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2020 Houston Texans Odds

Push it to the limit.

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NFL lines and odds are more than just a baseline to create degenerate the movement of money. They are also a good indicator of median outcome. Projection systems will use Las Vegas lines to come up with win probabilities. 538’s ELO system does exactly that. With the 2020 NFL season set to begin next week, here are what the odds and projection systems say the Texans entering next week’s game and their outlook for the entire season.

Houston Texans (55-1; opened 50-1)

Odds to win AFC: 25-1

Division: +340

Over/under: 7.5

Odds to make playoffs: Yes +140, No -160

To win opener against Kansas City Chiefs +375

To win the AFC South +335 (3rd)

To win the AFC +3000 (11th)

To win Super Bowl LV +6500 (23rd)

Deshaun Watson to win MVP +2500 (7th)

Deshaun Watson to throw the most passing yards +2500 (13th)

David Johnson to record the most rushing yards +3300 (11th)

Moneyline: HOU: (+320) | KC: (-420)

Spread: HOU: +9.5 (-110) | KC: -9.5 (-110)

Total: 54 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Odds to Win AFC Championship: HOU: (+2400) | KC: (+300)

Odds to Win Super Bowl LV: HOU: (+4600) | KC: (+650)

All of this combined paints a mediocre to below average picture for the Texans. The preseason sentiment is the Texans have a MVP caliber quarterback in Deshaun Watson, but the rest of the team is dragging him down somewhat. That falls in line with everything else that’s been written about the team entering this season.