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Sleeper Of The Week: Good Ol' Mr. Reliable

It’s the weekend, so the smell of VapoRub is in the air as we set out to find a sleeper or two for the week.

Last week, I gave you the Houston tight ends as "sleepers" for a combined 11 catches, 115 yards, and a touchdown. I wasn’t close on catches (six), but they did go for 102 and a touchdown (although Joel Dreessen got the touchdown, as opposed to Owen Daniels). All in all, I feel as if that was some sound advice.

This week, the Texans go up against a top-10 defense in the Jacksonville Jaguars. There are some weaknesses, as was pointed out in the Deep Steel Blueprint and Behind Enemy Lines, but there is also one area that could produce a fantasy sleeper.

Who could be in line for a bigger game? What kind of blogger would I be if I couldn’t entice you to jump?

Star-divide

Kevin Walter, by virtue of his spot on the depth chart, is in line for a bigger game, potentially.

Like Houston, Jacksonville’s pass defense has also made the regression back to respectability – moving from 28th in 2010 to 6th so far this season (
8th in Football Outsiders' DVOA). New safeties Dawan Landry and Dwight Lowery play a role in that improvement, as do experienced cornerbacks and a solid front seven.

All that said,
Football Outsiders lists Jacksonville as 27th against number two receivers. The depth chart on HoustonTexans.com lists Walter as the second receiver. Of course, that depends on where they line up and who gets matched up with whom, but Jacoby Jones, given his big play ability, will likely draw the top cornerback.

Jacksonville’s coverage of number twos is easily their weak point on the pass coverage rankings. Tight end is second-worst at 18th in the league. If these stats hold true to form and Walter does draw the second cornerback as expected, I would pencil these numbers in for a prediction:

Kevin Walter--5 catches (on 7 targets) for 52 yards with an outside shot at a touchdown – in other words, a game very similar to the one he had in Baltimore. Since Andre Johnson went down with injury, Walter has 
clearly been a target and upped his performance.

I would advise playing Walter if you're in need of a spot start due to bye week madness, as he could have the kind of game that won't cost you the game, and during bye weeks you need that kind of spot starter.

As always, feel free to use the comments for all your fantasy football observations, speculation, and genius predictions. 

Jaguars vs Texans coverage | Jaguars vs Texans preview | Big Cat Country

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First of all

I think THOR is our sleeper 6 catches 86 yds 1 touchdown

by TexansForLife on Oct 28, 2011 1:11 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

I wouldn't put much stock on Mason

Jacksonville’s been pretty good against the 3rd and 4th receivers while Houston has really cut down on the 3 WR sets without ‘Dre (which I like because I’m a fan of those 2 TE sets since we have quality guys in Daniels and Dreessen).

I’ll be very interested to see how much they utilize Casey if he plays.

"Lord, beer me strength."

by TexansDC on Oct 28, 2011 1:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ward for Sleeper!

Off the bench, doing it all…

I didn't do anything wrong!.... and, I won't do it again.

by Rip Jersey on Oct 28, 2011 1:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Derrick Cox

the Jaguars #2 CB, has been injured a good part of the year. He came back last week and is now healthy.

That’s at least part of the reason for the #2 guys doing well against them.

by pksiv on Oct 28, 2011 1:15 PM CDT reply actions  

there should be a holiday for that play

National beat Finnegan’s * day

"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"

Real fans don’t need a reason.

"Real G's move in silence like lasagna.." lol

by TheTealDeal on Oct 28, 2011 5:25 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

Jareem Kackson for Sleeper!!!!OMGWTFILIKEBBQ

- Feeling the five stages of grief since 2002.

"It's either gonna make you a man or a coward. One of the two. I'm a be a man. I ain't never seen a coward, heard a coward, coward not in ma vocabulary." - Lawrence Vickers

by NoSafetiesNeeded on Oct 28, 2011 1:45 PM CDT reply actions  

I wonder what hitler

Will say after we win. This is what he said last year after the hail Mary:

 http://m.youtube.com/index?desktop_uri=%2F&gl=US#/watch?v=TjaeHnp6Ds8

"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"

Real fans don’t need a reason.

"Real G's move in silence like lasagna.." lol

by TheTealDeal on Oct 28, 2011 1:45 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

And this is supposed to be.........???

Murphy’s 20th Military Law:
If it’s stupid, but it works, it ain’t stupid
"Fuck em all. Go Texans."

by The Night Owl on Oct 29, 2011 12:03 AM CDT up reply actions  

Why doesn't Arian Qualify?

He is the one that will be putting the Jaguars season to sleep.

1 Defensive Score is left in the Karma Bag
Hmm Hmm Good, Wade Aid hits the spot.
"Wade aid has lean in it, just saying"

by WreckNTexan on Oct 28, 2011 1:54 PM CDT reply actions  

He gives us the ROFLs

As he loafs about for positive yards.

"Lord, beer me strength."

by TexansDC on Oct 28, 2011 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

No that would be

The Glitter Kittehs Offense

"The greatest danger in planning for tomorrow is using yesterdays logic."
Marc Kahlberg

by Barryfromtexas on Oct 28, 2011 2:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

He isn't really a sleeper

"The greatest danger in planning for tomorrow is using yesterdays logic."
Marc Kahlberg

by Barryfromtexas on Oct 28, 2011 2:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

I really don't comprehend what you're talking about in this quotation
I would advise playing Walter if you’re in need of a spot start due to bye week madness, as he could have the kind of game that won’t cost you the game, and during bye weeks you need that kind of spot starter.

What is a spot start?
What is bye week madness?
What do you mean with needing a spot starter during bye weeks?

I thought our bye week wasn’t until the 10 week and the glitter kitty’s just played on Monday so I’m totally confused about what you mean here.

As Bucky the cat in “Get Fuzzy” says

“Que?
No hablo ingles , senorita”

You’re literally talking a foreign language atm about this stuff. Thanks in advance for any clarification.

Is this fantasy football stuff? hehe if that’s the case, you don’t have to spend too much time explaining ;-).

#Texans2011 — Where reality and dreams collide!
~~ Fuzion

by BattleRedFan on Oct 28, 2011 2:22 PM CDT reply actions  

The post is a fantasy football take on the Texans, so that's what it refers to

Since you own players from different teams, your roster can be riddled with bye weeks.

Case in point, in one league I have a RB and 2 WRs on byes this week. A spot start means finding a player to fill in a spot for a game but not someone you’d start every week (your healthy Andre Johnsons, Calvin Johnsons, and the like).

"Lord, beer me strength."

by TexansDC on Oct 28, 2011 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

aha! ok

thank you ! =)

#Texans2011 — Where reality and dreams collide!
~~ Fuzion

by BattleRedFan on Oct 28, 2011 2:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm going with Casey

With a strained pectoral, look for him to be in the passing game. If I were Kubes, I wouldn’t risk him reagravating his injury on run blocking. But I could be wrong…

Swat and swim, dip and rip, twist and spin; just do whacha gotta do to light up that QB.

by swikky on Oct 28, 2011 2:25 PM CDT reply actions  

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