The Texans, eschewing the advice of amateur draftniks and the BRB trust (notice I don't include the word "brain" in there) avoided selecting a nose tackle in the first round. We went to the draft hoping for Dan Williams and all we got was this CB the Texans think is ready to start from day one. If only someone had hated this pick with the passion of 1,000 burning suns...
Will Kareem Jackson successfully replace *snicker* Dunta Robinson? Will BRB settle on a nickname for him before the year is up? Is he going to be grabbing picks by the bushel, or will he be toasted by everyone on the schedule but Darius Heyward-Bey? How will he look over the course of the preseason? I don't even know; I'm writing this before game two happens.
Simply predict Jackson's regular season tackles, interceptions, and the total number of his forced fumbles, sacks, assists, and passes defensed. Additionally, as a tiebreaker, put down the number of tackles Bernard Pollard will have for the Texans at the end of the 2010 regular season. I'll list the weighted formula behind the jump so as to not bore you, but the person who is closest to these numbers will receive...something Texans-related as a prize, should they be around after the season to claim it. I can't tell you what the prize will be, both because it would ruin the surprise and because I'm just planning to make it something on sale and random at Amazon for the free shipping, but believe me when I tell you that it will change your life.
I'll try and run an average of what we come up with as well in a few days. If we were a baseball site, here's where I would include a player's CHONE and PECOTA and TATE systems, but to the best of my knowledge, there aren't really any companies doing that for free. Football Outsiders has a projection system, but they only predict individual defensive stats in their KUBIAK projections, which cost extra and so I'm assuming they don't want them leaked out. Last year, for reference, Glover Quin's combined FF/INT/ASSIST/PD number was 23, if you need a baseline on that.
Oh, and just to clear things up for me. Write "PROJECTION" as the subject of your actual projections. Thanks.
I'm going to stop accepting entries at 11:59 CT on Thursday, August 26th, so I don't have to refer back to this thread since I'm going to be putting everything in a spreadsheet. You have until then.
Real simple here, I'll just dock you a point off for every tackle, interception, and (FF/ASST/SACK/PD) you are off. Because of the lower nature of these numbers, I'll add an additional 5 points if you hit the number exactly. Lowest number of points off takes home the...whatever the hell it'll be. First tiebreaker will be whoever guessed closest to Pollard's tackles, second will be whoever was docked less on Jackson's tackles, third tiebreaker will be the person who makes less money than Jackson will this year**.
**-since all of you do, it'll be a coinflip.