The good people over at Bet Online have released potential wagers about individual players that you, the shrewd consumer, may consider investing in. To narrow that query to our beloved Texans, I present for your analysis a handful of over-unders on the upcoming regular season performances of Deshaun Watson, Lamar Miller, and DeAndre Hopkins.
Passing Yards: Over/Under 3,800
Touchdown Passes: Over/Under 26.5
Interceptions: Over/Under 17.5
I believe I’d fire on the over on passing yards and touchdown passes. I reckon DW4 is going to turn the ball over more in 2018, but I think it’ll be slightly less than the line of 17.5, so I’d go with the under there.
Rushing Yards: Over/Under 825
Total Touchdowns: Over/Under 6
I’ll pencil Lamar Miller in for over 825 yards in 2018. Not because I expect a sea change in productivity from the Texans’ running back, but because I really don’t see another viable option in the running game for Houston this season. Miller should get the lion’s share of the reps.
With regard to touchdowns, however...did you know Miller only found the end zone six times in 2017? And only six times in 2016? That was with a lot of Brock Osweiler and Tom Savage under center. With Deshaun Watson QB1 now, I don’t anticipate an increase in visits to pay dirt for Miller this season. Give me the under on that one.
Receiving Yards: Over/Under 1,300
Total Touchdowns: Over/Under 9.5
Over on both. Much has rightfully been made about the parade of QBs Nuk has played catch with in Houston. Despite the inherent challenges that accompany relying on Brian Hoyer or Ryan Mallett to get you the ball, Hopkins’ production has still been historic. I don’t expect that to deteriorate with Deshaun Watson.
What say you, BRB? Fair assessments? Too rose-colored? Not optimistic enough?