTexan on Jul 27, 2010 1:25 PM CDT reply actions 2 recs
Gonna go ahead and not count you or nollie in the averages.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 27, 2010 1:39 PM CDT up reply actions
Well now....
Wont you look the fool when Optimus Primetime stumbles, rumbles, and bumbles his way to MVP honors?
by DisplacedTexan on Jul 27, 2010 2:02 PM CDT up reply actions
multiple asses?
rec’d
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
I think the Texans need an eight assed monkey to retrieve the tee after kickoffs
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
PROJECTION
1075 yards, 12 TDS, 1 FUMBLE, TATE
meaningful football games in '08...MAKE THAT 09, okay 10, definitely 10..i am an excellent driver
I just want to say, this setup is unusual
I would think that naming the RB with the most carries would be the initial qualifier and then compare stats, with a coin flip being the tie-breaker, not the RB being the tie-breaker. Just my two cents, which is usually worth about $.02.
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
Yeesh, sorry about that
Thought I hit that in editing but I just reposted the Schaub tiebreakers. It’s fixed.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 27, 2010 1:38 PM CDT up reply actions
PROJECTION
950 yards, 7 tds, 3 fumbles ~ Ben Tate(225 carries) 15 receptions, 95 yards receiving
Projection
970 yards, 11 tds, 0 fubbles, Foster
Projections
Ben Tate 780 yds, 7 tds, 3 fumbles
Steve Slaton 1000 yds, 5 tds, 2 fumbles
Arian Foster 400 yds, 9 tds, 4 fumbles
Feeling the five stages of grief since 2002.
by NoSafetiesNeeded on Jul 27, 2010 2:40 PM CDT reply actions
I'm just going to take the highest of these.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 29, 2010 7:01 PM CDT up reply actions
Corrections
B. T. 9 tds
S.S 8 tds
foster 9 tds
Feeling the five stages of grief since 2002.
by NoSafetiesNeeded on Jul 27, 2010 2:44 PM CDT reply actions
PROJECTION (the winner)
1,150 yds 9 tds, 3 fumbles
Steve Slaton
god I hope this comes true, I don’t know what to do with my Slaton jersey anymore :O
Daryl Morey's number one fanboy
That's why I refrain from jersey's
I’ve got Texans T-Shirts/Polo’s that I’ve been wearing for years with no fear of being stuck with a Jersey of a guy who either ends up blowing guts or is no longer with the team…..plus jersey’s are hella expensive.
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
by papabear on Jul 27, 2010 3:13 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I have one lone Texans jersey
Domanick Davis.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 27, 2010 3:42 PM CDT up reply actions
Man that aint nothin
I have an adidas Jermaine Lewis jersey. can anyone name a more obscure player?
Feeling the five stages of grief since 2002.
by NoSafetiesNeeded on Jul 27, 2010 7:49 PM CDT up reply actions
I usually pick up one jersey every year
I have Mario Williams and Steve Slaton so far
I’m deciding between Captain ’Meco and Andre Johnson this year
Daryl Morey's number one fanboy
That we actually pushed a jersey of?
No.
I love my obscure jerseys though. I have a Rockets Bostjan Nachbar.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 27, 2010 9:26 PM CDT up reply actions
Obscure players are the best
I have a soft spot for Matt Bullard because he used to come out to my school and shoot around with my 5th grade math teacher. So random.
by DisplacedTexan on Jul 27, 2010 11:28 PM CDT up reply actions
AIR BULL...CAN'T STOP BULL
That song was made of awesome
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
I have a soft spot for Josh McCown, for making my last name audible on Madden.
So his Arizona Cardinals jersey hangs proudly in my closet.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 28, 2010 11:54 AM CDT up reply actions
2nd PROJECTION:
Most Texans RB’s will have ▼this▼ look of disbelief on their faces whenever they manage to hold on to the football for more than 2 seconds.
This will soon be followed by them fumbling the ball as if a ghost from Scooby Doo had ran up and punted it out of their hands.
by peytonsurdaddy on Jul 27, 2010 3:31 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
PROJECTION
817 Yards: 9 TD: 2 Fumbles: Arian Foster
by houstonduckhunter on Jul 27, 2010 3:37 PM CDT reply actions
Projection
795 Yards, 5 touchdowns, 1 fumble, Ben Tate.
“I’ll try and run an average of what we come up with as well in a few days. If we were a baseball site, here’s where I would include a player’s CHONE and PECOTA and ACRONYM systems, but to the best of my knowledge, there aren’t really any companies doing that for free. Football Outsiders has a projection system, but as they’ve listed all three backs with about the same number of carries, that seems a bit fruitless.”
Isn’t great that FO’s projection system is apparently called KUBIAK???
It's confusing, from what I've heard from them.
It made more sense when he was just an OC, haha.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Jul 27, 2010 9:27 PM CDT up reply actions
Projection
1,000 yards, 9 TD, 1 Fumble, Ben Tate, but never late!
We drafted this guy for a reason and the league will find out why…
Don't ask me! Ask Google, you dumb Yahoo!
Projection
1,100 yards, 11 TD, 6 Fumbles
-Probably Arian Foster.
By the way 200 yards rushing for Owen Daniels- TE FTW!
"Do you ever feel more like you do now then when you got there?"
Slaton will get it done!
1,250 yards, 7 rushing TD’s, and 4 fumbles for Mr. Steve Slaton. Tate will get 8 short yardage TD’s, about as many as Chris Brown should have last year,. Foster will get alot of carries but i think Tate will be the back in the red zone. I hope to see some two back sets with Slaton and Tate in the backfield on short yardage situations!!!!!
Go Texans!
The Slaton Will Rise Again!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
"PROJECTIONS"
most carries=129
rushing yards=1270
rushing tds=8
total fumbles=4
Ben Tate
Projection
924 Yards, 11 TDs, 2 Fumbles, most carries – Foster
Fly like a pterodactyl to the heap
I am Sancho
by HoustonTransplant on Jul 28, 2010 2:50 AM CDT reply actions
Projection
1250 yards, 12 TDS, 4 fumbles- Arian Foster
I think Foster gets the nod to start the season, and doesn’t give anyone a reason to sit him the rest of the year.
Vince Young Projection
Yards: Negative 6
Fumbles: 1
Most Carries: the trainers staff taking him off the field after his torn ACL
by TexanTerp on Jul 28, 2010 10:16 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Projection
1075 rushing yards on 223 carries
9 RTD’s
2 fumbles
235 yards receiving on 22 catches
2 rec TD’s
Ben Tate
The strong do what they have to do; the weak accept what they have to accept
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Recommended FanPosts
Recent FanPosts
SBNation.com Recent Stories
In Association With
Shutdown Corner - NFL - Yahoo! Sports
- Tiquan Underwood, cut on Super Bowl eve, is a Patriot again
- Woman at Giants Super Bowl parade can’t wait to see Mark Sanchez (video)
- Bradying is sweeping the nation (for the next 48 hours or so)
- Knowshon Moreno charged with DUI; has a license plate that reads ‘SAUCED’
- Giants fan who won $50,000 on Super Bowl safety will donate winnings to charity
Certain photos copyright © 2012 by Associated Press or Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Associated Press and Getty Images is strictly prohibited.
