The Houston Texans have a point differential of +16 with Tyrod Taylor as their quarterback. In two and half games with Davis Mills as QB1, it’s -65. Houston has beaten the 0-4 Jaguars and hung around with Cleveland for a half. Other than that, they’ve been trounced the last two games. Taylor is expected to be out for a couple of more weeks. Mills will keep the reigns against New England and could remain there against Indianapolis, Arizona, and Los Angeles (R). The Texans are staring 1-7 in the face.
Most fans will drop off way before then and will tune back in when NFL Draft talk kicks into full swing. At least this year, the Texans finally have their premium picks after wasting them on Laremy Tunsil the last two years. According to ESPN, Houston is still behind the Jaguars and Lions in the draft pecking order, currently projected to pick third overall in the 2022 NFL Draft.
Average draft position: 5.3
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 13.5%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 66.1%
With a wide range of quarterbacks (none of whom are currently described as elite), a few top defensive players sitting at the top of the board, and Jacksonville already having their franchise quarterback, Houston has a wide array of outcomes. Unlike previous years, there’s at least something to look forward to once this ride comes to an end.