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Football Outsiders Adjusts 2017 Projections; Texans To Still Stink

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Numbers never lie, right?

Divisional Round - Houston Texans v New England Patriots
Sources cannot confirm that this man works for Football Outsiders.
Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images

About a month ago, Football Outsiders released their initial win-loss projections for every NFL team. They were not bullish on your Houston Texans’ chances of a successful season in 2017.

Now, with the 2017 NFL Draft in the books and a clearer picture of how each team’s roster could reasonably look for the upcoming season, Football Outsiders incorporated additional data and recalculated their projections. What does that mean for the Texans? They somehow got slightly worse in Football Outsiders’ eyes, at least when it comes to mean wins, as FO has Houston falling from 6.1 mean wins to 6.0 mean wins. From the ESPN Insider article:

Houston may have won the division last season, but they were a dismal 29th in our DVOA ratings. That first-place finish doesn't do the Texans any schedule favors, because there's a big difference between playing the Patriots and playing the other AFC East teams. Drafting Deshaun Watson doesn't really improve their offensive projection too much; it's not realistic to expect a good season from any rookie, even a first-round pick. Houston is also surprisingly consistent on special teams, and not in a good way; they've ranked in the bottom five for five straight seasons. Those two units outweigh a defense that was good last year and should be better with the return of J.J. Watt.

Your thoughts, BRB?