HOUSTON - AUGUST 28: Wishful fans before the start of a pre-season football game between the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on August 28, 2010 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
We've come to the end of our projection series. I've had you predict just about every player I could who accumulates regular NFL counting statistics. Now we come to what you've all been waiting for: predicting the actual season itself. You've seen the preseason games that matter, you've had your time to reflect. Now hit us with the grand prediction:
Are the Houston Texans destined for greatness? 16-0? 15-1? Would they rest their starters in the event that a perfect season was on the line, like a bunch of weenies? Will they be able to knock off the Colts for AFC South supremacy? Will Kris Jenkins decide to simply eat Chris Myers rather than toying with him this year? Will the kickers do their damn job, for a change? Will they go 6-10 and validate those evil, evil, Football Outsiders?
Simply predict the Texans regular season wins, points scored, and points allowed. Additionally, as a tiebreaker, put down the number of wins against divisional opponents the Texans will have at the end of the 2010 regular season. I'll list the weighted formula behind the jump so as to not bore you, but the person who is closest to these numbers will receive...something Texans-related as a prize, should they be around after the season to claim it. I can't tell you what the prize will be, both because it would ruin the surprise and because I'm just planning to make it something on sale and random at Amazon for the free shipping, but believe me when I tell you that it will change your life.
I'll try and run an average of what we come up with as well in a few days. Football Outsiders has projected the Texans to win 5.7 games. If you need a baseline for points scored and points allowed, the Texans scored 388 points and allowed 333 points last year.
Oh, and just to clear things up for me. Write "PROJECTION" as the subject of your actual projections. Thanks.
I'm going to stop accepting entries at 11:59 CT on Thursday, September 2nd, so I don't have to refer back to this thread since I'm going to be putting everything in a spreadsheet. You have until then.
Real simple here, I'll just dock you a point off for every win, point for, and point against you are off. There will be a 15 point bonus for guessing the correct number of wins. Lowest number of points off takes home the...whatever the hell it'll be. First tiebreaker will be whoever guessed closest to the division wins, second will be whoever was docked less on points scored, third tiebreaker will go to whoever gets me a press pass*.
**-since none of you will, it'll be a coinflip.