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The Doc’s Week Three Picks

Well, things were a little better last week, but to be under .500 after the first two weeks is pretty pathetic. However, teams are starting to show their tendencies, and I’m kind of getting a feel for what they’re going to do. I mean, don’t bet the house or anything, but I feel much more comfortable than week one’s picks. Well…considering that I had one of the worst weeks in my prognosticating history, that’s not saying much.

 

Picks appear in bold.

 

San Francisco at Cincinnati (-2)

Before the season, I don’t think I would have made this pick. Andy Dalton has been much better than I thought he would be at this stage of the season. He’ll have to be as the 49ers have been fantastic against the run, giving up only 54.5 yards per game.

 

New England (-7) at Buffalo

I don’t really get the fascination with Buffalo. Sure, Ryan Fitzpatrick is a good story, but their two wins are against Kansas City and Oakland. I think they’re brought back to reality as Tom Brady goes for big numbers…again.

 

Houston at New Orleans (-4)
Easily the most difficult game of the week to pick. There’re too many unknowns in this game. How good is the Texans’ defense? Can Sean Payton put his ego aside and just run the ball against a team that’s having a hard time defending it? Either way, I think Drew Brees makes one more play than Matt Schaub.

 

New York Giants (+9.5) at Philadelphia

With all of the problems Tom Coughlin is having keeping wide receivers healthy, I think he’ll use Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs to pound the Eagles smaller defensive front. I don’t think they’ll win, but the Giants will keep it close.

 

Miami (+3) at Cleveland

I was planning on taking the Dolphins this week anyway, but now that I hear Peyton Hillis has strep throat, I’m sold.

 

Denver at Tennessee (-6)

Putting all of my eggs in the Matt Hasselbeck and Chris Johnson basket doesn’t make me feel all warm and fuzzy.  However, the Kyle Orton bucket is leaking Cadbury Chocolate Eggs and that fake green grass all over the place.

 

Detroit (-3) at Minnesota
Should the Vikings have won last week? Sure. But, Minnesota will need to have their offense running on all cylinders to beat the Lions, and I can’t see Donovan McNabb making enough of the passing game to do it.

 

Jacksonville at Carolina (-3)

Just you watch, Cam Newton has been absolutely fantastic against two teams that nobody thought they would beat. Now that I’m drinking the Cam Kool Aid, he’ll end up throwing for 150 yards and six picks in one game.

 

Kansas City at San Diego (-14)

I usually hate giving up this many points in a division game, but the Chiefs have given me no choice. Without their best offensive (Jamaal Charles) and defensive (Eric Berry) players for the rest of the season, they might well be the leaders of the "Suck for Luck" sweepstakes.

 

New York Jets (-3) at Oakland

I understand that the Jets are having to fly across the country, and I get they haven’t displayed the usual swarming run defense that we’re used to, but only three points to the Raiders? Really??

 

Baltimore (-4) at St. Louis
The Ravens are really starting to tick me off. I’m 0-2 in their games on the year and neither has been close. Of course, there’s always the "Joe Flacco Factor", but he can’t even screw this one up…I think.

 

Atlanta (+1.5) at Tampa Bay

I think this will be the best matchup of the weekend – both teams have good, young quarterbacks known for pulling games out late, more than effective running games, and defenses that are highly questionable. However, I trust the Falcons wideouts more than those of the Bucs.

 

Arizona (-3) at Seattle

Do I really have to pick this game? Does anyone care? Should I even give an explanation as to why I think the Cardinals will win? Nah, I didn’t think so, either.

 

Green Bay (-3.5) at Chicago

If you read my season predictions piece, you know that I don’t think too much of the Bears, and I think last week was the beginning of the end. The frustration Jay Cutler showed about his protection in the Saints’ game – yeah, you’re going to see a lot more of that.

 

Pittsburgh (-10.5) at Indianapolis

Wouldn’t it be funny if Indianapolis actually ended up with the first pick? I’d love to see the "Peyton Manning face" on Peyton Manning when the commissioner read Andrew Luck’s name. Classic!

 

Washington at Dallas (-4.5)
I’m not going with the Cowboys because it looks like Tony Romo has vampire-like healing powers, or that Felix Jones is going to tough it out with a separated shoulder, or even that Dez Bryant has recovered from menstrual cramps. No, I like the Cowboys because I just don’t believe in Rex Grossman and the Redskins.

 

Last Week: 9-5-2

Season: 14-15-3

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