Todd McShay's: Way-Too-Early 2015 Mock Draft



I just thought I would post this for everyone to get an idea of who the big names are that are being talked about for next year's draft. According to McShay, the Texans will finally be drafting a QB in the first round. That QB is named Bryce Petty and he hails from Baylor University. The top quarterbacks in next year's draft are Petty, Mariota, Hundley, Winston, and possibly even Kevin Hogan out of Stanford University. I don't think that the Texans will look at Winston because he has too many character issues but he is a name to watch, I guess. I think Mariota is the best QB prospect and I would love it if the Texans could get their hands on him. Unfortunately I suspect that we will be picking in the middle of the first and will be too far back to take him. It has been said recently by that if Mariota came out this year, he would have been the pick we went with. We will see what happens with this year's Houston Texans but if we do wind up with an 8-8 record I would be more than happy taking Petty with the 15th pick overall. What do you guys think? Is Petty a good pick for the Texans or is there someone you like better?

• Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders was kind enough to provide us with a 2015 draft order based off of his early projected win totals for every team (rounded off to create a win-loss record, and projected SOS numbers breaking the ties). That's the order we'll use for the purposes of this projection.

1. Oakland Raiders (FBO projected record: 4-12): Leonard Williams*, DL, USC

The 6-foot-5, 290-pound Williams can move extremely well for his size, and that translated to him being very disruptive and productive for the Trojans in 2013. He showed impressive awareness, quickness and a good motor.

2. Cleveland Browns (6-10): Amari Cooper*, WR, Alabama

The Browns didn't take a receiver in the 2014 draft, so we'll give them one early here. Cooper was banged up early on last season but by the end of the year he was back to his dominant freshman-year form. He has good savvy and body control to go with his size and speed.

3. Jacksonville Jaguars (6-10): Cedric Ogbuehi*, OL, Texas A&M

The Aggies have had an offensive lineman taken in the top 10 of the draft in back-to-back seasons, and Ogbuehi has flashed the potential to become the third. He has played both guard and tackle at A&M and figures to be one of the top offensive linemen in the nation in 2014.

4. Washington Redskins (6-10): Dante Fowler Jr.*, DE, Florida

Fowler plays with an edge and a high-revving motor, and has maintained his speed to this point in his career even while adding bulk. He has good explosiveness and closing burst, and violent hands. The Gators have played him all along the defensive line and at outside linebacker.

5. New York Jets (6-10): Jameis Winston*, QB, Florida State

If this scenario were to unfold and the Jets went 6-10 next season, chances are they'd be looking for a QB. There's no denying the Heisman-winning Winston's talent -- he shows good arm strength and accuracy to go with very good pocket presence and decision-making -- but his maturity and behavior off the field will be watched closely.

6. Minnesota Vikings (6-10): Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, CB, Oregon

Ekpre-Olomu should be one of the top cornerbacks in college football this season. He is a fluid and flexible athlete with good ball skills and playmaking ability, and he is also a willing run defender.

7. St. Louis Rams (6-10): Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa

The Rams would continue to build their offensive line in this scenario with the selection of Scherff, who brings prototypical size to the left tackle position at 6-5, 320 pounds.

8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9): Marcus Mariota*, QB, Oregon

Mariota was one of the nation's top quarterbacks last season, and by returning to Oregon he'll have the opportunity to improve upon his mechanics and accuracy and come closer to fulfilling his very high upside. He's a big-time running threat because of his speed and size combo (6-4, 211 pounds).

9. Miami Dolphins (7-9): Mario Edwards Jr.*, DE, Florida State

Edwards was one of the key contributors to the Seminoles' national-title-winning defense last season. The former No. 1 overall recruit, Edwards has good size at 6-3, 277 pounds.

10. Cleveland Browns (from Buffalo Bills): Landon Collins*, S, Alabama

As part of the trade that allowed the Bills (projected by Football Outsiders to finish 7-9 next season) to move up from the ninth pick to the fourth pick to draft Sammy Watkins, the Browns now own Buffalo's 2015 first-round pick -- in this case, a top-10 selection. Collins brings great speed and playmaking to the safety position.

11. Dallas Cowboys (7-9): Nelson Agholor*, WR, USC

Agholor is keeping up USC's tradition of talented wide receivers. At 6-foot, 185 pounds, Agholor has good speed and the ability to make defenders miss with the ball in his hands (8 total TDs).

12. Atlanta Falcons (7-9): Shilique Calhoun*, DE/OLB, Michigan State

Calhoun recorded 7.5 sacks last season on a very good Michigan State defense, and he could be one of the best defenders in the country in 2014. He has good size at 6-4, 250 pounds.

13. Detroit Lions (7-9): P.J. Williams*, CB, Florida State

Williams had an impressive 2013 campaign in a very talented Seminoles secondary, including coming up with an interception in FSU's BCS title game victory over Auburn. At 6-foot, 190 pounds, he has good size for a corner.

14. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9): Rashad Greene, WR, Florida State

Greene's teammate Kelvin Benjamin went in the first round of the 2014 NFL draft, but it was actually Greene who was the Seminoles' most prolific receiver (and according to Winston, its most reliable). He hauled in 76 passes for 1,128 yards (both team highs).

15. Houston Texans (8-8): Bryce Petty, QB, Baylor

The Texans could be looking to draft a quarterback in the first round of next year's draft, after waiting until the fourth to take one in 2014 (Pittsburgh's Tom Savage). The 6-3, 230-pound Petty threw for 4,200 yards and a 32-to-3 TD-to-INT ratio in 2013.

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