Community Projection: Your Houston Texans
by riversmccown on Aug 31, 2010 9:00 AM CDT
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We've come to the end of our projection series. I've had you predict just about every player I could who accumulates regular NFL counting statistics. Now we come to what you've all been waiting for: predicting the actual season itself. You've seen the preseason games that matter, you've had your time to reflect. Now hit us with the grand prediction:
Are the Houston Texans destined for greatness? 16-0? 15-1? Would they rest their starters in the event that a perfect season was on the line, like a bunch of weenies? Will they be able to knock off the Colts for AFC South supremacy? Will Kris Jenkins decide to simply eat Chris Myers rather than toying with him this year? Will the kickers do their damn job, for a change? Will they go 6-10 and validate those evil, evil, Football Outsiders?
Simply predict the Texans regular season wins, points scored, and points allowed. Additionally, as a tiebreaker, put down the number of wins against divisional opponents the Texans will have at the end of the 2010 regular season. I'll list the weighted formula behind the jump so as to not bore you, but the person who is closest to these numbers will receive...something Texans-related as a prize, should they be around after the season to claim it. I can't tell you what the prize will be, both because it would ruin the surprise and because I'm just planning to make it something on sale and random at Amazon for the free shipping, but believe me when I tell you that it will change your life.
I'll try and run an average of what we come up with as well in a few days. Football Outsiders has projected the Texans to win 5.7 games. If you need a baseline for points scored and points allowed, the Texans scored 388 points and allowed 333 points last year.
Oh, and just to clear things up for me. Write "PROJECTION" as the subject of your actual projections. Thanks.
I'm going to stop accepting entries at 11:59 CT on Thursday, September 2nd, so I don't have to refer back to this thread since I'm going to be putting everything in a spreadsheet. You have until then.
Real simple here, I'll just dock you a point off for every win, point for, and point against you are off. There will be a 15 point bonus for guessing the correct number of wins. Lowest number of points off takes home the...whatever the hell it'll be. First tiebreaker will be whoever guessed closest to the division wins, second will be whoever was docked less on points scored, third tiebreaker will go to whoever gets me a press pass*.
**-since none of you will, it'll be a coinflip.
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Projection
Wins: 12
Points Scored: 410
Points Allowed: 360
Division Wins: 4
Projection (and I really hate myself for this)
my non-homer projections:
6-10
Points Scored: 365
Points Allowed: 385
Division Wins: 2
please, please let me be wrong.
Not as much as you hate Scottie Pippen :)
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that goes without saying
If I hated myself that much I’d have pulled a TO with the sleeping pills and vodka long ago.
I thought that was a VY ?
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PROJECTION
Record: 12-4 (losses to Chargers, Eagles, Jets, Colts)
Points For: 422
Points Against: 299
Division: 5-1
Note: Only 1 point off on the win prediction? That’s not going to make much of a difference. The real competition is going to be who guesses better on the points. Oh well – go Texans!
Forgot to add the +5 bonus on that.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Aug 31, 2010 10:17 AM CDT up reply actions
Although you're right, it should be more. Maybe I'll make it +15.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement | Twitter | SB Nation Houston | Battle Red Blog
by riversmccown on Aug 31, 2010 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions
Wait, I already made my projection per the original rules
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
I'd be perfectly happy with
+20 x W. That would give each category (wins, points for, points allowed) roughly equal weight and we had better have a good defense since they are my fantasy league defense this year! Go Texans! Peace!
PROJECTION
Record: 10
Points Scored: 375
Points Allowed: 325
Division Wins: 3
"No matter where you go....There you are" - Buckaroo Banzai
by buckaroo_banzai on Aug 31, 2010 9:57 AM CDT reply actions
Projection
Wins : 9
Points Scored : 420
Points Allowed : 345
Division wins : 3
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PROJECTION
Ws – 12
Pts – 404
Pts All – 322
Div – 5
I suppose if all of the stars, moons and planets align it could be possible, but what are the chances of that?
PROJECTION
Wins- 10
Points Scored- 364
Points Allowed- 313
Division Wins- 4
Mesquite smoked optimist says:
10 wins
412 points for
310 points against
4-2 division
projection
wins- 11
points scored- 413
points allowed-313
division-4
"Well, at least our players kept their helmets on, so that showed some intelligence"-Bob McNair
Projection
wins – 16
points scored – 600
points allowed – 0
division – 6
beers – 300
bottles of whiskey – 16
Zima’s for Tim – 100
- tyler
Looks like bullpen
will be drinking a bunch of bleach this year!!!
"Your mother is a hamster and your father smells of elderberries! Now Go away or I shall taunt you a second time!"
Go Texans!
Now thats Optimism :)
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Projection
Imma keep this reasonable
Wins- 10
Points For- 412
Points Against- 315
Division- 4-2 (one to the colts and one to VY @ home that is for LDJA12 who will write a report about how the Texans should have drafted VY he just knows how to win games although it will be because Chris Johnson)
SUPER TIE BREAKER- Houston 31- Dallas 13
"Your mother is a hamster and your father smells of elderberries! Now Go away or I shall taunt you a second time!"
Go Texans!
Truth
8-8
467 points
458 against
2-4 in division
by AllenOU on Aug 31, 2010 11:11 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
that's a lot of points. Gonna make some FFL guys happy.
so we’re going to average just shy of 30 points a game… but give up almost 29 a game?
Wow.
I actually believe this.
I think we r Puting up some points, but will give up a ton too. A bunch of 31-28 and 28-27 type games.
by AllenOU on Aug 31, 2010 12:38 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Projection
Win – 11
PF – 420
PA – 320
Division – 4-2
"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."
What happens when an unstoppable force meets three defensive players? THIS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpWqMqrZwTU
I win
10 wins
PF – 385
PA – 330
4 wins in the division
If at first you don't succeed, draft, draft again
Projection
10-5-1 … we tie with redskins because McNabb forgets about rule again…
PF – 413
PA – 296
Div – 3-3
really just a jab at McNabb
I’m thinking 10-6. Figured tossing an extra loss towards a joke wouldn’t matter because we’re only scored on wins.
As for the question… Baltimore and 2 of the NFC east teams (but not Dallas because even though we whooped ‘em once, it was preseason and we’ll still have something to prove when we meet them week 3).
PROJECTION
15-1 (2nd Colts game)
PF: 463
PA: 398
Div: 5-1
Super Bowl Championship
..And i’m being completely honest.
by leacheatsbabies on Aug 31, 2010 11:46 AM CDT reply actions
That's an average ...
of winning by just over 4 pts a game. That includes the loss though so I guess a 72-0 loss in that 2nd Colts game could give us those numbers. I would love to see this happen but I just don’t see us winning every single game we are in by less than a touchdown.
I forsee us being in alot of tight games (as usual)
The difference is i think this year we make that play or 2 that wins the game..instead of fumbling/shanking/Chris Brown’ing the game down the shitter.
by leacheatsbabies on Aug 31, 2010 3:24 PM CDT up reply actions
Projection
9 wins
398 PF
340 PA
Div: 2
I hope I’m wrong.
Prediction
10 wins
Points for 403
Points against 350
Divison 4-2
by Twizted33 on Aug 31, 2010 12:52 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
Prediction
11 wins
PF – 410
PA – 320
Division 4-2
It’s now or never!! GO TEXANS!!
PREDICTION
10 wins
PF – 438
PA – 328
Division record 5-1
Projection
Wins: 8
PF: 417
PA: 388
Division: 3-3
Do the people who are putting “Prediction” instead of “Projection” in the subject still get entered in the contest?
"MDC: Droppin' knowledge like a librarian with Parkinson's." --Jonathan Loesche
by MDC on Aug 31, 2010 3:24 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Guesstimation
Wins: 11
PF: 410
PA: 321
AFCS: 4-2
Projection
Wins- 12
PF: 452
PA: 310
South Record: 3-3
Playoff Wins= More than Dallas had in the last 14 years
"Do you ever feel more like you do now then when you got there?"
PROJECTION
Wins: 11
Points Scored: 408
Points Allowed: 340
Division Wins: 3
w: 10
l: 6
pts for: 458
against: 345
div: 3-3
It's hard bein whimpy
by WhimpyJimmy on Aug 31, 2010 5:19 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
PROJECTION
Wins – 10
Points Scored – 395
Points Allowed – 327
Div – 3-3
Wild card (W) → Divisional Playoffs against Colts (W) → AFC Championship game against Chargers (W) → Super bowl loss to Cowboys
Cowboys have never won in Reliant and Texans have never won in Dallas…so WHEN they play the cowboys in the super bowl, they can’t win :(
Projection
Wins: 9
Points Scored: 381
Points Allowed: 275
Div: 4-2
I think they can make the playoffs if they can beat the colts. I’m projecting Wild Card this year.
beating the colts
if they beat the colts, they’ll be a shoo-in for the division title, not just a wild card berth
Projected prediction
Wins: 8
Scored: 380
Allowed: 373
Division: 2-4
I'll eliminate you like I eliminate gluten from my diet.
www.battleredblog.com
Projection
Wins: 10
Scored: 458
Allowed: 396
Division: 3-3
start slow but kill it down the streach. On to the AFC champianship game against the Pats.
You can't fix Dumb or being a VYFB
Projection
Wins – 11
Points scored – 436
Points allowed – 301
Division – 3-3
I am Sancho
by HoustonTransplant on Sep 1, 2010 1:43 PM CDT reply actions
PROJECTION
Wins 11
scored – 420
allowed – 295
division – 4
meaningful football games in '08...MAKE THAT 09, okay 10, definitely 10..i am an excellent driver
PROJECTION
THE FOLLOWING WAS FOUND IN A JAR UNDERNEATH THE STEPS AT FUNK AND WAGNELLS——
Record: 11-4 (losses to Wash, Eagles, Jets, Colts,Tenn )
Points For: 401
Points Against: 312
Division: 4-2
Scaubb misses two games with a hand injury — New QB brought in to replace Orlofsky
Doin stuff so nasty that you have to do it twice to confirm the level of nasty!!
Correction PROJECTION
THE FOLLOWING WAS FOUND IN A JAR UNDERNEATH THE STEPS AT FUNK AND WAGNELLS——
Record: 11-5 (losses to Wash, Eagles, Jets, Colts,Tenn )
Points For: 401
Points Against: 312
Division: 4-2
Scaubb misses two games with a hand injury — New QB brought in to replace Orlofsky
Doin stuff so nasty that you have to do it twice to confirm the level of nasty!!
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