Kubiak Konundrum -- Baltimore Ravens Playoff Edition
So proud. I don’t have any game analysis to provide that already hasn’t been beaten to death. No witticisms today. I’m too emotionally drained still, half a week later. But proud.
Instead, we’ll get straight to the decisions of the day.
1=terrible call, 2=negative, 3=neutral, 4=positive, and 5=outstanding.
1Q. 2:42 left. Texans face 4th and 1 and a half from the Ravens' 21.
Should Kubiak have gone for it on 4th and 1 and a half? It’s hard to judge this one based on results. Neil Rackers did make the field goal. We did get the ball back after a three and out. Or should have. I don’t think we need to discuss why we didn’t here.
Who knows what alternate history would have played out had Kubiak gone for it? The fact that we didn’t need mere inches but a long yard and a half, against the Ravens' D, on the road, after being stopped on third and 1, made it an obvious decision to me to kick it.
Though I brought the play up because some people will always say go for it like it’s just another game of Madden, after review I can only give the decision a 3 for a neutral call. Standard coaching. Nothing special. In fact, he made the non-decision, which was perfectly okay to do here. I’m all ears if you have a persuasive argument to move it down to a 2 or up to a 4.
3Q. 5:59. 4th and 6. Down 17-13. Texans ball on Ravens' 33.
My signout in last week’s post said I was confident in Kubiak’s decision making unless it came down to a 49 yard field goal attempt. Well, I guess that would have worked out just fine. Because, had it been a 49 yarder instead of 50, the ball would have inched over the crossbar instead of grazing its underbelly.
The reason for my skepticism last week wasn’t necessarily an indictment of Kubiak or of kicking 49 yarders. In fact, earlier in the season, I was clamoring for Kubiak to have Rackers kick from outside of 50. But, at this point, I personally have no idea what to do with Rackers from this range. The fact that a 49 yarder might miss short in the NFL still perplexes me. We were already cheering in my living room when we saw the kick was straight and high. Sigh.
The kick missed. We were battling from behind from a field position standpoint for the next couple drives. From those vantage points, the play failed and Kubiak gets a 2. I sure as Hell would have gotten a 2 myself had I been making the decision.
4Q. 20 seconds left. 4th and 2. 20-13 Ravens. Ball on Ravens' 44.
All year, I’ve maintained that playcalling wouldn’t be something discussed here because it is too subjective. Here, we look at not the playcall but the decision to throw deep, as opposed to just going for the first down and trying to spike the ball or get out of bounds. To me, it’s more of a strategic decision.
In all honestly, as frustrated as I was with the incompletion and impending loss, I saw the logic. I don’t necessarily agree with the idea Kubiak gave in the press conference that we "had" to take a shot. My immediate reaction was that if you thought the Ravens would be pressing the line trying to stop the first down, then taking a shot where they might be vulnerable and going for it all at once was a calculated gamble worth taking. That being said, I could have done without the Hail Mary style jump ball chosen and would have opted for a double move, trying to catch them jumping an out pattern. Again, playcalling is a slippery subject. I see the logic behind the decision. It clearly didn’t work out, so I’d give it a 2. Still, it only seems fitting to leave the last game management decision of the year up to the readers.
One more installment will come next week, breaking down this year’s Konundrum results game-by-game. Until then, an updated scorecard:
Ravens Playoff Game:
2: 2 plays.
3: 1 play.
Season Totals:
1: 1 play.
2: 9 plays.
3: 15 plays.
4: 12 plays.
5: 2 plays.
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Aggressive calls by Kubiak are to be encouraged, so I voted for 2.
Still, it was unnecessarily risky in the situation. Could’ve been better, for sure.
"How can an idiot be a policeman? Answer me that!"
-Chief Inspector Dreyfus
I voted it as a 3.
If it works, he’s a hero. No way to know if they would have made the first down and had time left.
"My idea of an agreeable person is a person who agrees with me." -- Benjamin Disraeli
"If you really want something in life you have to work for it. Now quiet, they're about to announce the lottery numbers." -- Homer Simpson
"There is no rehab for stupid." -- Chris Rock
Never try to baptize a cat.
At the time I thought he should have gone for the first down,
but after hearing his explanation, I’m totally on board with the decision and gave it a 5.
He said if the 4th and 2 had failed while trying to throw a short out route for the first, we’d have never taken a shot at the end zone. He just couldn’t bear the thought of losing the game w/o at least taking a shot in the end zone.
I gave it a 4.
If we try to pick up the first down, how far are we trying ti move it? 5 yards? 10 yards? If it dosent work, you never had a chance. Besides, with a first down, and spike, you get 2 shots MAX at the end zone anyway. So ill take one shot there.
CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES
CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES
CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES
CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES
CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES CUT JACOBY JONES
If you get fifteen . . .
I think there’s a much better chance to throw a real pass into the endzone than from 40. See Falcons game and they were only on the thirty.
Me too
Good call, but what i want to know is why Walter didn’t turn around? He never looked up, just looked straight ahead at the defender. The ball hit him right on the shoulder pad. If he had turned around, the ball may have landed right in the cup of his arms! On hail mary’s, shouldn’t everyone look up? What am I missing?
"I don’t like to really get in the quarterback’s head because I know he has a thousand other things to think about when he’s out on the field, but T.J. knows where I’m at."—Wide receiver Andre Johnson, on whether or not he lobbies for the ball in the huddle.
He wasn't the guy designated to catch it
His job was to push people out of the way so that others could catch it
by splanket on Jan 19, 2012 7:13 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
Bad play call then
Hail Mary’s are not a designed play to throw it to one specific person and to have others block/push, it is throw it up and see who catches it. Every offensive player that gets to the endzone should be looking/jumping for it so that it maximizes the chances of someone pulling it down.
"I don’t like to really get in the quarterback’s head because I know he has a thousand other things to think about when he’s out on the field, but T.J. knows where I’m at."—Wide receiver Andre Johnson, on whether or not he lobbies for the ball in the huddle.
Not if you ask any coach in the NFL
There’s a reason they are calling the plays.
by splanket on Jan 20, 2012 6:22 AM CST via mobile up reply actions
The last play clearly should have been a
HB pass.
by Bobbythegreat on Jan 19, 2012 6:08 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
I 'd rather
TJ run for it and helicopter over anyone trying to tackle him.
"Walter is a quality 2nd receiver. Jacoby is so bad that the two of them together is less than just Walter by himself." -Toolshed1
by RocketsAstros on Jan 20, 2012 6:40 AM CST up reply actions
Hail Mary, Full of Grace
Nothing wrong with the play call. The ball hit Walter in the shoulder! You can’t catch the ball if you aren’t looking for it. We need a legitimate number two receiver capable of developing into AJ’s eventual replacement.
Agreed
Calling a Hail Mary is fine in that situation, but I don’t know if it was a designed play for Walter to block/push or he just forgot to look up. If it’s the former, then it’s on the coaches and it makes no sense. If it’s the latter, then Walter just messed up.
"I don’t like to really get in the quarterback’s head because I know he has a thousand other things to think about when he’s out on the field, but T.J. knows where I’m at."—Wide receiver Andre Johnson, on whether or not he lobbies for the ball in the huddle.
Best guess is it wasn't a Hail Mary per se
more of a clearing route designed to get one man open in the end zone. I understand the call and have no problem with it, my problem was with Yates flubbing 3 straight passes when he had time on at least 2. But thats just being nitpicky
Say we ran 2+ yards and get the first down.
What is the rule for the getting both sides lined up again so we can get a timely spike? My memory is that the offense has to give the D time to get lined up, but can the D drain the clock?
Dallas Cowboys, all hat and no cattle since 1996.
"Will it never be noon?" Duke of Orleans to the Dauphin and Constable of France every Sunday before the Texans play.
by Jonathan Fosburgh on Jan 19, 2012 9:50 PM CST reply actions
Nicely done
I had no problem with going deep with 20 seconds left.
What I thought was odd, is the Dre was often on the right side of the formation in this last game. Seems most of the time he is on the left – maybe it is just me.
"The greatest danger in planning for tomorrow is using yesterdays logic."
Marc Kahlberg
"Some ideas are so stupid that only intellectuals believe them." - George Orwell
I think we will learn that the Bo$$man was right
speaking of not speaking of playcalls...
i’ve got this idea. we set up for the standard hail mary down one sideline, and then the qb lets fly to the opposite end of the end zone. our fastest guy breaks that direction just as the ball is launched. any chance for success? i never see the whole field on t.v. so i don’t know if there’s a ‘back door’ safety watching for this type of thing…
Wouldn't that mean we have to trust Jacoby to get in position?
Dallas Cowboys, all hat and no cattle since 1996.
"Will it never be noon?" Duke of Orleans to the Dauphin and Constable of France every Sunday before the Texans play.
by Jonathan Fosburgh on Jan 19, 2012 10:19 PM CST up reply actions
He might break free, get in position fast enough, be wide open...
and then drop the ball.
"Walter is a quality 2nd receiver. Jacoby is so bad that the two of them together is less than just Walter by himself." -Toolshed1
by RocketsAstros on Jan 20, 2012 6:44 AM CST up reply actions
Get in perfect position, just like in the last play against Oakland?
Dallas Cowboys, all hat and no cattle since 1996.
"Will it never be noon?" Duke of Orleans to the Dauphin and Constable of France every Sunday before the Texans play.
by Jonathan Fosburgh on Jan 20, 2012 8:32 AM CST up reply actions
Just about everyone is saying the ball hit Walters in the shoulder....
if you watch the camera angle straight down the goal line, it was very clear Reed got a hand on it before Walters even had a chance to catch it….by a good three to four feet in fact. The camera angle from the field though does indeed look like it hit Walters on the shoulder.
Just my $.02
Even duct tape can't fix stupid

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